Global Update:

September 27th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 notches new closing low for 2022, Dow falls into bear market as dollar surges

The S&P 500 notched a new closing low for 2022 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped into a bear market as interest rates surged and turmoil rocked global currencies.

Dow…….29261 -329.6 -1.11%
Nasdaq.10803 -65.0 -0.60%
S&P 500..3655 -38.2 -1.03%

FTSE…….7021 +2.4 +0.03%
Dax……..12228 -56.3 -0.46%
CAC……..5769 -14.02 -0.24%

Nikkei….26432 -722.3 -2.66%
HSI……..17855 -78.1 -0.44%
Shanghai..3051 -37.1 -1.20%
ST Times..3182 -45.1 -1.40%

IDX…….7127.50 -51.08 -0.71%
LQ45…1020.20 -5.44 -0.53%

IDX Energy…1912.36 -79.32 -3.98%
IDX Bsc Mat.1284.21 -17.44 -1.34%
IDX Industrl..1318.18 -36.96 -2.73%
IDXNONCYC..704.29 -4.28 -0.60%
IDX Hlthcare.1461.51 -3.75 -0.26%
IDXCYCLIC…..872.80 -2.52 -0.29%
IDX Techno..7219.13 -166.50 -2.25%
IDX Transp…1837.53 -24.35 -1.31%
IDX Infrast…..1005.88 -11.88 -0.10%
IDX Finance 1508.33 +3.22 +0.21%
IDX Banking..1167.25 +3.68 +0.32%
IDX Property….706 -5.90 -0.32%

Indo10Yr….7.3547 +0.0364 +0.50%
ICBI……..333.6174 -0.9262 -0.28%
US10Yr……3.8780 +0.1810 +4.90%‼️
VIX……….32.26 +2.34 +7.82%‼️

USDIndx114.1030+0.9110 +0.80%‼️‼️
Como Indx..264.30 -4.17 -1.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..142.40 -3.77 -2.58%‼️
.
IndoCDS…111.84 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (25/9)

IDR……15129.50 +92.00 +0.61%‼️
Jisdor..15119.00 +84.00 +0.56%‼️

Euro……..0.9590 -0.0097 -1.00%‼️

TLKM……..28.91 +0.20 +0.70%
(4371)
EIDO……….23.77 -0.17 -0.71%
EEM……….35.54 -0.44 -1.22%

Oil…………..76.52 -2.22 -2.82%‼️
Gold ……1631.60 -24.00 -1.45%‼️
Timah. .20243.00 – –
( Closed 23/9)
Nickel…22143.00 -1246.50 -5.33%‼️
(Closed 26/9)
Silver…….18.34 -0.57 -3.01%‼️
Copper….329.10 -5.20 -1.56%

Nturl Gas…..7.029 +0.038 +0.54%

Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/9)

Coal price….438.00 +2.80 +0.64%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….422.90 +12.70 +3.10%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….425.00 +13.85 +3.37%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….325.75 -1.25 -0.38%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….294.60 -2.40 -0.81%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….296.00 -2.75 -0.92%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3546 -187 -5.00%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………666.25 -10.50 -1.55%
SoybeanOil…62.46 -1.22 -1.92%
Wheat………858.50 -22.50 -2.56%

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 26/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Dari semua index, cuma FTSE yang closing ijo tipis, sisanya merah. Komoditi yang ijo cuma coal sama natural gas, masih dukung lanjut bursa merah hari ini. Masih jadwal lanjut wave2, walau minggu rebound dulu tutup opening gap kemarin

IHSG – masih half way ke perkiraan ujung wave 2 di closing gap 6740. Masih hati2 banget belanja. Mungkin hari ini rebound dulu tutup opening gap kemarin. Tapi belum waktunya untuk agresif belanja

Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Infrastructure, Transportation

Global Update:

September 26th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow drops nearly 500 points to close at new low for 2022 on rising recession fears

Stocks tumbled Friday to cap a brutal week for financial markets, as surging interest rates and foreign currency turmoil heightened fears of a global recession.

