Daily Analysis 20250217

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

February 17th, 2025

The S&P 500 chugged to a record high last week as new inflation data signaled good news about the Federal Reserve’s rate cut plans.

For the week, the Nasdaq Composite rose more than 2.5%, while the S&P 500 added just under 1.5%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added about 0.5%.

Dow……44546 -165.4 -0.37%
Nasdaq 20027 +81.1 +0.41%
S&P 500 6115 -0.4 -0.01%

FTSE…..8732 -32.3 -0.37%
Dax……22513 -98.6 -0.44%
CAC……8179 +14.4 +0.18%

Nikkei…39149 -312.04 -0.79%
HSI…..22620 +805.96 +3.69%‼️
Shanghai.3347 +14.2 +0.43%

IDX…6638.46 +24.89 +0.38%
LQ45…772.41+2.68 +0.35%
IDX30.400.76 +1.73. +0.43%

IDXEnergy…..2574.90 +21.53 +0.84%
IDX BscMat..1137.73 +12.18 +1.08%
IDX Indstrl… .946.43 +10.79 +1.15%
IDXNONCYC.698.60 +0.75 +0.11%
IDX Hlthcare1372.47 -8.07 -0.58%
IDXCYCLC…806.05 +2.99 +0.37%
IDX Techno.4639.79 +41.52 +0.90%
IDX Transp ..1206.51 +20.26 +1.71%
IDX Infrast 1346.24. +2.94 +0.22%
IDX Finance1356.60 +8.03 +0.60%
IDX Banking1069.9) +4.82 +0.45%
IDX Property. 745 +8.8 +1.19%

Indo10Yr.6.8439❗️-0.0601 -0.87%
ICBI….400.8471👍+1.1492 +0.29%
US2Yr.4.309 +0.048 -1.10%
US5Yr 4.391 -0.078 -1.75%
US10Yr4.526 -0.101 -2.18%
US30Yr.4.741 -0.091 -1.88%
VIX..14.77❗️ -0.33 -2.19%

USDIndx 106.7100❗️-0.335 -0.31%
Como Indx..312.08 -1.11 -0.35%
BCOMIN..148.06 -0.73 -0.49%

IndoCDS…70.75👍-2.49 -3.40%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (14/02)

IDR…….16285.00❗️-110.00 -0.67%
Jisdor..16285.00❗️-80.00 -0.49%

Euro…1.0492 +0.0024 +0.23%

TLKM…15.52 +0.31 +2.01%
( 2527)
EIDO….17.67 +0.07 +0.37%
EEM…..44.07 +0.27 +0.62%

Oil………70.74 -0.55 -0.77%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………74.74 -0.59 -0.78%
(Brent)
Gold…2900.70‼️-45.70 -1.55%
(Comex)
Gold…2882.53‼️ -45.36 -1.55%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.32.66200‼️ +681.00 +2.13%
(Closed 14/02)
.Nickel.15487.63 +100.75 +0.67%
(Closed 14/02)
Silver……32.85 +0.12 +0.36%
Copper..471.30 -6.50 -1.36%

Iron Ore 62% 106.83 – -%
(14/02)
Nturl Gas ..3.725 +0.078 +2.14%
Ammonia China. 2376.67 + -%
(Domestic Price)(14/02)

Coal price.102.75 -1.55 -1.49%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.105.10 -1.20 -1.13%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 108.10 -1.35 -1.23%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 111.00 -2.05 -1.81%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price 101.45 -0.70 -0.69%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price .99.70 -0.65 -0.65%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 99.35 -0.75 -0.75%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price. 99.90 -0.40 -0.40%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May) 4502 +45 +1.01%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………508.75 +2.75 +0.54%
SoybeanOil 46.52 -0.16 -0.34%
Wheat…..613.50 +21.50 +3.63%

Wood pulp…..6700 unch +0%
(Closed 14/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

SP500 gerak bikin record baru nyusul DJI, DJI nya sendiri merah nasdaq ijo, US treasury bond yield turun, kemungkinan index kita hijau hari ini

USD index down, gold copper down, metal2 lain up, oil down gas up coal down CPO up, beware saham energy masih ditarik2 kebawah

IHSG – masih belum aman, masih NFS, masih jelek indicatornya, stoch rev up, ada gap, dan ada reg bull div. Masih hold cash dulu kecuali yang yakin banget

Banyak yang siap dukung index jalan, Financials, Property, Healthcare, Industrials Basic Materials

Stochastic Buy Signal: ARTO BMRI ICBP INKP ITNP PTBA SMGR TLKM ADMR BSDE MNCN MPMX PTRO PWON, big accum PTBA SMGR TLKM BSDE

MACD buy signal: GGRM PGAS PTBA SMGR UNTR ABMM HMSP SRTG TINS VKTR, big accum GGRM PGAS PTBA SMGR UNTR SRTG TINS VKTR

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Daily Analysis 20250214

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

February 14th, 2025

S&P 500 nears record, Dow, Nasdaq jump as Trump announces reciprocal tariffs, delays implementation

US stocks moved higher on Thursday after President Donald Trump said he plans to introduce reciprocal tariffs but delayed their implementation, while investors digested another report that suggested inflation is once again heating up.

