Daily Analysis 20221205

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

December 05th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq end Friday lower after November jobs report; indexes notch weekly gains

Stocks cut much of their earlier losses Friday as investors looked past hotter-than-expected labor data to the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting.

Dow…….34430   +34.9      +0.10%
Nasdaq.11462   -20.95     -0.18%
S&P 500..4072   -4.9         -0.12%

FTSE…….7556   -2.3         -0.03%
Dax……..14529  +39.1      +0.27%
CAC……..6742   -11.7        -0.17%

Nikkei….27778    -448.2     -1.59%
HSI……..18675    -61.1        -0.33%
Shanghai..3156  -9.3          -0.29%
ST Times..3259  -33.6       -1.02%

IDX…….7019.64   -1.16.    -0.02%
LQ45……989.59   -6.37     -0.64%

IDX Energy..2134.91   +31.84 +1.54%
IDX BscMat 1289.58   -2.01    -0.16%
IDX Indstrl…1238.23   -22.24  -1.76%
IDXNONCYC..741.67  +0.63   +0.09%
IDX Hlthcare.1530.80 +0.48   +0.03%
IDXCYCLIC…..893.48  +1.01   +0.11%
IDX Techno….5737.08 -72.30  -1.24%
IDX Transp…1793.62   -3.23    -0.18%
IDX Infrast……894.70  +1.45   +0.16%
IDX Finance 1480.37   -6.78    -0.46%,
IDX Banking 1204.01   -6.04    -0.50%
IDX Property….719       -0.30    -0.04%

Indo10Yr….7.0064  -0.0329  -0.47%👍
ICBI……..344.0600 +0.6140 +0.18%👍
US10Yr..3.5060   -0.0230   -0.65%👍
VIX……19.06       -0.78        -3.93%👍

USDIndx..104.5450  -0.1710  -0.16%👍
Como Indx..276.69  -2.77      -0.99%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..168.17  +3.30     +2.00%
.
IndoCDS..105.25         –              -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15425.50  -137.00   -0.88%👍
Jisdor..15429.00  -188.00   -1.20%👍

Euro……..1.0538  +0.0013  +0.12%

TLKM……..25.62  +0.24     +0.95%👍
(3953)
EIDO………23.98   unch      +0%
EEM……….39.54  +0.15     +0.38%

Oil………….79.98    -1.24      -1.53%
Gold ……1809.60  -5.60      -0.31%
Timah…..22921    -76.00    -0.33%
(Closed 02/12)
Nickel…27454.00 +624.50   +2.27%
(Closed 02/12)
Silver………23.25    +0.41      +1.79%
Copper….385.05    +3.30      +0.86%

Nturl Gas…..6.222   -0.612     -8.96%‼

Ammonia..4740.00  +50.00  +1.07%‼
China
(Domestic Price)(30/11)

Coal price….391.00   +6.00   +1.56%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….385.00  +9.00   +2.39%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….375.85  +9.10   +2.48%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….267.00   +1.00    +0.38%
(Des/Rotterdam)
Coal price….271.30   +2.30    +0.86%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….268.70   +2.00    +0.75%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80         –              -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)……3958   -123    -3.01%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….646.25  -14.25   -2.16%
SoybeanOil…64.44    -1.34      -2.04%
Wheat………761.00   -22.00    -2.81%

Wood pulp…6580.00  unch   +0%
(Closed 04/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index regional jum’at closing tipis2 di US dan Europe, asia minus… masih sideways

Oil Gas turun lagi, Coal lanjut naik, metal2 ga kompak, gold lead turun, nickel silver copper naik. Primadonanya saham saham batubara, ANTM sama INCO kalo gini

CPO drop lagi, masih suram ini…

IHSG – masih sideways aja, tapi lagi net sell foreign nya, hati hati… Kita pantau lagi infobank15

Infobank15 – bearish divergence confirmed by 2 bear candle, hadeuh… LR masih ok,, stoch sell, macd rev down, MFI masih UP, urusannya sama FNS ini makanya ga jalan, sabar sabar, window dressing is coming… Jangan aggressive dulu

Banyak yang cacing RSI nya leading, tapi financials belum… Energy Property Healthcare Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Daily Analysis 20221201

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

December 01st, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 ends 3-day losing streak. Dow jumps 700 points after Powell signals smaller rate hikes

Stocks saw broad gains Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell confirmed that the central bank will slow the pace of its aggressive rate-hiking campaign that has weighed on markets.