Dow…….29590 -486.3 -1.62%
Nasdaq.10868 -198.9 -1.80%
S&P 500..3693 -64.8 -1.72%

FTSE…….7019 -140.9 -1.97%
Dax……..12294 -247.4 -1.97%
CAC……..5783 -135.1 -2.28%

Nikkei….27154 closed +0%
HSI……..17933 -214.7 -1.18%
Shanghai..3088 -20.5 -0.66%
ST Times..3227 -35.97 -1.10%

IDX…….7178.58 -40.32 -0.56%
LQ45…1025.63 -7.01 -0.58%

IDX Energy…1991.67 -23.5 -1.41%
IDX Bsc Mat.1301.65 -2.95 -0.23%
IDX Industrl..1355.13 -13.61 -0.99%
IDXNONCYC..708.57 +4.93 +0.70%
IDX Hlthcare.1465.26 -0.53 -0.04%
IDXCYCLIC…..875.32 -2.93 -0.33%
IDX Techno..7385.64 -52.48 -0.71%
IDX Transp…1861.89 +9.35 +0.50%
IDX Infrast…..1017.76 -1.03 -0.10%
IDX Finance 1505.11 -2.42 -0.16%
IDX Banking..1163.56 -7.23 -0.62%
IDX Property….712 -8.00 -1.11%

Indo10Yr….7.3183 +0.0420 +0.57%
ICBI……..334.4139 -0.7996 -0.24%
US10Yr……3.6970 -0.0110 -0.30%‼️
VIX……….29.92 +2.57 +9.40%‼️

USDIndx113.1920+1.8390 +1.65%‼️‼️
Como Indx..268.47 -9.38 -3.38%‼️
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..146.17 -5.58 -3.68%‼️
.
IndoCDS…111.84 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (25/9)

IDR……15037.50 +14.50 +0.10%‼️
Jisdor..15035.00 +2.00 +0.01%‼️

Euro……..0.9687 -0.015 -1.52%‼️

TLKM……..28.71 -0.59 -2.01%
(4316)
EIDO………23.94 -0.40 -1.64%
EEM………35.98 -0.91 -2.47%

Oil…………..78.74 -4.92 -5.88%‼️
Gold ……1655.60 -23.80 -1.41%‼️
Timah. .2p243.00 -1407 -6.50%‼️
( Closed 23/9)
Nickel…23389.50 -989.00 -4.21%‼️
(Closed 23/9)
Silver…….18.91 -0.74 -3.77%‼️
Copper….334.30 -12.20 -3.52%

Nturl Gas…..6.992 -0.212 -2.94%

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/9)

Coal price….435.20 -0.45 -0.10%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….410.20 -10.45 -2.48%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….411.15 -9.80 -2.33%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….327.00 +3.35 +1.04%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….297.00 +7.00 +2.41%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….298.75 +5.75 +1.96%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3733 -93 -2.43%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………676.75 -11.50 -1.67%
SoybeanOil…63.68 -2.78 -4.18%‼️
Wheat………880.50 -30.25 -3.32%‼️

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 25/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua index regional merah closing jum’at, semua komoditi, makin kuat bawa IHSG kebawah

IHSG – semua indicator kompak bilang down, even harga udah close dibawah EMA 20

Healthcare mulai melemah, Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer, Non-Cyclicals. Yang mau nyusul Transportation, Technology, Infrastructure.

Healthcare – seharusnya masih nanjak, retracement pattern ote to fibo 61, MACD up stoch up alligator up supertrend up, kejedot cloud ichimoku semoga besok tembus ke atas. Foreign yang masih entry

MIKA HEAL FNB, MIKA ada Spike 22 sep

MIKA – Stoch sell, MACD sw, MFI flat, bandar and foreign akum lagi, kejedot supertrend masuk lagi ke cloud, supposedly masih wave 3, ada bearish divergence confirmed by 2 red candles dan MA10, kalo ga break high diatas candle divergence nya bisa terus longsor. Closing candle terakhir sih diatas MA10.

