Posts Tagged ‘Analysis’

Daily Analysis 20250102

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

CGS International Sekuritas Indonesia:
Kamis, 2 Januari 2025

Dow… 42,544.22 -29.51 -0.07%
S&P 500… 5,881.63 -25.31 -0.43%
FTSE 100… 8,173.02 +52.01 +0.64%
Nikkei… 39,894.54 -386.62 -0.96%

Indo 10 Yr… 7.00 -0.05 -0.31%
VIX… 17.35 -0.05 -0.29%
Indo CDS 5Y… 78.89 +0.75 +0.96%

TLKM (US)… 16.45 +0.02 +0.12%
EIDO… 18.48 -0.05 -0.27%

Oil… 71.72 +0.73 +1.03%
Gold… 2,624.50 +18.00 +0.69%
Timah… 28,846.00 -237.01 -0.81%
Nikel… 15,110.95 -78.88 -0.52%
Silver… 28.90 -0.05 -0.17%
Copper… 8,652.67 -142.18 -1.62%
Natural Gas… 3.63 -0.30 -7.70%
CPO… 4,861.00 -64.00 -1.30%
Coal*… 125.25 +0.70 +0.56%
Softwood Kraft Pulp 5,864.00 -14.00 -0.24%
*(Newcastle/Desember)
**majority closed per 31 Dec-24

Phintraco ga release data seperti biasa, kita cari dari beberapa sumber

US closing 30 des merah, europe ijo, asia merah, US treasury bond yield merah, masih belum menentu mau kemana, tapi kalo technical sih bilang mantul, cocok sama arah US treasury bond

USD index up, gold up metal2 lain down, oil up, gas down, coal up, coal sama oil ini menarik

IHSG – stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI down, w% flat, elliot wave reverse done, lagi bikin higher low, reg bull div MACD RSI, confirmed by 2 bull candle, belum cancelled, sempet NFB tapi last day net sell lagi. Tanda2nya udah mau mantul sih

Terlihat mulai meriah, Infrastructure leading sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals, yang paling penting financials terlihat gerak

Stochastic Buy Signal Banyak, yang big accum AMMN, BUKA, GOTO, PTBA, AUTO, menarik dicermati BBCA BBNI

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR PTBA UNVR CMRY CTRA GJTL MPMX MYOR ULTJ, big accum PTBA UNVR SILO, GJTL kita liat juga

PTBA – abis reg bull div lanjut jalan, loncat kemaren 5% jadi stoch and macd buy, MFI up, w% up, BD FF rev acc, yang kosong portonya kayanya bisa bow di tengah candle kemaren

Coal price macd buy signal, menarik ini ADRO INDY ITMG PTBA

Abis spike jual ada spike kecil

AUTO – valuation ok, stoch buy macd almost buy, MFI still down, w%up, bd acc, FF masih dist, ada spike, kita check dulu

Harusnya sih target 2600 an ya, apalagi kalo liat retracement pattern harusnya bawa ke fibo 61 di 2900 an. Januari group astra suka jalan, kita liat AUTO gimana januari

Kurang ok ternyata… Nanti dulu deh

BBCA – stoch buy macd rev up MFI masih down, w%sw, BD FF udah sempet acc,last day rev dist lagi,reg bull div belum cancelled, confirmed by 2 bull candle

no spike… tapi Index sama BBCA seringnya searah, so 2 2 nya udah keliatan mau mantul, bisa spec buy

SILO – overpriced, skip

GJTL – stoch buy, macd buy, mfi sw, w% up, BD dist tipis, FF rev acc, abc correction seems down, valuation ok, harusnya bisa spec buy

Hajatan ini mah, saham LKH dan ada spike begini, dan bagusnya lagi ini valuation masih rendah ga kaya PTRO yang udah dihajatin sampe 4x lipat. BOW GJTL, idealnya dapet di fibo 23 di 1115

 

Daily Analysis 20241210

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

December 10th, 2024

S&P 500, Nasdaq pull back from records as Nvidia tumbles

US stocks pulled back on Monday as Nvidia (NVDA) shares slipped amid a Chinese antitrust probe and investors prepared for this week’s consumer inflation report.

