Daily Analysis 20221019

Daily Analysis 20221019

Global Update:

October 19th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes up more than 300 points as strong earnings boost stocks in choppy market

Stocks rose for a second straight session on Tuesday as strong corporate earnings reports helped extend a rally to start the week.

Dow…….30523 +337.98 +1.12%
Nasdaq.10772 +96.6 +0.90%
S&P 500..3720 +42.03 +1.14%

FTSE…….6937 +16.5 +0.24%
Dax……..12766 +116.6 +0.92%
CAC……..6067 +26.3 +0.44%

Nikkei….27156 +380.4 +1.42%
HSI……..16915 +301.7 +1.82%
Shanghai..3081 -3.98 -0.13%
ST Times..3025 +10.1 +0.34%

IDX…….6834.49 +3.38 +0.05%
LQ45…..971.35 -1.32 -0.14%

IDX Energy…1972.86 -13.75 -0.69%
IDX Bsc Mat.1228.64 +1.59 +0.13%
IDX Industrl..1246.83 -0.69 -0.06%
IDXNONCYC..709.63 +11.18 +1.60%
IDX Hlthcare.1456.13 +4.00 +0.20%
IDXCYCLIC…..835.94 +1.63 +0.85%
IDX Techno..6453.60 -26.80 -0.41%
IDX Transp…1752.25 -0.91 -0.05%
IDX Infrast……919.96 -3.54 -0.38%
IDX Finance 1431.36 -15.22 -1.06%
IDX Banking.1101.70 +15.66 +1.11%
IDX Property…….67/ +4.50 +0.67%

Indo10Yr….7.4396 +0.0032 +0.04%
ICBI……..332.9837 +0.0033 +0.00%
US10Yr……3.9980 -0.0170 -0.42%
VIX……….30.50 -0.87 -2.77%

USDIndx 112.0390 -0.0360 -0.03%👍
Como Indx..271.55 -3.78 -1.37%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..143.24 -0.84 -0.59%
.
IndoCDS 156.09 -8.23 -5.01%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/10)

IDR……15463.50 -24.00 -0.16%‼️
Jisdor..15469.00 -11 -0.07%‼️

Euro……..0.9860 +0.0136 +1.42%‼️

TLKM……..27.20 -0.75 -2.68%
(4208)
EIDO………22.64 -0.19 -0.83%
EEM………35.16 +0.01 +0.03%

Oil…………82.82 -3.18 -3.70%
Gold ……1655.80 -1.30 -0.08%
Timah…19645 -285 -1.43%
(Closed 17/10)
Nickel…21938.00 +324.50 +1.50%
(Closed 18/10)
Silver………18.60 -0.01 -0.53%
Copper….336.20 -4.65 -1.36%

Nturl Gas…..5.691 -0.291 -4.86%‼️

Ammonia..4206.67 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(17/10)

Coal price….387.85 -4.30 -1.10%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….386.80 -5.85 -1.49%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….386.30 -8.85 -2.24%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….267.00 -3.50 -1.29%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….255.00 -4.50 -1.73%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..254.90 -4.50 -1.73%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..94.45 -1.25 -1.31%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/10)

CPO(Jan)……4005 +127 +3.27%‼️

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….681.00 -2.50 -0.37%
SoybeanOil….68.74 +1.90 +2.84%
Wheat………849.50 -11.50 -1.34%

Wood pulp…6846.00 unch +0%
(Closed 18/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Ijo semua kecuali shanghai, ayo IHSG jalan wave 3. Kalo ijo lagi hari ini jadi 3 white soldiers.

Oil Coal Gas turun, bener ini kayanya wave C dulu energy, bagus deh, siap2 winter rally lagi akhir tahun. Metal turun semua kecuali nikel. CPO naik lumayan. Kita liat technically sektor mana yang mau jalan

IHSG – technically belum firm mantul, baru LR aja yang bilang buy, tapi itungan elliot wave udah sih. Bandar masih flat, foreign masih belum entry lagi, MFI naik tapi, volume cukup untuk dianggap naiknya valid bukan gorengan. Semoga sudah firm lanjut wave 3 sampe awal tahun

Industrials & Basic Materials keliatannya next yang jalan, Consumer Cyclicals dan Consumer Non-Cyclicals ga meyakinkan cacingnya

Daily Analysis 20220928

Daily Analysis 20220928

Global Update:

September 28th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 ends Tuesday down after notching a fresh bear market low, Dow slips more than 100 points

The S&P 500 fell deeper into a bear market on Tuesday after setting a new 2022 low, while the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield continued to climb to levels not seen in at least a decade.

