Daily Analysis 20240422

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

April 22nd, 2024
Good morning,
Nasdaq falls more than 2% to post sixth straight losing day as Nvidia craters 10%
The Nasdaq Composite
fell for a sixth straight session on Friday, notching its longest losing streak in more than a year. The downtrend comes as Nvidia
dived, adding to recent market woes tied to geopolitical conflicts and sticky inflation.
Dow……37987  +211.02 +0.56%
Nasdaq15282   -319.5    -2.05%
S&P 500.4967   -43.9      -0.88%
FTSE…..7896  +18.8    +0.24%
Dax……17737  -100.04 -0.56%
CAC……8022   -0.9        -0.01%
Nikkei..37068  -1011.4  -2.66%
HSI……16224    -161.7    -0.99%
Shanghai.3065 -8.96      -0.29%
IDX…..7096.56  -70.25  -0.98%
LQ45….920.31  -15.20  -1.62%
IDX30..466.84   -7.61    -1.60%
IDXEnergy..2184.82  -0.77     -0.03%
IDX BscMat1344.31  -9.97    -0.74%
IDX Indstrl…1066.49  -13.04 -1.21%
IDXNONCYC.678.79   -6.32   -0.92%
IDX Hlthcare1330.06 +14.41+1.10%
IDXCYCLIC…778.30   -14.06  -1.77%
IDXTechno3230.05  -92.46  -2.78%
IDX Transp 1355.49 -34.24  -2.46%
IDX Infrast  1580.92    -6.65     -0.42%
IDX Finance.1427.98  -17.96   -1.24%
IDX Banking.1261.44  -22.21   -1.73%
IDX Property.. 611       -10.1     -1.62%
Indo10Yr.6.9768‼️ +0.0511 +0.74%
ICBI…375.6163  -0.9877 -0.26%
US2Yr.4.988‼️  -0.002  -0.04%
US5Yr 4.672‼️  -0.008  -0.17%
US10Yr4.623‼️  -0.009 -0.19%
US30Yr.4.713❗️-0.022  -0.46%
VIX…….18.71  +0.71   +3.94%‼️
USDIndx 106.1540‼️-0.03 +0.002%
Como Indx..298.15  +2.56  +0.56%
BCOMIN..158.81  +3.20  +2.06%
IndoCDS..81.18  +2.98  +3.81%‼️
  (5-yr INOCD5) (19/04)
IDR…..16260.00‼️ +81.00  +0.50%
Jisdor.16280.00‼️ +103.00+0.64%
Euro….1.0656 +0.0015  +0.14%
TLKM…19.66   -0.11   -0.56%
( 3198)
EIDO……20.78  -0.11  -0.50%
EEM……39.71  -0.17   -0.41%
Oil…….83.14  +0.53   +0.64%
Gold..2413.80‼️  +19.00  +0.79%
Timah..35582.00‼️+1603.00 +4.72%‼️
(Closed 19/04)
Nickel..19468.50‼️ +909.50  +4.99%‼️
(Closed 19/04)
Silver….29.13   +0.85    +3.00%‼️
Copper.452.60 +6.35    +1.42%
Iron Ore 62% 108.30  +0.30  +0.28%
(19/04)
Nturl Gas..1.760 +0.045  +2.62%
Ammonia China.3050.00 -33.33  -1.08%
(Domestic Price)(18/04)
Coal price.130.60  +1.00  +0.77%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 141.75 +0.75  +0.53%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.144.40 +0.70  +0.49%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.25  -0.55  -0.37%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price..120.00  -0.35   -0.29%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.116.55   -1.35   -1.15%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.117.50   -0.50   -0.42%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 116.55   -0.25   -0.21%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
CPO(J)..3928‼️  -61.00  -1.53%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…….443.00    +6.75    +1.55%
SoybeanOil 44.94+0.28     +0.63%
Wheat..566.75    +13.75   +2.49%
Wood pulp..5708  unch   +0%
(Closed 18/04)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nasdaq keseret NVIDIA, DJI nya ijo… Europe closing jum’at kebanyakan merah, asia merah dalem, tapi di US market US bind yield merah jadi harapannya IHSG hari ini ijo

USD index up, tapi metal2 juga up malah rada tinggi, oil gas coal juga up, rada anomali ini. CPO aja yang down, sudah pasti balik arah makanya udah cutloss AALI. Semoga ini ANTM ADRO dkk lanjut jalan

IHSG – technically masih waktunya turun, beresin ABC correction. Pas ribut ributan israel iran dll. masih hold cash kecuali selective buying di energy sama basic materials yang firm gerak

Masih energy dan basic materials, infrastructure kalo yang telco malah lagi drop banget, JSMR kali ya yang panen karena lebaran

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBNI GGRM NISP PTPP LTLS, big accum BBNI GGRM

MACD Buy Signal: LTLS

Stochastic Continuation signal and big accum: SIDO

INCO menarik, vol breakout lagi, udah full load juga sih, masih hold, semoga lanjut kenceng

Alligator Buy Signal: LPPF MTMH

Daily Analysis 20240418

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

April 18th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close lower for a fourth straight day as Nvidia shares slide

The S&P 500
dropped for a fourth consecutive session on Wednesday, as Nvidia
and other struggling technology names put downward pressure on the market.