Dow……44402 -240.6 -0 54%
Nasdaq. 19737 -123.1 -0.62%
S&P 500 6053 -37.4 -0.61%

FTSE…..8352 +43.5 +0.52%
Dax……20346 -38.7 -0.19%
CAC……7480 +53.3 +0.72%

Nikkei….39160 +69.3 +0.18%
HSI……..20414 +548.2 +2.76%
Shanghai.3403 -1.5 -0.05%

IDX…7437.73 +54.95 +0.74%
LQ45…887.45 +11.61 +1.33%
IDX30.454.63 +7.03 +1.57%

IDXEnergy…2743.48 +56.95 +2.12%
IDX BscMat 1350.08 +0.16 +0.01%
IDX Indstrl..1089.47 +10.51 +0.97%
IDXNONCYC.742.53 +4.33 +0.59%
IDX Hlthcare1460.83 -1.35 -0.09%
IDXCYCLC…843.64 +6.37 +0.76%
IDX Techno..4325.14 +50.44 +1.18%
IDX Transp 1398.13 +18.54 +1.34%
IDX Infrast 1490.56 +8.21 +0.55%
IDX Finance1478.02 +15.20 +1.04%
IDX Banking1238.27 +25.68 +2.12%
IDX Property..797 +6.60 +0.83%

Indo10Yr.7.002‼️ +0.0160 +0.23%
ICBI….392.5831 -0.1990 -0.05%
US2Yr.4.126 +0.033 +0.81%
US5Yr 4.031 +0.041 +1.02%
US10Yr4.200 +0.052 +1.25%
US30Yr.4.383 +0.050 +1.15%
VIX..14.19 +1.42 +11.12%‼️

USDIndx 106.1730❗️ +0.118 +0.11%
Como Indx..289.03 +2.72 +0.95%
BCOMIN..146.48 +0.92.+0.63%

IndoCDS…72.22 -0.00 -0.00%
(5-yr INOCD5) (06/12)

IDR…….15866.50❗️+21.50 +0.14%
Jisdor..15861.00❗️+13.00 +0.08%

Euro…1.0552❗️ -0.0016 -0.15%

TLKM.17.13 -0.10 -0.55%
( 2717)
EIDO…20.68 +0.28 +1.37%
EEM…44.75 +0.90 +2.04%

Oil………68.17 +0.97 +1.44+%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………71.95 +0.23 +0.32%
(Brent)
Gold…2682.30 +22.70 +0.85%
(Comex)
Gold…2659.84 +27.93 +1.06%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.29151.00 14.00 -0.05%
(Closed 06/12)
Nickel.16012.50 -13.50 -0.08%
(Closed 09/12)
Silver…..32.45 +0.86 +2.73%
Copper.425.95 +6.30 +1.50%

Iron Ore 62% 104.11 -2.18 -2.05%
(06/12)
Nturl Gas 3.176 +0.100 +3.25%
Ammonia China 2776.67 -26.66 -0.95%
(Domestic Price)(06/12)

Coal price.133.75 +0.50 +0.38%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.25 +0.85 +0.64%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.134.00 +0.50 +0.37%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price 135.00 +0.40 +0.30%
(Mar/Newcastle)

Coal price.113.75 -0.25 -0.22%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price.110.65 -1.15 -1.07%
(Jan/Rotterda)
Coal Price 111.25 -0.60 -0.54%
(Feb/Rotterdam),
Coal/Price 111.75 -0.35 -0.31%
(Mar/Rotterdam)

CPO(Feb) 5118 -15 -0.29%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………441.25 +1.25 +0.29%
SoybeanOil 42.75 -0.22 -0.15%
Wheat……558.25 +1.00 +0.18%

Wood pulp 4482 – -0%
(Closed 09/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US pullback, wajar wajar aja sih, europe varied, asia masih kenceng kecuali china, US treasury bond yield up, kita rada ngerem dulu sepertinya juga hari ini

USD index up, tapi gold silver copper juga up, tin nickel iron ore down, oil up, semoga lanjut sampe bulan depan uptrend, gas up, coal newcastle up, desember musim dingin di utara biasanya energy pada naik, CPO down, masih belum jalan aja nih

IHSG – stoch macd mfi rsi w% up, BD acc FNB, breakout resistance, firm rally sih, early santa claus rally? Bisa jadi, tapi liat data US kayanya buat hari ini slow down dulu

Masih property

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak banget, BBRI BMRI GOTO ITMG JSMR PTBA GJTL KIJA MPMX NISP VKTR. big accum BMRI GOTO ITMG

MACD Buy Signal: MDKA ERAA GJTL MAHA MNCN NSIP, big accum MDKA ERAA

Daily Analysis 20241209

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

December 09th, 2024

Nasdaq, S&P 500 pop to strong weekly gains after jobs report boosts Fed rate cut odds

US stocks mostly rose on Friday as investors digested the last monthly jobs report of the year, a crucial test of the prospects for interest rate cuts in December and beyond.