MIKA – dari spike nya sih menarik…

MIKA – dari harga dibanding avg bandar juga aman, hold deh…

HEAL – all good, harus break resistance 1545 biar wave 3 nya firm. Yang belum punya bisa BOW yang udah punya hold

SAME – beda sendiri, setelah ada vol breakout malah lanjut dibanting, udah nongol bullish divergence sih, bisa masuk lagi tunggu MACD buy lagi.

Bandarnya lagi becanda ini…

Consumer Cyclicals – Keliatan belum jadi jalan… Stoch sell, macd sell lagi, MFI sw, bandar dan foreign distribusi lagi, padahal nungguin ACES sama ERAA mantul, belum waktunya ternyata…

Consumer Non-Cyclicals – Malah ini yang keliatan mau jalan, MACD buy stoch up, PSAR up, walau ABC correctionnya belum bikin lower low. Bandar akum lagi, foreign ga pernah exit

Banyak FNB dan bandar akum, JPFA PMMP DSNG buy signal

JPFA – Stoch up, macd buy, MFI up, foreign distribusi, bandar sw, inside cloud ga tembus bawah, semoga break up cloud, dikit lagi price tembus EMA 20 dan 50, ada vol breakout tgl 16 sambil tembus resistance minor.

Price aman, bisa BOW, volume udah sepi, enak buat ngangkat harga…

PMMP – technically lumayan ok, vol breakout, gerak setelah ada hidden bullish divergence, stoch up macd buy bandar dan foreign akum, alligator buy, supertrend up… Tapi ini saham relatif baru, listing desember 2020, gagal di IPO nya, hari pertama naik lanjut ARB melulu. Personally skip dulu deh mending JPFA aja

Kalo mungkin dapet BOW dibawah modal GR sih masih ok

DSNG – belum ah, indic nya masih ga kompak

EMA Golden Cross – BRIS ISAT LPPF PMMP

Stoch Buy – BRPT EXCL TBIG TPIA MMLP

MACD Buy – BFIN JPFA DSNG MPMX PMMP

BRIS – Stoch up, MACD up, bandar akum, foreign akum, MFI up, alligator buy, Supertrend buy, ada freq spike 21 sept, retracement pattern harusnya bawa test fibo 23 di 1855, PSAR Up, LR cross up midline, breakout resist minor with volume kemaren, bagus banget sih ini… Harusnya berani BOW, sepertinya market akan koreksi dulu hari ini, cocok buat ambil di bawah, tapi stop loss kalo breakdown 1500

BRIS – BOW di closing candle kamis, 1530, sedikit diatas YP, dibawah harga AK

ISAT – ada gap belum ketutup di atas, stoch hampir buy, macd juga, 833 udah buy, MFI up, bandar akum, foreign masih distribusi, ada freq spike 21 sept sebelum harga mulai naik, triangle breakout belum sampe ke targetnya, PSAR baru rubah jadi buy, LR slope up. Bagus sih ini…

Berani pasang buy, on weakness, dibawah harga KZ, dibawah 7100

LPPF – abis terjun jauh, bandar dan foreign masih distribusi, amannya nunggu bikin higher low dulu yang firm, skip

BRPT – abc correction belum sampe levelnya, udah buy di stoch dan macd, foreign masih buang, bandar akum tipis, curiga masih sideways dulu

EXCL – stoch buy, macd belum, MFI up, bandar dan foreign belum akum, lagi di area fibo 23, kalo ikut retracement pattern standar harusnya mantul. tapi belum semua firm, wns dulu

TBIG – ini infrastructure jalan bareng2 signalnya, jadi mikir mungkin mau jalan, emang di chart cacingnya udah mau bangun sih… Tapi ada candle volbuangan beberapa hari lalu, dan emang ga ada yang nampung, bukan tukeran barang, jadi wns dulu juga ini TBIG

MPMX – dari retracement pattern mungkin koreksi lagi ke fibo 23 atau lanjut ke fibo38, macd buy, stoch up, bandar dan foreign akum, breakout minor resistance with volume, tembus cloud ichimoku ke atas, sektor tapi kaya udahan belum jadi jalan, consumer cyclicals… Seandainya bukna index lagi wave 2, berani buy, sekarang mending play safe, WNS dulu

Global update:

September 21th, 2022

Good morning,

Major averages close about 1% lower as yields rise ahead of Fed rate decision

Stocks tumbled on Tuesday as the sell-off on Wall Street mounted and investors braced for another large rate hike due out Wednesday from the Federal Reserve.

