Daily Analysis 20221115

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

November 15th, 2022

Good morning,

The Dow struggled for direction, but ended Monday in the red as investors digested remarks from the Federal Reserve officials insisting further rate hikes were ahead, albeit at a slower pace, as the fight against inflation was far from over.

Dow…….33537 -211.2 -0.63%
Nasdaq.11196 -127.1 -1.12%
S&P 500..3957 -36.7 -0.89%

FTSE…….7385 +67.1 +0.92%
Dax……..14313 +88.4 +0.62%
CAC……..6609 +14.6 +0.22%

Nikkei….27963 -300.1 -1.06%
HSI……..17620 +294.1 +1.70%
Shanghai..3083 -3.9 -0.13%
ST Times..3261 +32.5 +1.01%

IDX…….7019.39 -69.81 -0.98%
LQ45….1001.02 -11.92 -1.18%

IDX Energy..1961.54 -19.03 -0.96%
IDX Bsc Mat.1314.95 -3.32 -0.25%
IDX Industrl..1217.86 -9.68 -0.79%
IDXNONCYC..729.61 +4.83 +0.67%
IDX Hlthcare.1490.86 +9.83 +0.66%
IDXCYCLIC…..884.72 -1.53 -0.17%
IDX Techno.6780.62 -160.24 -2.31%
IDX Transp…1805.12 -3.29 -0.18%
IDX Infrast……918.36 -6.75 -0.73%
IDX Finance 1487.11 -14.21 -0.94%
IDX Banking.1186.61 -17.21 -1.43%
IDX Property….698 -0.30 -0.04%

Indo10Yr….7.3943 -0.0568 -0.76%‼️
ICBI……..336.2150 +0.9043 +0.27%👍
US10Yr..3.8650 +0.0520 +1.36%
VIX……23.73 +1.21 +5.37%‼️

USDIndx..106.9310 +0.6390 +0.60%
Como Indx..282.16 -3.63 -1.27%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……167.03 +2.68 +1.63%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 -19.45 -15.60%‼️👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15519.50 +24.50 +0.16%
Jisdor..15499.00 +6.00 +0.04%

Euro……..1.0328 -0.0019 0.18%

TLKM……..25.84 -0.14 -0.54%
(4005)
EIDO………23.37 -0.38 -1.60%
EEM……….37.93 -0.23 -0.60%

Oil…………85.87 -3.09 -3.47%‼️
Gold ……1776.90 +7.50 +0.42%
Timah…..21315 – –
(Closed 11/11)
Nickel…29066.50 +1639.50 +5.97%‼️
(Closed 14/11)
Silver………22.11 +0.45 +2.06%
Copper…..382.75 -8.60 -2.19%

Nturl Gas…..6.069 +0.167 +2.83%

Ammonia..4363.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(10/11)

Coal price….330.35 +3.55 +1.09%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….309.50 +9.50 +3.17%‼️
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….304.65 +8.65 +2.92%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….194.00 +3.45 +1.81%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….192.50 +12.00 +6.65%‼️
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….192.00 +10.70 +5.90%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 -2.00 -2.18%
Indonesial Coal Index (1+/11)

CPO(Jan)……4108 -182 -4.24%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….659.25 -3.75 -0.57%
SoybeanOil…73.88 -0.66 -0.89%
Wheat………838.25 +3.00 +0.36%

Wood pulp…6670.00 -30 -0.45%
(Closed 14/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Asia varied, Europe ijo, US merah lagi… Kemaren merah dalem IHSG, udah tutup gap, kayanya sekarang ijo walau ga tebel…

Gold Copper merah, Silver Nickel Ijo, bagus buat INCO, MDKA kurang… Oil lanjut turun lagi, gas naik, coal naik, cpo turun. Ini energy geraknya gantian terus oil sama coal, jadi ga set entry nya…

IHSG – udah tutup gap, dan kalo hari ini flat aja, lagging line ichimoku udah tembus candle –> bullish

IHSG – yang jadi masalah itu masih FNS terus… Gimana gimana juga kalo asing keluar ya harga saham terutama yang mereka lepas turun. Ini MACD nya rada critical, semoga ga reverse ke bawah. Stochastic dan MFI sih udah siap mantul

Basic Materials, Technology, Consumer Cyclicals… Property sama Infrastructure keliatan mau gerak

Daily Analysis 20221114

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

November 14th, 2022

Good morning,

Nasdaq adds 1.9%, S&P 500 closes nearly 1% higher and notches best week since June

The S&P 500 closed out its best week since June as a report on Thursday showing slowing inflation raised hopes that the Federal Reserve would soon slow its tightening campaign.