Dow……44643 -123.2 -0 28%
Nasdaq. 19860 +159.1 +0.81%
S&P 500 6090 +15.2 +0.25%

FTSE…..8309 -40.8 -0.49%
Dax……20385 +25.8 +0.13%
CAC……7427 +96.3 +0.31%

Nikkei….39091 -304.4 -0.77%
HSI……..19866 +305.4 +1.56%
Shanghai.3404 +35.2 +1.05%

IDX…7382.79 +69.47 +0.95%
LQ45…875.84 +1.40 +0.16%
IDX30.447.60 +1.39 +0.16%

IDXEnergy…2686.53 +25.26 +0.95%
IDX BscMat 1349.92 +0.37 +0.03%
IDX Indstrl..1078.96 +2.08 +0.19%
IDXNONCYC.738.20 +1.22 +0.17%
IDX Hlthcare1462.18 -8.96. -0.61%
IDXCYCLC…837.27 +2.61 +0.31%
IDX Techno..4274.70 +76.59 +1.82%
IDX Transp 1379.59 -8.96 -0.67%
IDX Infrast 1482.35 +15.45 +1.12%
IDX Finance1462.82 +4.25 +0.29%
IDX Banking1212.59 +6.08 +0.50%
IDX Property..791 +13.60 +1.76%

Indo10Yr.6.9860 +0.0146 +0.21%
ICBI….392.6320 -0.2569 -0.07%
US2Yr.4.096 -0.050 -1.21%
US5Yr 4.031 -0.047 -1.15%
US10Yr4.148 -0.030 -0.72%
US30Yr.4.333 -0.003 -0.07%
VIX..12.77👍 -0.77 -5.69%‼️

USDIndx 106.0550❗ +0.329 +0.31%
Como Indx..286.34 -0.09 -0.03%
BCOMIN..145.56 -1.02. -0.70,%

IndoCDS…72.22 -0.00 -0.00%
(5-yr INOCD5) (06/12)

IDR…….15845.00❗-17.00 -0.11%
Jisdor..15848.00❗-44.00 -0.27%

Euro…1.0568❗ -0.0020 -0.18%

TLKM.17.22 +0.05 +0.29%
( 2729)
EIDO…20.40 +0.01 +0.02%
EEM…43.84 -0.08 -0.18%

Oil………67.20 -1.10 -1.61+%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………71.12 -1.05 -1.45%
(Brent)
Gold…2659.60 +11.20 +0.42%
(Comex)
Gold…2631.91 -1.46 -0.06%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.29151.00 14.00 -0.05%
(Closed 06/12)
Nickel.16012.50 +50.50 +0.32%
(Closed 06/12)
Silver…..31.59 +0.05 +0.16%
Copper.419.65 +0.40 +0.10%

Iron Ore 62% 104.11 -2.18 -2.05%
(06/12)
Nturl Gas 3.076 -0.008 -0.26%
Ammonia China 2803.33 -16.67 -0.059%
(Domestic Price)(06/12)

Coal price.133.25 unch +0%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price.132.40 -0.20 -0.15%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.50 -0.25 -0.19%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price 134.60 +0.10 +0.07%
(Mar/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.00 -0.50 -0.44%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.80 -1.10 -0.97%
(Jan/Rotterda)
Coal Price 111.85 -1.25 -1.11%
(Feb/Rotterdam),
Coal/Price 112.10 -1.25 -1.10%
(Mar/Rotterdam)

CPO(Feb) 5132 -6 -0.11%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………440.00 +5.00 +1.15%
*SoybeanOil 42.31 +0.89 +2.15%
Wheat……557.25 -1.00 -0.18%

Wood pulp – – -0%
(Closed 09/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at US kebanyakan ijo tapi dow jones merah. Europe ijo, Asia ijo kecuali Jepang. US Treasury Bond turun, besar kemungkinan IHSG lanjut ijo

USD index up, metal2 varied, oil down, gas down, coal down, belum gerak juga energy udah masuk Desember… CPO slightly down, masih nunggu AALI

IHSG – 2 hari terakhir net sell lagi, stoch macd up MFI up w% uptrend, BD accum, udah breakout area resistance sih, semoga lanjut. Last day foreign exit dari big banks mungkin profit taking karena weekend, semoga hari ini pada entry lagi

Property

Stochastic Buy Signal: ISAT MEDC UNTR ABMM BNGA ELSA ENRG ERAA MAHA, big accum UNTR ELSA

MACD Buy Signal: INDF AUTO PANI SIMP

Daily Analysis 20241206

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

December 06th, 2024

Dow leads losses as stock rally hits pause, bitcoin pulls back from record above $100,000