*Dow…….34590 +737.2 +2.18%*
*Nasdaq.11468 +484.2 +4.41%*
*S&P 500..4080 +122.5 +3.09%*

FTSE…….7573 +61.1 +0.81%
Dax……..14397 +41.6 +0.29%
CAC……..6739 +69.6 +1.04%

Nikkei….27969 -58.9 -0.21%
HSI……..18597 +392.6 +2.16%
Shanghai..3151 +1.6 +0.05%
ST Times..3290 +14.1 +0.43%

IDX…….7081.31 +69.24 +0.99%
LQ45….1008.28 +13.06 +1.31%

IDX Energy..2078.75 +6.79 +0.33%
IDX Bsc Mat.1284.28 +3.93 +0.31%
IDX Industrl..1246.26 +7.94 +0.64%
IDXNONCYC..744.99 +6.54 +0.89%
IDX Hlthcare.1537.02 +18.24 +1.20%
IDXCYCLIC…..894.72 +4.05 +0.45%
IDX Techno….5896.76 -108.60 -1.81%
IDX Transp…1775.28 -2.37 -0.13%
IDX Infrast……894.06 -1.51 -0.17%
IDX Finance 1509.34 +26.69 +1.80%,
*IDX Banking 1231.39 +33.53 +2.80%‼️*
IDX Property….718 +2.80 +0.39%

*Indo10Yr….7.1218 -0.0308 -0.43%👍*
*ICBI……..341.9633 +0.8271 +0.24%👍*
*US10Yr..3.7030 -0.0450 -1.22%*
*VIX……20.58 -1.31 -5.98%*

*USDIndx..106.0250 -0.8060 -0.75%*
Como Indx..279.76 +4.24 +1.54%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN……162.30 +4.19 +2.65%*
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15731.50 -11.00 -0.07%‼️*
*Jisdor..15742.00 +5.00 +0.03%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0408 +0.0079 +0.76%👍*

TLKM……..25.48 +0.37 +1.47%
*(4011)*
EIDO………23.77 +0.46 +1.97%
*EEM……….38.52 +1.11 +2.89%*

*Oil………….80.55 +2.35 +3.01%‼️*
Gold ……1759.90 -3.80 -0.22%
Timah…..22788 +434.00 +1.94%
*(Closed 29/11)*
Nickel…26928.50 +59.00 +0.22%
*(Closed 30/11)*
Silver………21.78 +0.35 +1.61%
Copper…..373.80 +9.85 +2.71%

Nturl Gas…..7.274 -0.055 -0.75%

Ammonia..4623.33 +33.33 +0.73%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(29/11)

*Coal price….398.50 +11.10 +2.87%*
(Dec/Newcastle)
*Coal price….389.00 +15.50 +4.15%‼️*
(Jan/Newcastle)
*Coal price….379.50 +14.25 +3.90%‼️*
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price….279.00 +19.00 +7.31%‼️*
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….283.95 +23.45 +9.00%‼️*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….282.90 +24.50 +9.48%‼️*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)……4236 +15 +0.36%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….667.00 -2.50 -0.37%
SoybeanOil…71.88 -1.10 -1.51%
Wheat………795.50 +14.00 +1.79%

Wood pulp…6590.00 unch +0%
(Closed 30/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Ijo semua kecuali IHSG sama Nikkei, US ijo tebel abis pengumuman akan slow down kenaikan suku bunga fed. Bagus buat saham overall

Coal lanjut naik tinggi, metal metal ijo kecuali gold, oil rebond, gas koreksi tipis, CPO ijo tipis, masih bullish baru di coal. Banks keliatan di gas, mau mulai santa claus rally? Probably

IHSG – bener bener dibawa sideways, foreign masih net buy terus, optimis tinggal tunggu breakout

 

Energy, Healthcare, Property, disusul Industrials sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals dan Consumer Cyclicals, Basic Materials mulai gerak, ini kalo Financials lanjut firm jadi semuanya jalan, index lari lagi.

Daily Analysis 20221130

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

November 30th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close lower for third day as investors look to Fed Chair Powell’s speech

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed lower for a third straight session Tuesday as traders struggled to recover from sharp losses suffered in the previous session and looked ahead to more economic tea leaves coming later in the week.

Dow…….33853 +3.1 +0.01%
Nasdaq.10984 -65.7 -0.59%
S&P 500..3958 -6.3 -0.16%

FTSE…….7512 +37.98 +0.51%
Dax……..14356 -27.9 -0.19%
CAC……..6669 +3.8 +0.06%

Nikkei….28028 -134.99 -0.48%
*HSI……..18205 +906.7 +5.24%*
Shanghai..3150 +71.2 +2.31%
ST Times..3276 +36.3 +1.12%