Dow…….33748 +32.5 +0.10%
Nasdaq.11323 +209.2 +1.88%
S&P 500..3993 +36.6 +0.92%

FTSE…….7318 -57.3 -0.78%
Dax……..14225 +78.8 +0.58%
CAC……..6595 +37.8 +0.58%

*Nikkei….28264 +817.5 +2.98%*
*HSI……..17326 +1244.6 +7.74%‼️*
Shanghai..3087 +51.2 +1.68%
ST Times..3228 +55.2 +1.74%

IDX…….7089.21 +123.37 +1.76%
*LQ45….1012.94 +21.29 +2.15%*

IDX Energy..1980.57 +5.14 +0.26%
*IDX Bsc Mat.1318.27 +32.35 +2.52%*
IDX Industrl..1227.54 -7.22 -0.58%
IDXNONCYC..724.78 +0.30 +0.04%
IDX Hlthcare.1481.03 -13.39 -0.90%
IDXCYCLIC…..886.25 +5.40 +0.61%
*IDX Techno.6940.87 +289.14 +4.35%‼️*
IDX Transp…1808.41 -2.21 -0.12%
IDX Infrast……925.11 +8.06 +0.88%
*IDX Finance 1501.22 +33.73 +2.30%*
*IDX Banking.1205.82 +33.08 +2.82%*
IDX Property….698 +6.40 +0.92%

*Indo10Yr….7.4511 -0.0429 -0.57%‼️*
*ICBI……..335.2798 +1.4335 +0.43%👍*
*US10Yr..3.8130 -0.0160 -0.42%*
*VIX……22.52 -1.01 -4.29%👍*

*USDIndx106.2920 -1.6070 -1.49%‼️👍*
Como Indx..285.79 +3.67 +1.30%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN……164.35 +7.19 +4.57%‼️*
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 -19.45 -15.60%‼️👍*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15495.00 -198.50 -1.26%👍*
*Jisdor..15493.00 -208.00 -1.32%👍*

*Euro……..1.0347 +0.0145 +1.42%👍*

*TLKM……..25.98 -0.84 -3.13%‼️*
*(4025)*
EIDO………23.75 -0.02 -0.08%
*EEM……….38.16 +1.01 +2.72%*

*Oil…………88.96 +2.49 +2.88%*
*Gold ……1769.40 +15.70 +0.90%‼️*
*Timah…..21315 +991.00 +4.88%‼️*
*(Closed 11/11)*
*Nickel…27427.00 +1270.00 +4.86%‼️*
*(Closed 11/11)*
Silver………21.67 -0.04 -0.16%
*Copper…..391.35 +15.50 +4.14%‼️*

*Nturl Gas…..5.902 -0.249 -4.05%‼️*

Ammonia..4363.33 unch +0%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(10/11)

Coal price….326.80 +2.55 +0.79%
(Nov/Newcastle)
*Coal price….299.50 +10.10 +3.49%‼️*
(Des/Newcastle)
*Coal price….296.00 +8.15 +2.83%*
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….190.55 -0.15 -0.05%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….180.50 -6.90 -3.68%‼️*
(Des/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….181.30 -7.15 -3.79%‼️*
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..91.80 unch +0%
Indonesial Coal Index (10/11)

*CPO(Jan)……4290 +96 +2.24%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….663.00 +3.50 +0.53%
SoybeanOil…74.54 +0.91 +1.24%
Wheat………835.25 +9.50 +1.15%

Wood pulp…6700.00 unch +0%
(Closed 13/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Ijo semua kecuali inggris, HSI rebound nya luar biasa kenceng
Semua komoditas naik kecuali gas. Logam2 an lanjut naik, cuma silver yang koreksi. Basic Materials masih lanjut ini. Coal kita tunggu momentum menjelang santa claus rally

Dari ichimoku, udah mau uptrend, dari lagging line yang udah mau tembus ke atas candle. Lagi mau ngetest breakout cloud, cloud nya juga tipis. supertrend udah bilang up dari 24 oktober, alligatornya lagi mau buy signal. Udah deket ini santa claus rally… Masih FNS udah 3 hari, sih, kita tunggu aja

IHSG – Dari banyak indicator, yang masih meragukan cuma MFI yang masih turun, keliatannya akan start jalan pas MFI nya mulai up

Masih Basic Materials, Finance keliatan mau bangun (harus bangun kalo index mau jalan lagi), Infrastructure, Technology, Energy belum…

Daily Analysis 20221111

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

November 11th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow pops 1,200 points, S&P 500 jumps 5% in biggest rally in two years after light inflation report

Stocks mounted their biggest rally since 2020 after October’s reading of consumer prices raised investor hopes that inflation has peaked.