Dow…….29135 -125.8 -0.43%
Nasdaq.10830 +26.6 +0.25%
S&P 500..3647 -7.8 -0.21%

FTSE…….6985 -36.4 -0.52%
Dax……..12140 -88.2 -0.72%
CAC……..5754 -15.6 -0.27%

Nikkei….26572 +140.3 +0.53%
HSI……..17860 +5.2 +0.03%
Shanghai..3094 +42.6 +1.40%
ST Times..3166 -16.5 -0.52%

IDX…….7112.45 -15.05 -0.21%
LQ45…1015.98 -4.2q -0.41%

IDX Energy…1938.67 +26.31 1.38%
IDX Bsc Mat.1271.67 -12.34 -0.96%
IDX Industrl..1321.48 +3.30 +0.25%
IDXNONCYC..702.23 -2.06 -0.29%
IDX Hlthcare.1465.65 +4.14 +0.28%
IDXCYCLIC…..870.02 -2.78 -0.32%
IDX Techno..7250.75 +31.61 +0.44%
IDX Transp…1845.42 +7.88 +0.43%
IDX Infrast…..1009.48 +3.60 +0.36%
IDX Finance 1503.28 -5.05 -0.34%
IDX Banking..1162.64 -4.61 -0.39%
IDX Property….706 -5.90 -0.32%

Indo10Yr….7.3864 +0.0317 +0.43%
ICBI……..333.3681 -0.2493 -0.07%
US10Yr……3.9640 +0.0860 +2.22%‼️
VIX……….32.60 +0.34 +1.06%

USDIndx114.1030+0.0030 +0.00%‼️‼️
Como Indx..264.30 -4.17 -1.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..140.72 -1.68 -1.18%
.
IndoCDS…111.84 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (27/9)

IDR……15124.00 -5.50 -0.04%‼️
Jisdor..15155.00 +36.00 +0.24%‼️

Euro……..0.9589 -0.0001 -0.01%‼️

TLKM……..28.84 -0.07 -0.24%
(4371)
EIDO……….23.59 -0.18 -0.76%
EEM……….35.50 -0.04 -0.11%

Oil…………..78.22 +1.70 +2.22%
Gold ……1636.60 +5.20 +0.32%
Timah. .20640.00 +397 +1.96%
( Closed 26/9)
Nickel…21683.00 -460.00 -2.08%
(Closed 27/9)
Silver…….18.34 -0.01 -0.05%
Copper….329.45 +0.35 +0.11%

Nturl Gas…..6.812 -0.217 -3.09%

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(26/9)

Coal price….437.65 -0.35 -0.08%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….423.00 +0.10 +0.02%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….425.25 +0.25 +0.06%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….325.60 -0.15 -0.05%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….297.55 +2.95 +1.00%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….295.00 -1.00 -0.34%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3530 -16 -0.45%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………667.50 +1.25 +0.19%
SoybeanOil…62.39 -0.07 -0.11%
Wheat………871.50 +13.50 +1.57%

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 27/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah Nasdaq ijo, europe merah, asia kebanyakan ijo kecuali singapore sama indonesia

Kayanya kita ijo tipis dulu hari ini…

Oil gold timah copper naik, silver nikel gas cpo turun. Coal spot turun tipis, future nya naik tipis, masih belum kuat buat angkat saham coal

Basic materials mungin rada rebound hari ini

IHSG – closing price kemarin sudah dibawah MA 50, pemain MA bilang udah downtrend. Sudah koreksi sampe fibo 38, belum firm buat mulai buy, tunggu fibo 50, jaga2 kalo harus tutup gap

Healthcare melemah, techno ga jadi jalan, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Infrastructure, Financials (tapi resiko tinggi ini kalo index masih mau turun), Transportation

Daily Analysis 20220927

Daily Analysis 20220927

Global Update:

September 27th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 notches new closing low for 2022, Dow falls into bear market as dollar surges

The S&P 500 notched a new closing low for 2022 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped into a bear market as interest rates surged and turmoil rocked global currencies.