US stocks drifted lower on Thursday as investors waited for Friday’s crucial jobs report and bitcoin slid after reaching a new high of over $103,000

Dow……44766 -248.3 -0 55%
Nasdaq. 19700 -34.9. -0.18%
S&P 500 6075 -11.4 -0.30%

FTSE…..8349 +13.5 +0.16%
Dax……20359 +126.7 +0.63%
CAC……7331 +27.3 +0.37%

Nikkei….39396 +119.2 +0.30%
HSI……..19560 -182.02 -0.92%
Shanghai.3369 +4.2 +0.13%

IDX…7313.31 -13.45 -0.16%
LQ45…874.45 -13.45 -0.18%
IDX30.446.58 -5.44 -1.20%

IDXEnergy…2661.27 +13.05 +0.49%
IDX BscMat 1349.55 +2.93 +0.22%
IDX Indstrl..1076.88 +2.19 +0.20%
IDXNONCYC.736.98 -0.59 -0.08%
IDX Hlthcare1471.14 +6.26. +0.36%
IDXCYCLC…834.66 +2.73 +0.33%
IDX Techno..4198.11 -9.51 -0.23%
IDX Transp 1385.64 +2.67 +0.19%
IDX Infrast 1465.90 +4.73 . +0.46%
IDX Finance1458.57 -13.54 -0.92%
IDX Banking1206.51 -20.13 -1.64%
IDX Property..777 +5.20 +0.68%

Indo10Yr.6.9714 +0.0077 +0.11%
ICBI….392.8888 +0.0900 +0.02%
US2Yr.4.146 +0.014 +0.34%
US5Yr 4.078 +0.007 +0.17%
US10Yr4.178 -0.011 -0.26%
US30Yr.4.336 -0.014 -0.32%
VIX..13.54 +0.09 +0.67%

USDIndx 105.7260👍 -0.616 -0.58%
Como Indx….286.43 +1.08 +0.38%
BCOMIN….146.58 -0.29 -0.20%

IndoCDS..73.22 -0.49 -0.66%
(5-yr INOCD5) (04/12)

IDR…….15862.00❗️-75.50 -0.47%
Jisdor..15892.00❗️-65.00 -0.41%

Euro…1.0588❗️ +0.0078 +0.74%

TLKM.17.16 -0.34 -1.91%
( 2727)
EIDO…20.39 +0.03 +0.15%
EEM…43.92 +0.29 +0.66%

Oil………68.30 -0.39 -0.57%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………72.17 -0.14 -0.19%
(Brent)
Gold…2648.40 -24.90 -0.93%
(Comex)
Gold…2631.91 -18.64 -0.70%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.29034.00 +210.00 +0.73%
(Closed 04/12)
Nickel.15962.00 -1118.50 -0.74%
(Closed 05/12)
Silver…..31.54 -0.30 -0.94%
Copper.419.25 -0.35 -0.08%

Iron Ore 62% 106.29 +0.21 +0.20%
(03/12)
Nturl Gas 3.084 +0.021 +0.36%
Ammonia China 2820.00 – -%
(Domestic Price)(05/12)

Coal price.133.25 -0.15 -0.11%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price.132.75 -1.40 -1.04%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.75 -1.00 -0.74%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price 134.50 -1.00 -0.74%
(Mar/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.50 -0.70 -0.61%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.90 -1.80 -1.57%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal Price 113.10 -1.75 -1.52%
(Feb/Rotterdam),
Coal/Price 113.35 -1.65 -1.43%
(Mar/Rotterdam)

CPO(Feb) 5138 +101 +2.01%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………435.00 +5.00 +1.16%
SoybeanOil 42.31 +0.89 +2.15%
Wheat……558.25 +10.00 +1.82%

Wood pulp.4502.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Be loomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe ijo, asia varied, IHSG turun tipis, US treasury bond up, masih merah dulu kayanya IHSG hari ini

USD index ddown tapi metal2 juga kebanyakan down kecuali tin dan iron ore, oil slightly down, gas up, coal down CPO up

IHSG – stoch up macd up MFI up w% uptrend, BD masih acc, kemaren FNS, ketemu resistance, wjar ngeden dulu, masih optimis jalan tapi dengan US market sekarang kayanya belum langsung lanjut

Property lagi… Basic Materials mulai ngintip2

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO AMMN ANTM HRUM MDKA ADMR BMTR PWON SMSM WIFI, big accum ANTM ADMR BMTR PWON WIFI

MACD Buy Signal: AKRA ANTM INCOPO PTBA ADMR BMTR MARK PNLF PWON SMRA, big accum AKRA ANTM ADMR BMTR PWON SMRA