Dow……44711 +342.9 +0.77%
Nasdaq 19946 +295.7 +1.50%
S&P 500 6115 +63.1 +1.04%

FTSE…..8765 -42.7 -0.49%
Dax……22612 +463.99 +2.09%
CAC……8164 +121.9 +1.52%

Nikkei…39461 +497.8 +1.28%
HSI……21814 -43.6 -0.20%
Shanghai.3332 -13.9 -0.42%

IDX…6613.57 -32.21 -0.48%
LQ45…769.73 -6.58 -0.85%
IDX30.399.02 -2.27 -0.57%

IDXEnergy…..2553.36 -0.36 -0.01%
IDX BscMat..1125.55 +8.98 +0.80%
IDX Indstrl… .935.64 +4.53 +0.49%
IDXNONCYC.697.85 -0.67 -0.10%
IDX Hlthcare1380.53 +13.72 +1.00%
IDXCYCLC…803.06 +6.69 +0.84%
IDX Techno.4598.27 -9.02 -0.20%
IDX Transp ..1186.25 -7.65 -0.64%
IDX Infrast 1343.30. +7.54 +0.56%
IDX Finance1348.57 -2.37 -0.18%
IDX Banking1065.77 -6.13 -0.57%
IDX Property. 736 +11.7 +1.61%

Indo10Yr.6.9040❗️+0.0059 +0.09%
ICBI….399.6979❗️-0.0778 +0.02%
US2Yr.4.309 +0.048 -1.10%
US5Yr 4.391 -0.078 -1.75%
US10Yr4.526 -0.101 -2.18%
US30Yr.4.741 -0.091 -1.88%
VIX..15.10 -0.79 -4.97%❗️

USDIndx 107.0450❗️-0.933 -0.86%
Como Indx..313.19 +1.61 +0.52%
BCOMIN..148.79 +0.46 +0.31%

IndoCDS…75.20❗️-0.99 -1.30%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/02)

IDR…….16361.00❗️-15.00 -0.09 %
Jisdor..16365.00❗️+1.00 +0.006%

Euro…1.0468 +0.0081 +0.78%

TLKM…15.21 unch +0%
( 2489)
EIDO….17.59 +0.13 +0.74%
EEM…..44.07 +0.27 +0.62%

Oil………71.29 +0.07 +0.10%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………75.33 +0.22 +0.29%
(Brent)
Gold…2946.40‼️+12.80 +0.44%
(Comex)
Gold…2927.89‼️ +24.15 +0.83%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.31.58100 +417.00 +1.34%
(Closed 12/02)
.Nickel.15427.38 -32.50 -0.21%
(Closed 13/02)
Silver……32.73 +0.04 +0.09%
Copper..477.80 +8.25 +1.76%

Iron Ore 62% 107.26 +0.94 +0.88%
(12/02)
Nturl Gas ..3.647 +0.207 +6.02%‼️
Ammonia China. 2376.67 +6.67 +0.28%
(Domestic Price)(13/02)

Coal price.104.30 -0.20 -0.19%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.106.30 -1.10 -1.02%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 109.45 -1.30 -1.17%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 113.05 -1.30 -1.14%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price 102.15 -0.95 -0.92%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 100.35 -1.90 -1.86%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 100.10 -1.70 -1.67%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price 100.30 -1.85 -1.81%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr) 4556 -68 -1.47%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………506.00 +2.00 +0.40%
SoybeanOil 46.68 +0.55 +1.19%
Wheat…..592.00 +4.00 +0.68%

Wood pulp…..6700 unch +0%
(Closed 13/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo, europe inggris merah, asia cuma jepang ijo, us treasury bond yield drop, harusnya sih ijo IHSG hari ini

USD index down, metal2 up kecuali nickel, oil up gas up coal down cpo down, semoga AKRA jalan lagi, kita tunggu momentum re-entry

IHSG – Masih jelek, cuma 833 buy, memang mantul dari support kuat tapi belum firm reversal, reg bull div belum confirmed, masih NFS, sabar jangan aggressive dulu walau harga udah pada menarik buat diborong

Technology gorengannya udahan dulu, consumer non-cyclicals juga mulai slow, kita tunggu financials

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBTN JSMR PGEO SIDO TOWR BMTR BNGA BTPS ERAA GJTL HMSP MIKA SILO SMRA SSIA ULTJ, Big accum PGEO BNGA BTPS GJTL MIKA

MACD Buy Signal: ANTM SIDO PANI SILO, big accum ANTM

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