October’s consumer price index rose just 0.4% for the month and 7.7% from a year ago, its lowest annual increase since January and a slowdown from the 8.2% annual pace in the prior month. Economists were expecting increases of 0.6% and 7.9%, according to Dow Jones. Excluding volatile food and energy costs, so-called core CPI increased 0.3% for the month and 6.3% on an annual basis, also less than expected.

*Dow…….33715 +1201.4 +3.70%‼️*
*Nasdaq.11114 +760.97 +7.36%‼️*
*S&P 500..3956 +207.8 +5.54%‼️*

FTSE…….7375 +79.1 +1.08%
*Dax……..14146 +479.8 +3.51%*
CAC……..6557 +126.3 +1.96%

Nikkei….27446 -270.7 -0.98%
HSI……..16081 -277.5 -1.70%
Shanghai..3036 -12.03 -0.39%
ST Times..3173 +7.7 +0.24%

IDX…….6966.84 -103.25 -1.46%
LQ45…..991.65 -17.55 -1.74%

IDX Energy..1975.43 -36.92 -1.97%
IDX Bsc Mat.1285.93 -13.20 -1.02%
IDX Industrl..1234.76 -24.46 -1.94%
IDXNONCYC..724.48 -9.40 -1.19%
IDX Hlthcare.1494.43 -2.36 -0.16%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.85 -6.72 -0.76%
IDX Techno..6651.73 -115.19 -1.70%
IDX Transp…1810.62 -42.59 -2.30%
IDX Infrast……917.05 -6.87 -0.74%
IDX Finance 1467.50 -15.71 -1.06%
IDX Banking.1172.75 -15.78 -1.33%
IDX Property….692 -4.00 -0.58%

*Indo10Yr….7.4940 -0.0226 -0.30%‼️*
*ICBI……..333.8463 +0.4951 +0.15%‼️*
*US10Yr..3.8290 -0.3220 -7.76%‼️👍*
*VIX……23.53 -2.56 -9.81%👍*

*USDIndx107.8990 -2.5390 -2.30%‼️👍*
Como Indx..282.12 +2.34 +0.84%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN……157.16 +3.10 +2.01%*
.
*IndoCDS..124.70👍 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15693.50 +36.50 +0.23%‼️*
*Jisdor..15701.00 +47 +0.30%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0202 +0.0191 +1.91%👍*

TLKM……..26.82 +0.48 +1.82%
*(4123)*
EIDO………23.77 +0.46 +1.97%
*EEM……….37.15 +1.30 +3.63%*

Oil…………86.47 +0.64 +0.75%
*Gold ……1753.70 +40.00 +2.37%‼️*
Timah…..19817 +158.00 +0.80%
*(Closed 09/11)*
*Nickel…26157.00 +1427.00 +5.77%‼️*
*(Closed 10/11)*
Silver………21.70 +0.38 +1.76%
Copper…..375.80 +5.80 +1.57%

*Nturl Gas…..6.151 +0.198 +3.33%*

Ammonia..4363.33 +16.66 +0.37
*China*
(Domestic Price)(11/11)

Coal price….324.25 +1.50 +0.46%
(Nov/Newcastle)
*Coal price….289.40 -10.75 -3.58%‼️*
(Des/Newcastle)
*Coal price….287.85 -9.4(0 -3.16%‼️*
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….190.65 +1.85 +0.98%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….187.40 +8.60 +4.81%‼️*
(Des/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….188.45 +8.95 +4.99%‼️*
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..91.80 unch +0%
Indonesial Coal Index (09/11)

CPO(Jan)……4196 -16 -0.38%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….653.25 -11.25 -1.69%
SoybeanOil…76.09 +0.55 +0.73%
Wheat………803.50 -3.00 -0.37%

Wood pulp…6700.00 unch +0%
(Closed 10/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Wuih Nasdaq rebound kenceng banget… US europer ijo tebel, asia masih ikut sentimen hari sebelumnya, masih pada merah kemaren, hari ini harusnya ikut menghijau

Oil Coal Gas rebound dikit, semoga DCB nya cukup buat exit dulu sambil nunggu beneran mantul. Metal2an naik lagi semua, good for basic materials, ANTM INCO MDKA dkk. CPO masih lesu

Udah cukup koreksinya, antara fibo 38 sama 50, udah lanjut rally deh ya IHSG…

IHSG – dari stochastic belum firmmantul, masih flat, MFI masih down, FNS, bandar flat, DMI down, LR bisa kemana aja. Itungan fib retracement udah cukup koreksinya tapi untuk ke atas lagi