Dow……37753 -45.7 -0.12%
Nasdaq15683 -181.9 -1.15%
S&P 500.5022 -29.2 -0.58%

FTSE…..7848 +27.6 +0.35%
Dax……17770+3.8 +0.02%
CAC……7982 +48.9 +0.62%

Nikkei..37962 -509.4 -1.32%
HSI……16252 +2.9 +0.0 2%
Shanghai.3071 +64.3 +2.14%

IDX…..7161.11 -1.70 -0.02%
LQ45….928.35 -6.99 -0.75%
IDX30..470.93 -2.57 -0.54%

IDXEnergy..2197.39 -8.53 -0.39%
IDX BscMat1357.56 -34.56 -2.40%
IDX Indstrl…1080.05 -10.29 -0.94%
IDXNONCYC.685.49 :-6.30 -0.91%
IDX Hlthcare1329.70 -13.53 -1.01%
IDXCYCLIC…792.04 -1.34 -0.17%
IDXTechno3330.73 -82.56 -2.42%
IDX Transp 1399.60 -16.02 -1.13%
IDX Infrast 1584.48 -5.85 -0.37%
IDX Finance.1434.19 -4.69 -0.33%
IDX Banking.1262.96 -4.54 -0.36%
IDX Property.. 626 -2.50 -0.41%

Indo10Yr.6.9079‼️ +0.0786 +1.15%
ICBI…376.5182‼️ -1.6704 -0.44%
US2Yr.4.985‼️ -0.051 -1.02%
US5Yr 4.619‼️ -0.079 -1.68%
US10Yr4.593‼️ -0.079 -1.69%
US30Yr.4.766‼️-0.063 -1.32%
VIX………18.21 -0.19 -1.03%

USDIndx 105.9510‼️-0.306 -0.29%
Como Indx..294.44 -2.40 -0.81%
BCOMIN..153.52 +2.14 +1.41%

IndoCDS..80.16 +2.98 +3.86%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (15/04)

IDR…..16220.00‼️ +44.50 +0.28%
Jisdor.16240.00‼️ +64.00 +0.40%

Euro….1.0672 +0.0053 +0.50%

TLKM…19.62 -0.50 -2.46%‼️
( 3186)
EIDO….20.80 -0.05 -0.24%
EEM……39.71 -0.05 -0.13%

Oil…….82.75 -2.54 -2.98%‼️
Gold..2382.10 -19.10 -0.80%
Timah..31820.00 -410.00 -1.27%
(Closed 16/04)
Nickel..18159.00 +338.0 +1.90%
(Closed 17/04)
Silver….28.30 +0.09 +0.32%
Copper.436.45 -1.05 -0.24%

Iron Ore 62% 106.07 +0.02%
(16/04)
Nturl Gas..1.715 -0.006 -0.35%
Ammonia China.3083.33 -116.6 -3.65%‼️
(Domestic Price)(04/04 – 15/04)

Coal price.129.60 +0.35 +0.27%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.50 +3.10 +2.27%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.50 +3.25 +2.33%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.144.50 +1.65 +1.15%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..120.35 -1.15 -0.95%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.117.00 -2.90 -2.42%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.117.25 -2.75 -2.29%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 117.70 -2.85 -2.36%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(J)..4014‼️ -61.00 -1.50%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….441.00 -1.75 -0.40%
SoybeanOil 45.56 +0.08 +0.18%
Wheat..552.25 -12.50 -2.21%

Wood pulp..5708 +8 +0.14%
(Closed 17/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah lagi, europe ijo, asia china ijo tebel sendiri, US bond yield drop, bisa ijo kayanya IHSG hari ini

USD index down, tapi gold tin copper juga down, nickel silver iron ore up, oil gas down doal up, wah, bisa ga jadi jalan lagi ini ELSA MEDC AKRA kalo gini caranya. CPO lanjut down, AALI udah cutloss kemaren, kita tunggu buy signal berikutnya

IHSG – sttoch up, macd down, MFI down, w% down, BD FF dist, masih belum beres wave C nya

Energy, Basic Materials. Yang terlihat membaik Infrastructure Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal: PTBA ABMM ADHI RAJA SMDR ISSP UNIC BRAM

MACD Buy Signal: AKRA

Alligator Buy Signal: INCO INDF MDKA ERAA, big accum INCO

Supertrend Buy Signal: ELSA

Daily Analysis 20240417

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

April 17th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes lower as Powell warns rates need to stay high, Dow snaps 6-day losing streak

The S&P 500
slipped on Tuesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said interest rates may need to stay elevated.