Dow…….30706 -313.5 -1.01%
Nasdaq.11425 -109.97 -0.95%
S&P 500..3855 -43.96 -1.13%

FTSE…….7193 -44.02 -0.61%
Dax……..12671 -132.4 -1.03%
CAC……..5979 -82.1 -1.35%

Nikkei….27688 +120.8 +0.44%
HSI……..18781 +215.5 +1.16%
Shanghai..3122 +6.8 +0.22%
ST Times..3267 +10.63 +0.33%

IDX…….7196.95 +1.46 +0.02%
LQ45…1028.21 +3.48 +0.34%

IDX Energy..1982.92 -10.58 -0.53%
IDX Bsc Mat.1290.99 -4.74 -0.37%
IDX Industrl..1356.73 -6.58 -0.48%
IDXNONCYC..699.95 -0.36 -0.05%
IDX Hlthcare.1472.15 +5.26 +0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…..884.53 -0.49 -0.06%
IDX Techno..7416.27 +68.72 +0.94%
IDX Transp…1848.78 -19.38 -1.046%
IDX Infrast…..1023.94 -6.48 -0.63%
IDX Finance 1506.01 -10.91 -0.72%
IDX Banking..1169.53 -11.14 -0.94%
IDX Property….730 -7.30 -0.99%

Indo10Yr….7.2436 -0.0020 -0.03%
ICBI……..335.9559 +0.1485 +0.04%
US10Yr……3.5710 +0.0810 +2.32%‼️
VIX……….27.16 +1.40 +5.43%

USDIndx 110.2150 +0.4780 +0.44%‼️
Como Indx..279.54 -0.24 -0.09%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.26 +0.17 +0.11%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14983.50 +6.00 +0.04%‼️
Jisdor..14975.00 -5.00 -0.03%‼️

Euro……..0.9966 -0.0065 -0.65%

TLKM……..29.49 -0.30 -1.01%
(4463)
EIDO………24.29 -0.32 -1.30%
EEM………37.70 -0.21 -0.55%

Oil…………..84.45 -1.28 -1.49%
Gold ……..1673.30 -11.60 -0.69%
Timah. .20945.00 -192 -0.91%
( Closed 19/9)
Nickel…24965.50 +343.50 +0.99%
(Closed 20/9)
Silver…….19.25 -0.33 -1.68%
Copper….349.95 -2.90 -0.82%

Nturl Gas…..7.720 -0.158 -2.01%

Ammonia..4373.33 +116.66 +2.74%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(19/9)

Coal price….441.30 +2.25 +0.51%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….438.00 +9.95 +2.32%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….437.00 +11.95 +2.81%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….323.65 -10.60 -3.17%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….292.60 -14.95 -4.86%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….295.15 -13.65 -4.42%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3739 +38 +1.03%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..692.00 +13.75 +2.03%
SoybeanOil…65.91 +0.75 +1.15%
Wheat……..893.75 +63.25 +7.62%‼️

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 20/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah lagi, europe merah juga, asia kebanyakan ijo ikut US kemarennya. IHSG ijo tipis banget. Prepare lanjut merah today

Oil Gas turun, Coal naik, energi belum kompak lagi. Metal2 turun kecuali nikel, kurang asik buat basic materials, CPO merah, belum terlihat hilal kenaikan buat LSIP sama AALI

IHSG – masih jadwal wave 2, keep cash… Kecuali yang yakin banget dan sektornya masih jalan

Property, Healthcare, Consumer Cyclicals. Yang keliatan mau nyusul technology, transportation, sama consumer non-cyclicals

Global Update:

September 13th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close higher for fourth straight session ahead of key inflation report, Dow rises 200 points

Stocks rose on Monday as a weaker dollar and growing confidence that higher prices have peaked helped Wall Street’s relief rally continue ahead of a key inflation report.