Dow…….29261 -329.6 -1.11%
Nasdaq.10803 -65.0 -0.60%
S&P 500..3655 -38.2 -1.03%

FTSE…….7021 +2.4 +0.03%
Dax……..12228 -56.3 -0.46%
CAC……..5769 -14.02 -0.24%

Nikkei….26432 -722.3 -2.66%
HSI……..17855 -78.1 -0.44%
Shanghai..3051 -37.1 -1.20%
ST Times..3182 -45.1 -1.40%

IDX…….7127.50 -51.08 -0.71%
LQ45…1020.20 -5.44 -0.53%

IDX Energy…1912.36 -79.32 -3.98%
IDX Bsc Mat.1284.21 -17.44 -1.34%
IDX Industrl..1318.18 -36.96 -2.73%
IDXNONCYC..704.29 -4.28 -0.60%
IDX Hlthcare.1461.51 -3.75 -0.26%
IDXCYCLIC…..872.80 -2.52 -0.29%
IDX Techno..7219.13 -166.50 -2.25%
IDX Transp…1837.53 -24.35 -1.31%
IDX Infrast…..1005.88 -11.88 -0.10%
IDX Finance 1508.33 +3.22 +0.21%
IDX Banking..1167.25 +3.68 +0.32%
IDX Property….706 -5.90 -0.32%

Indo10Yr….7.3547 +0.0364 +0.50%
ICBI……..333.6174 -0.9262 -0.28%
US10Yr……3.8780 +0.1810 +4.90%‼️
VIX……….32.26 +2.34 +7.82%‼️

USDIndx114.1030+0.9110 +0.80%‼️‼️
Como Indx..264.30 -4.17 -1.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..142.40 -3.77 -2.58%‼️
.
IndoCDS…111.84 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (25/9)

IDR……15129.50 +92.00 +0.61%‼️
Jisdor..15119.00 +84.00 +0.56%‼️

Euro……..0.9590 -0.0097 -1.00%‼️

TLKM……..28.91 +0.20 +0.70%
(4371)
EIDO……….23.77 -0.17 -0.71%
EEM……….35.54 -0.44 -1.22%

Oil…………..76.52 -2.22 -2.82%‼️
Gold ……1631.60 -24.00 -1.45%‼️
Timah. .20243.00 – –
( Closed 23/9)
Nickel…22143.00 -1246.50 -5.33%‼️
(Closed 26/9)
Silver…….18.34 -0.57 -3.01%‼️
Copper….329.10 -5.20 -1.56%

Nturl Gas…..7.029 +0.038 +0.54%

Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/9)

Coal price….438.00 +2.80 +0.64%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….422.90 +12.70 +3.10%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….425.00 +13.85 +3.37%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….325.75 -1.25 -0.38%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….294.60 -2.40 -0.81%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….296.00 -2.75 -0.92%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3546 -187 -5.00%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………666.25 -10.50 -1.55%
SoybeanOil…62.46 -1.22 -1.92%
Wheat………858.50 -22.50 -2.56%

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 26/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Dari semua index, cuma FTSE yang closing ijo tipis, sisanya merah. Komoditi yang ijo cuma coal sama natural gas, masih dukung lanjut bursa merah hari ini. Masih jadwal lanjut wave2, walau minggu rebound dulu tutup opening gap kemarin

IHSG – masih half way ke perkiraan ujung wave 2 di closing gap 6740. Masih hati2 banget belanja. Mungkin hari ini rebound dulu tutup opening gap kemarin. Tapi belum waktunya untuk agresif belanja

Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Infrastructure, Transportation

Daily Analysis 20220926

Daily Analysis 20220926

Global Update: September 26th, 2022 Good morning, Dow drops nearly 500 points to close at new low for 2022 on rising recession fears Stocks tumbled Friday to cap a brutal…
Daily Analysis 20220921

Daily Analysis 20220921

Global update:

September 21th, 2022

Good morning,

Major averages close about 1% lower as yields rise ahead of Fed rate decision

Stocks tumbled on Tuesday as the sell-off on Wall Street mounted and investors braced for another large rate hike due out Wednesday from the Federal Reserve.