Dow……37799 +63.9 +0.17%
Nasdaq15865 -19.8 -0.12%
S&P 500.5051 -10.4 -0.21%

FTSE…..7820 -145.2 -1.82%
Dax……17766 -260.4 -1.44%
CAC……7933 -112.5 -1.40%

Nikkei..38471 -761.6 -1.94%
HSI……16428 -351.5 -2.12%
Shanghai.3007. -50.3 -1.65%

IDX…..7176.12 -110.76 -1.52%
LQ45….935.34 -28.38 -2.95%‼️
IDX30…473.50 -14.66 -3.00%‼️

IDXEnergy..2205.92 +50.11 +2.32%
IDX BscMat1392.12 +32.52 +2.39%
IDX Indstrl…1090.35 -6.40 -0.58%
IDXNONCYC.691.79 -23.57 -3.30%
IDX Hlthcare1343.23 -28.36 -2.07%
IDXCYCLIC…793.38 -21.85 -2.68%
IDXTechno3413.30 -99.84 -2.84%
IDX Transp 1415.62 -28.89 -2.60%
IDX Infrast 1590.33 -10.58 -0.66%
IDX Finance.1438.88 -36.67 -2.49%
IDX Banking.1267.50 -49.98 -3.79%
IDX Property.. 652 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.8293 +0.1245 +1.86%‼️
ICBI…378.1885 -2.4082 -0.63%‼️
US2Yr.4.985‼️ +0.060 +1.22%
US5Yr 4.698‼️ +0.071 +1.53%
US10Yr4.672‼️ +0.071 +1.54%
US30Yr.4.766‼️+0.042 +0.89%
VIX………18.40‼️ -0.83 -4.32%

USDIndx 106.2570‼️+0.049 +0.05%
Como Indx..296.84 -1.34 -0.45%
BCOMIN..151.39 -1.12 -0.74%

IndoCDS..77.18 +1.95 +2.59%
(5-yr INOCD5) (15/04)

IDR…..16175.00 +327.50 +2.07%‼️
Jisdor.16176.00 +303 +1.90%‼️

Euro….1.0619❗️ -0.0008 -0.08%

TLKM…20.07 -0.75 -3.60%‼️
( 3247)
EIDO….20.85 -0.64 -2.96%
EEM……39.74 -0.53 -1.32%

Oil…….85.29 -0.61 -0.71%
Gold..2401.20 -0.10 -0.004%
Timah..32230.00❗️ -123.00 -0.38%
(Closed 15/04)
Nickel..17991.50 -170.5 -0.95%
(Closed 16/04)
Silver….28.21 -0.76 -2.62%
Copper.437.50 -7.55 -1.72%

Iron Ore 62% 106.05 unch +0%
(15/04)
Nturl Gas..1.686‼️ -0.002 -0.12%
Ammonia China.3200.00❗️ -16.67 -0.52%
(Domestic Price)(04/04 – 15/04)

Coal price.129.25 -0.50 -0.39%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 136.40 -0.10 -0.07%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.25 +0.05 +0.04%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.85 +1.10 +0.78%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..121.50 +0.80 +0.66%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.900 +1.90 +1.61%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.00 +1.50 +1.27%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.55 +1.45 +1.22%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(J)..4074‼️ -67.00 -1.62%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….442.75 -1.50 -0.34%
SoybeanOil 45.48 -0.53 -1.15%
Wheat…564.50 -2.75 -0.48%

Wood pulp..5700 unch +0%
(Closed 16/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo, Nasdaq merah, SP500 merah, europe merah, asia merah, IHSG drop, US bond yield naik tinggi, masih jelek semua buat index kita hari ini

USD index naik, precious metals turun, oil gas turun, coal newcastle turun tipis, rotterdam ijo. CPO lanjut merah, kemaren jual AALI masih ga dapet, hari ini exit beneran di DCB ah

IHSG – hari pertama buka dibanting, Foreign keluar, bandar nahan cuma di saham saham yang terkait komoditas yang naik, semuabig cap dibanting, tapi jadi kemungkinan besar technical rebound hari ini. Outlook masih jelek, apalagi liat bond yield. Jangan aggressive dulu

Basic Materials, Energy, yang lain ga usah dilirik dlu, resiko

Stochastic Buy SIgnal: ADRO PTMP ASSA DOID ENRG HEAL HRTA. Big accum ASSA

MACD Buy Signal: ADRO ANTM INCO PTBA ENRG RAJA SSIA KKGI CINT. Big accum ANTM INCO PTBA

Daily Analysis 20240416

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

April 16th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close 1% lower as yields jump, traders await Israel response to Iran

Stocks retreated on Monday as rising yields and worries over the conflict in the Middle East overshadowed strong Goldman Sachs
earnings and hot retail sales data.