Dow…….32381 +299.6 +0.71%
Nasdaq.12266 +154.1 +1.27%
S&P 500..4110 +43.1 +1.06%

FTSE…….7473 +121.96 +1.66%
Dax……..13402 +314.1 +2.40%
CAC……..6334 +121.3 +1.95%

Nikkei….28542 +327.4 +1.16%
HSI……..19362 closed +0%
Shanghai..3262 closed +0%
ST Times..3275 +11.8 +0.36%

IDX…….7254.46 +11.81 +0.16%
LQ45…1032.79 +0.79 +0.08%

IDX Energy..2047.03 +36.30 +1.81%
IDX Bsc Mat.1339.62 +2.82 +0.21%
IDX Industrl..1371.82 +6.44 +0.47%
IDXNONCYC..699.55 +2.60 +0.37%
IDX Hlthcare.1454.40 +16.78 +1.17%
IDXCYCLIC…..882.64 +0.49 +0.06%
IDX Techno..7693.88 +56.70 +0.74%
IDX Transp…1884.79 -18.48 -0.97%
IDX Infrast…..1028.46 -6.14 -0.59%
IDX Finance 1508.41 -5.18 -0.34%
IDX Banking..1170.05 -2.50 -0.21%
IDX Property…726 +10.80 +1.50%

Indo10Yr….7.1834 -0.0125 -0.17%
ICBI……..336.5187 +0.3920 +0.12%
US10Yr……3.3620 +0.0410 +1.23%
VIX…………23.87 +1.08 +4.74%‼️

USDIndx 108.3300 -0.6730 -0.62%
Como Indx..287.62 +3.50 +1.23%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..155.49 +3.14 +2.06%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14842.00 +12.00 +0.08%
Jisdor..14839.00 -7.00 -0.05%

Euro……..1.0122 +0.0080 +0.80%

TLKM……..30.46 +0.02 +0.07%
(4520)
EIDO………24.59 +0.22 +0.90%
EEM………39.58 +0.58 +1.49%

Oil…………..87.99 +1.20 +1.38%
Gold ……..1736.20 +7.60 +0.44%
Timah. .21165.00 +314.00 +1.51%
( Closed 09/9)
Nickel…24432.00 +1400.00 +6.08%‼️
(Closed 12/9)
Silver…….19.81 +1.04 +5.54%
Copper….361.55 +4.75 +1.33%

Nturl Gas…..8.409 +0.371 +4.62%‼️

Ammonia..4133.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(08/9)

Coal price….437.50 +2.25 +0.52%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….427.50 -3.10 -0.72%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….418.00 -3.25 -0.77%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….329.00 -8.00 -2.37%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….304.50 -15.50 -4.84%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….305.25 -11.90 -3.75%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3682 +87 +2.42%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..696.00 +11.00 +1.61%
SoybeanOil…66.49 +1.67 +2.58%
Wheat……..858.75 -10.75 -1.24%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 12/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Regional Index Ijo semua, komoditas juga naik semua, kita liat apakah IHSG bisa memperpanjang wave 1 nya dengan break high dan bikin new record high… Tapi tetep jangan FOMO, masuk yang emang keliatan lagi hajatan aja…

Kita liat mau dibawa kemana ini IHSG… Kalo bikin ATH baru pasti euforia, kita ikut disitu, selama belum masih hati2

IHSG – Stoch overbought, MACD rev u, belum GC, bandar relatively diem, FF kemaren flat, harus dicari ini FNB nya kemaren berapa, jangan2 exit lagi… EW masih besar kemungkinan wave 2 dulu, LG bisa kemana aja, tapi ada gap dibawah yang menunggu ditutup

Cacing RSI Quadrant: Basic Materials, Industrials, Property, Consumer Cyclicals

Healthcare sama Energy sepertinya sudah lewat gilirannya, kalo yang sudah punya liat detail chart emitennya kalo mau hold, kalo new entry beware, mending di sektor yang baru jalan aja