IDX…….7012.07 -5.29 -0.08%
LQ45……995.22 -1.54 -0.15%

IDX Energy..2071.96 +34.40 +1.69%
IDX Bsc Mat.1280.35 +7.00 +0.55%
IDX Industrl..1280.35 +3.70 +0.30%
IDXNONCYC..738.45 +0.68 +0.09%
IDX Hlthcare.1518.79 +23.36 +1.56%
IDXCYCLIC…..890.67 +0.26 +0.03%
*IDX Techno.6004.76 -174.38 -2.82%‼️*
IDX Transp…1777.65 -2.59 -0.15%
IDX Infrast……895.58 -0.13 -0.01%
IDX Finance 1482.65 -2.77 -0.19%,
IDX Banking 1197.86 +5.38 +0.45%
IDX Property….710 +1.00 +0.14%

*Indo10Yr….7.1526 -0.0197 -0.27%👍*
*ICBI……..341.1362 +0.3482 +0.10%👍*
*US10Yr..3.7480 +0.0450 +1.22%*
VIX……21.89 -0.32 -1.44%

*USDIndx..106.8310 +0.1740 +0.16%‼️*
Como Indx..272.92 -0.33 -0.12%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……158.10 +2.46 +1.58%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15742.50 +20.50 +0.13%‼️*
*Jisdor..15737.00 +8.00 +0.05%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0329 -0.0014 -0.14%*

TLKM……..25.11 +0.07 +0.28%
*(3952)*
EIDO………23.31 +0.03 +0.13%
*EEM……….38.41 +0.81 +2.15%*

Oil………….78.20 +0.96 +1.24%
Gold ……1763.70 +8.40 +0.48%
Timah…..22354 +123.00 +0.55%
*(Closed 28/11)*
*Nickel…26869.50 +1302.50 +5.09%‼️*
*(Closed 29/11)*
Silver………21.44 +0.31 +1.47%
Copper…..363.95 +2.40 +0.66%

Nturl Gas…..7.274 -0.055 -0.75%

Ammonia..4590.00 unch +0%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(28/11)

*Coal price….387.40 +8.40 +2.22%*
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….373.50 +5.00 +1.36%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….365.25 +3.60 +1.00%
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price….260.00 +11.00 +4.42%‼️*
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….260.50 +10.60 +4.24%‼️*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….258.40 +10.00 +4.03%‼️*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

*CPO(Feb)……4223 +89 +2.15%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….669.50 -1.75 -0.26%
SoybeanOil…72.97 -0.14 -0.19%
Wheat………781.50 +0.75 +0.10%

Wood pulp…6590.00 unch +0%
(Closed 29/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

DJI plus dikit, nasdaq masih minus, europe mulai menghijau, asia kemaren pada ijo kecuali nikkei sama ihsg. Harusnya ijo hari ini…

Metal2 mantul, nikel naik tinggi

Oil rebound, Coal lanjut naik, gas koreksi dikit, sektor energy mau memimpin santa claus rally kah? Probably…

Harga CPO mulai menarik, terlihat mantul, kita tunggu AALI dan LSIP nongol buy signal

Sudah di sekitar fibo 23, harusnya lanjut ke 38…

IHSG – stoch sell, MACD sell, masih FNB, MFI flat, dibawa sideways sampe kapan ini index, ga lanjut2 wave 3 aja, keliatannya ga jadi ascending triangle, bakal jadi darvas box aja… Kita check Infobank lagi deh, biar bisa didateksi emang mau dibawa turun dulu apa nggak

Infobank15 – seminggu FNB terus, memang stoch dan macd masih sideways, MFI mulai up, ini kayanay tinggal nunggu momentum breakout, sekalian tutup gap. Safe to say bahwa index ga akan dibanting sih

Masih Energy Property, diikuti Industrials, Healthcare sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals dan Consumer Cyclicals, pada ganjel aja ini keliatannya nunggu financials manggung lagi

Stochastic Buy Signal: INCO MIKA UNVR ELSA

MACD Buy Signal: MIKA. Memang kemaren naik tinggi banget sih, kita liat apa masih lanjut atau emang udah sekali jalan doang

INCO – Stoch Buy, MACD almost buy, MFI SW FF 3 hari FNB, bandar 2 hari dist, EW harusnya wave 3, triange pattern break ke atas tapi ga kenceng, target lumayan tinggi. Tapi historicalnya INCO gerak seiring bandar movement, jadi dengan posisi BD distribusi jangan dulu, walau FF akum

MIKA – stoch buy, macd by, MFI naik dikit, BD akum FNB walau masih tipis, masih wave 3, LR juga up, bisa BOW di tengah candle kemaren plus 1 tick

UNVR – stoch buy, macd buy, BD 3 hari akum, FF masih bolak balik, MFI up,ada gap 2 gede di atas, retracement pattern 0-38-23 harusnya sekarang otw 61. Tapi PBV PER udah 30 itu kemahalan banget, Saya pribadi skip, kalo yang mau buy technically ok sih

ELSA – stoch buy tapibolak balik, macd masih down, MFI up, BD FF bist, ret pattern abis kejedot fibo 50 dibawa hampir 23 lagi, ke area banyak transaksi dalam 200 bar terakhir, harusnya sih mantul lagi, tapi tunggu MACD dan BD FF akum deh

Daily Analysis 20221129

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

 

November 29th, 2022

Good morning,

The Dow fell sharply Monday, as investor sentiment was hurt by Federal Reserve officials reiterating a stance for rates to remain higher for longer at a time when the impact of civil unrest in China stoked fears about slowing global growth.