Basic Materials, Consumer Cyclicals, Property, Infrastructure, Technology

Stochastic Buy Signal: TPIA UNVR SCMA

TPIA – stoch buy, macd dikit lagi, LR up, DMI start contraction, hid bull div, 2 hari bandar akum, FF tipis, MFI masih down, udah berani BOW sih, setengah dulu, stoploss jelas di previous low, vol breakout nambah

UNVR – menarik banget, sesuai retracement pattern,dari bawah ke fibo 38,sekarng di fibo 23, siap lanjut jalan. Stoch buy, macd belum, bd ff belum, MFI masih down,kita liat lagi pas MACD nya buy deh

SCMA – udah kejauhan larinya, bukan saatnya entry sekarang…

 

DAily Analysis 20221110

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

November 10th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 600 points lower after indecisive midterms, crypto selloff

Stocks were lower on Wednesday — following recent market gains — as results of the midterm elections provided no clear answers about who would control Congress yet. A crypto selloff also weighed on markets.

Dow…….32514  -646.9       -1.95%
Nasdaq.10353  -263.02     -2.48%
S&P 500..3749  -79.5          -2.08%

FTSE…….7296   -9.9         -0.14%
Dax……..13666  -22.4      -0.16%
CAC……..6431   -10.9      -0.17%

Nikkei….27716   -156.7     -0.56%
HSI……..16359    -198.8     -1.20%
Shanghai..3048  -16.3       -0.53%
ST Times..3166   +19.7    +0.63%

IDX…….7070.08  +19.96  +0.28%
LQ45…..1009.21 +3.47    +0.34%

IDX Energy..2015.05    -23.73   -1.16%
IDX Bsc Mat.1299.13  +3.03    +0.23%
IDX Industrl..1259.21  +2.75    +0.22%
IDXNONCYC..733.87   -1.40     -0.19%
IDX Hlthcare.1496.78  -1.19     -0.08%
IDXCYCLIC…..887.56  +1.33     +0.15%
IDX Techno..6766.93   +113.08 +1.70%
IDX Transp…1853.29   -15.88    -0.85%
IDX Infrast……923.92   +1.97    -1.07%
IDX Finance 1483.21    +7.21   +0.17%
IDX Banking.1188.53   +5.09   +1.04%

IDX Property….691       -0.00     -0.00%

Indo10Yr….7.5396   -0.0230    -0.31%
ICBI……..333.3704   +0.6611  +0.20%
US10Yr……4.1510  +0.0250   +0.61%
VIX……….26.09       +0.55       +2.15%

USDIndx 110.4380  +0.8310 +0.76%
Como Indx..279.78   -4.27   -1.50%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……154.06  -0.40    -0.26%
.
IndoCDS..124.70👍         –               -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15657.00   -40.50    -0.26%‼
Jisdor..15654.00   -30          -0.19%‼

Euro……..1.0011  -0.0063  -0.63%

TLKM……..26.34    -0.50   -1.86%
(4123)
EIDO………23.31    -0.25    -1.06%
EEM……….35.85   -0.63     -1.73%

Oil…………85.83     -3.08        -3.46%‼
Gold ……1713.u0    -2.30      -0.13%
Timah…..19659     +720.00  +3.80%‼
(Closed 08/11)
Nickel…24730.00  +852.00  +3.57%‼
(Closed 09/11)
Silver………21.33     -0.17       -0.81%
Copper…..370.00   +1.75     +0.48%

Nturl Gas…..5.953     -0.246    -3.97%‼

Ammonia..4346.67  +16.67   +0.38%
China
(Domestic Price)(08/11)

Coal price….325.75  -14.25   -4.20%‼
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….300.15  -23.35   -7.22%‼
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….297.25  -22.90   -7.15%‼
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….188.80   -2.70    -1.41%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….178.80   -6.20    -3.35%‼
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….179.50   -6.20    -3.34%‼
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..91.80   unch     +0%
Indonesial Coal Index (08/11)

CPO(Jan)……4196    -172     -3.94%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….664.50   -3.00    -0.46%
SoybeanOil…75.54   +0.51   +0.68%
Wheat………806.50   -21.25  -2.57%

Wood pulp…6700.00  unch   +0%
(Closed 08/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Yak, kompak merah semua index regional kecuali singapore sama indonesia, sepertinya giliran ikut merah hari ini…

Komoditi energy lanjut merah, metal2 ada yang koreksi dikit, timah nikel copper tetep naik. CPO lanjut turun, masih jadwal koreksi deh index

Ngitung fibonacci udah cukup index turun dulu, siap jalan lagi. Semoga…