Dow……37735 -248.1 -0.65%
Nasdaq15885 -290.1 -1.79%
S&P 500.5062 -61.6 -1.20%

FTSE…..7966 -30.1 -0.38%
Dax……18027 +96.3 +0.54%
CAC……8045 +34.3 +0.43%

Nikkei..39233 -290.8 -0.74%
HSI……16601 -121.2 -0.72%
Shanghai.3057+37.9 +1.26%

IDX…..7286.88 closed +0%
LQ45….963.73 closed +0%
IDX30…488.17 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2155.81 closed +0%
IDX BscMat1359.61 closed. +0%
IDX Indstrl…1096.75 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.715.36 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1371.58 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…815.23 closed +0%
IDXTechno3513.14 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1444.51 closed +0%
IDX Infrast 1600.91 closed +0%
IDX Finance.1475.65 closed +0%
IDX Banking.1317.47 closed +0%
IDX Property.. 652 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.7048 closed +0%
ICBI…379.8860 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.925‼️ +0.013 +0.27%
US5Yr 4.627‼️ +0.016 +0.39%
US10Yr4.601‼️ -0.028 -0.61%
US30Yr.4.724‼️+0.016 +0.34%
VIX………19.23 +1.92 +11.09%‼️

USDIndx 106.2080‼️+0.17 +0.16%
Como Indx..298.18 +0.31 +0.10%
BCOMIN..152.51‼️ +1.97 +1.31%

IndoCDS..75.23 +1.01 +1.36%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/04)

IDR…..15848.00‼️closed +0%
Jisdor.15873.00‼️closed +0%

Euro….1.0627‼️ +0.00 +0.03%

TLKM…20.85 +0.10 +0.48%
( 3309)
EIDO……21.48 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM……40.27 -0.27 -0.65%

Oil…….85.90 +0.49 +0.57%
Gold..2401.20 +94.30 +4.08%‼️
(04/04-15/04)
Timah..28935.00 +3418.00 +11.81%‼️
(03/04 ’til 12/04)
Nickel..17991.50 +194.5 +1.09%❗️
(Closed 04/04)
Silver….28.97 +2.03 +7.53%‼️
(04/04 – 15/04)
Copper.437.50 +16.10 +3.77%
(04/04 – 15/04)
Iron Ore 62% 106.05 +5.64 +5.61%‼️
(03/04-12/04)
Nturl Gas..1.686‼️ -0.002 -0.12%
Ammonia China.3216.67 +183.34 +6.04%‼️
(Domestic Price)(04/04 – 12/04)

Coal price.129.75 +0.50 +0.39%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 136.50 +2.75 +2.06%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.20 +3.20 +2.35%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.75 +2.50 +1.80%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..120.70 -0.60 -0.49%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.00 -1.25 -1.05%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.50 -0.90 -0.75%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 118.55 -1.45 -1.21%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)..4202 -205.00 -4.88%‼️
(04/04 – 15/04)
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….444.25 -3.00 -0.67%
SoybeanOil 46.01 -0.44 -0.95%
Wheat…567.50 -3.00 -0.67%

Wood pulp..5700 unch +0%
(Closed 15/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Lama libur, ketemu serangan Iran ke Israel… DJI sudah beberapa hari trun terus, europe varied, asia kebanyakan merah kemaren, IHSG hari ini kayanya akan rada goncang…

Suasana perang, selalu USD naik, commodity terkait energy naik, Bond Yield dan interest rate biasanya naik biar orang keep dana di system. Belum pasti gimana dampak ke BEI, kemungkinan besar akan goyang dulu, baru nanti setelah shock nya lewat yang hubungan sama energy yang jalan

Semua precious metals naik, oil naik, gas turun, coal naik, CPO drop. Normally saya akan hold ANTM erat erat, dan ELSA, dan ADRO, tapi entahlah dengan kondisi sekarang

IHSG – kalo dari elliot wavenya sih, emang jadwal nerusin ABC correction… walau terakhir market closing stoch buy, macd revup, FF rev net buy, tapi kondisi global memanas di saat kita libur bisa jadi efeknya meledak di opening day hari ini

dari sini sih masih jadwalnya basic materials, dan kalo liat metal2 naik ya cocok, tapi masih unpredictable karena suasana global

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM BBCA INCO TLKM ELSA IMAS LPPF MIKA SGRO. Big accum ANTM INCO MIKA

MACD buy Signal: PGEO SIDO ADMR BSDE DOID JPFA. Big accum SIDO DOID