Dow…….33850 -497.6 -1.45%
Nasdaq.11050 -176.9 -1.58%
S&P 500..3964 -62.2 -1.54%

FTSE…….7474 -12.7 -0.17%
Dax……..14383 -158.02 -1.09%
CAC……..6665 -47.3 -0.70%

Nikkei….28163 -120.2 -0.43%
HSI……..17298 -275.6 -1.57%
Shanghai..3079 -23.1 -0.75%
ST Times..3240 -4.5 -0.14%

IDX…….7017.36 -35.79 -0.51%
LQ45……996.76 -4.98 -0.50%

IDX Energy..2037.57 -7.74 -0.38%
IDX Bsc Mat.1273.35 -12.28 -0.95%
IDX Industrl..1234.62 +0.14 +0.13%
IDXNONCYC..733.34 +0.12 +0.60%
IDX Hlthcare.1482.32 -3.70 +0.88%
IDXCYCLIC…..890.41 -0.09 -0.01%
IDX Techno.6179.14 -245.76 -3.83%‼️
IDX Transp…1780.24 -18.10 -1.01%
IDX Infrast……895.71 -11.73 -1.29%
IDX Finance 1485.42 -9.33 -0.62%,
IDX Banking 1192.49 -1.73 -0.15%
IDX Property….709 – -%

Indo10Yr….7.1723 -0.0112 -0.16%👍
ICBI……..340.7880 +0.1712 +0.05%👍
US10Yr..3.7030 +0.0120 +0.33%
VIX……22.21 +1.71 +8.34%‼️

USDIndx..106.6570 +0.6980 +0.66%‼️
Como Indx..272.92 -0.33 -0.12%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……155.64 +0.23 +0.15%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15722.00 +49.50 +0.32%‼️
Jisdor..15729.00 +61.00 +0.39%‼️

Euro……..1.0343 -0.0052 -0.50%

TLKM……..25.04 -0.51 -.2.00%
(3938)
EIDO………23.28 +0.15 +0.65%
EEM……….37.60 -0.17 -0.45%

Oil………….77.24 +0.96 +1.26%
Gold ……1753.60 -13.50 -0.76%
Timah…..22231 – -%
(Closed 25/11)
Nickel…25594.00 +115.00 +0.45%
(Closed 28/11)
Silver………21.13 -0.48 -2.24%
Copper…..361.55 -1.50 -0.41%

Nturl Gas…..7.329 +0.527 +7.74%‼️

Ammonia..4590.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(24/11)

Coal price….379.00 +18.20 +5.04%‼️
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….368.50 +14.45 +4.08%‼️
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….361.65 +14.60 +4.21%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….249.00 +7.55 +3.13%‼️
(Des/Rotterdam)
Coal price….249.90 +9.40 +3.91%‼️
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….248.40 +8.55 +3.56%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)……4134 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….671.25 +0.00 +0.00%
SoybeanOil…73.12 +1.41 +1.97%
Wheat………780.75 -16.25 -2.04%

Wood pulp…6590.00 unch +0%
(Closed 28/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

Semua merah kemaren, semoga rebound hari ini… Tapi kemungkinan masih lebih besar tetep merah tudei

Komoditi energy mantul, Oil rebound (tapi belum rekomen buy saham2 minyak just yet), Natural Gas loncat lagi, Coal lanjut naik tinggi, saham2 coal yang pasti recommended. CPO masih galau, metal metal juga masih kacaw

IHSG – stoch balik sell, macd juga, masih dalam rangka sideways sih, semoga bukan lanjut ke bawah. Harusnya tetep santa claus rally desember ini… Senin udah FNB lagi, tapi bandar lokal dist, MFI flat, masih wave 3 tapi sidewaysnya rada lama ini… semoga ada sentimen positif terus breakout triangle ke atas. Sementara masih selective buying, terutama di energy, specifically coal stocks…

Financials nya loyo, makanya indexnya juga lemes… Energy Property leading, keliatan gerak juga property sama industrials, consumer non-cyclicals sama healthcare, tapi jangan terlalu aggressive di yang selain 2 leading sectors