Dow…….30706 -313.5 -1.01%
Nasdaq.11425 -109.97 -0.95%
S&P 500..3855 -43.96 -1.13%

FTSE…….7193 -44.02 -0.61%
Dax……..12671 -132.4 -1.03%
CAC……..5979 -82.1 -1.35%

Nikkei….27688 +120.8 +0.44%
HSI……..18781 +215.5 +1.16%
Shanghai..3122 +6.8 +0.22%
ST Times..3267 +10.63 +0.33%

IDX…….7196.95 +1.46 +0.02%
LQ45…1028.21 +3.48 +0.34%

IDX Energy..1982.92 -10.58 -0.53%
IDX Bsc Mat.1290.99 -4.74 -0.37%
IDX Industrl..1356.73 -6.58 -0.48%
IDXNONCYC..699.95 -0.36 -0.05%
IDX Hlthcare.1472.15 +5.26 +0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…..884.53 -0.49 -0.06%
IDX Techno..7416.27 +68.72 +0.94%
IDX Transp…1848.78 -19.38 -1.046%
IDX Infrast…..1023.94 -6.48 -0.63%
IDX Finance 1506.01 -10.91 -0.72%
IDX Banking..1169.53 -11.14 -0.94%
IDX Property….730 -7.30 -0.99%

Indo10Yr….7.2436 -0.0020 -0.03%
ICBI……..335.9559 +0.1485 +0.04%
US10Yr……3.5710 +0.0810 +2.32%‼️
VIX……….27.16 +1.40 +5.43%

USDIndx 110.2150 +0.4780 +0.44%‼️
Como Indx..279.54 -0.24 -0.09%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.26 +0.17 +0.11%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14983.50 +6.00 +0.04%‼️
Jisdor..14975.00 -5.00 -0.03%‼️

Euro……..0.9966 -0.0065 -0.65%

TLKM……..29.49 -0.30 -1.01%
(4463)
EIDO………24.29 -0.32 -1.30%
EEM………37.70 -0.21 -0.55%

Oil…………..84.45 -1.28 -1.49%
Gold ……..1673.30 -11.60 -0.69%
Timah. .20945.00 -192 -0.91%
( Closed 19/9)
Nickel…24965.50 +343.50 +0.99%
(Closed 20/9)
Silver…….19.25 -0.33 -1.68%
Copper….349.95 -2.90 -0.82%

Nturl Gas…..7.720 -0.158 -2.01%

Ammonia..4373.33 +116.66 +2.74%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(19/9)

Coal price….441.30 +2.25 +0.51%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….438.00 +9.95 +2.32%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….437.00 +11.95 +2.81%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….323.65 -10.60 -3.17%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….292.60 -14.95 -4.86%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….295.15 -13.65 -4.42%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3739 +38 +1.03%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..692.00 +13.75 +2.03%
SoybeanOil…65.91 +0.75 +1.15%
Wheat……..893.75 +63.25 +7.62%‼️

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 20/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah lagi, europe merah juga, asia kebanyakan ijo ikut US kemarennya. IHSG ijo tipis banget. Prepare lanjut merah today

Oil Gas turun, Coal naik, energi belum kompak lagi. Metal2 turun kecuali nikel, kurang asik buat basic materials, CPO merah, belum terlihat hilal kenaikan buat LSIP sama AALI

IHSG – masih jadwal wave 2, keep cash… Kecuali yang yakin banget dan sektornya masih jalan

Property, Healthcare, Consumer Cyclicals. Yang keliatan mau nyusul technology, transportation, sama consumer non-cyclicals

Daily Analysis 20220913

Daily Analysis 20220913

Global Update:

September 13th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close higher for fourth straight session ahead of key inflation report, Dow rises 200 points

Stocks rose on Monday as a weaker dollar and growing confidence that higher prices have peaked helped Wall Street’s relief rally continue ahead of a key inflation report.

Dow…….32381 +299.6 +0.71%
Nasdaq.12266 +154.1 +1.27%
S&P 500..4110 +43.1 +1.06%

FTSE…….7473 +121.96 +1.66%
Dax……..13402 +314.1 +2.40%
CAC……..6334 +121.3 +1.95%

Nikkei….28542 +327.4 +1.16%
HSI……..19362 closed +0%
Shanghai..3262 closed +0%
ST Times..3275 +11.8 +0.36%

IDX…….7254.46 +11.81 +0.16%
LQ45…1032.79 +0.79 +0.08%

IDX Energy..2047.03 +36.30 +1.81%
IDX Bsc Mat.1339.62 +2.82 +0.21%
IDX Industrl..1371.82 +6.44 +0.47%
IDXNONCYC..699.55 +2.60 +0.37%
IDX Hlthcare.1454.40 +16.78 +1.17%
IDXCYCLIC…..882.64 +0.49 +0.06%
IDX Techno..7693.88 +56.70 +0.74%
IDX Transp…1884.79 -18.48 -0.97%
IDX Infrast…..1028.46 -6.14 -0.59%
IDX Finance 1508.41 -5.18 -0.34%
IDX Banking..1170.05 -2.50 -0.21%
IDX Property…726 +10.80 +1.50%

Indo10Yr….7.1834 -0.0125 -0.17%
ICBI……..336.5187 +0.3920 +0.12%
US10Yr……3.3620 +0.0410 +1.23%
VIX…………23.87 +1.08 +4.74%‼️

USDIndx 108.3300 -0.6730 -0.62%
Como Indx..287.62 +3.50 +1.23%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..155.49 +3.14 +2.06%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14842.00 +12.00 +0.08%
Jisdor..14839.00 -7.00 -0.05%

Euro……..1.0122 +0.0080 +0.80%

TLKM……..30.46 +0.02 +0.07%
(4520)
EIDO………24.59 +0.22 +0.90%
EEM………39.58 +0.58 +1.49%

Oil…………..87.99 +1.20 +1.38%
Gold ……..1736.20 +7.60 +0.44%
Timah. .21165.00 +314.00 +1.51%
( Closed 09/9)
Nickel…24432.00 +1400.00 +6.08%‼️
(Closed 12/9)
Silver…….19.81 +1.04 +5.54%
Copper….361.55 +4.75 +1.33%

Nturl Gas…..8.409 +0.371 +4.62%‼️

Ammonia..4133.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(08/9)

Coal price….437.50 +2.25 +0.52%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….427.50 -3.10 -0.72%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….418.00 -3.25 -0.77%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….329.00 -8.00 -2.37%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….304.50 -15.50 -4.84%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….305.25 -11.90 -3.75%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3682 +87 +2.42%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..696.00 +11.00 +1.61%
SoybeanOil…66.49 +1.67 +2.58%
Wheat……..858.75 -10.75 -1.24%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 12/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Regional Index Ijo semua, komoditas juga naik semua, kita liat apakah IHSG bisa memperpanjang wave 1 nya dengan break high dan bikin new record high… Tapi tetep jangan FOMO, masuk yang emang keliatan lagi hajatan aja…

Kita liat mau dibawa kemana ini IHSG… Kalo bikin ATH baru pasti euforia, kita ikut disitu, selama belum masih hati2

IHSG – Stoch overbought, MACD rev u, belum GC, bandar relatively diem, FF kemaren flat, harus dicari ini FNB nya kemaren berapa, jangan2 exit lagi… EW masih besar kemungkinan wave 2 dulu, LG bisa kemana aja, tapi ada gap dibawah yang menunggu ditutup

Cacing RSI Quadrant: Basic Materials, Industrials, Property, Consumer Cyclicals

Healthcare sama Energy sepertinya sudah lewat gilirannya, kalo yang sudah punya liat detail chart emitennya kalo mau hold, kalo new entry beware, mending di sektor yang baru jalan aja