Daily Analysis 20250709

Daily Analysis 20250709

Good morning,

July 09th, 2025

Dow, S&P 500 slip as Trump stays firm on August tariff deadline, announces copper duties

US stocks finished mostly lower on Tuesday as Wall Street weighed President Trump’s latest threats of stiff tariffs against his three-week reprieve on the return of sweeping “Liberation Day” duties.

Dow…..44241 -165.5 -0.37%
Nasdaq 20418 +5.95 +0.03%
S&P 500 6226 -4.5 -0.07%

FTSE…..8854 +47.7 +0.54%
Dax…..24207 +133.2 +0.55%
CAC…..7767 +43.2 +0.56%

Nikkei….39689 +101.1 +0.26%
HSI………24148 +260.2 +1.09%
Shanghai.3497 +24.4 +0.70%

IDX..6904.39 +3.46 +0.05%
LQ45..762.36 -5.14 -0.67%
IDX30.392.99 -2.78 -0.70%

IDXEnergy.2741.44 +26.99 +0.99%
IDX BscMat1482.16 +12.47 +0.85%
IDX Indstr…..919.82 +1.71 +0.19%
IDXNONCYC.671.22 -1.76 -0.26%
IDX Hlthcare1504.32 +0.22 +0.01%
IDXCYCLC…729.96 -2.16 -0.29%
IDX Techno.6508.78 -19.08 -0.29%
IDX Transp 1419.62 -8.18 -0.57%
IDX Infrast .1418.24 +14.55 +1.04%
IDX Finance.1340.27 -7.61 -0.56%
IDX Banking 998.86 -8.12 -0.81%
IDX Property..722 +0.90 +0.12%

Indo10Yr.6.6609 +0.0053 +0.08%
ICBI….415.8253 -0.1193 -0.03%
US2Yr.3.897 unch +0%
US5Yr 3.978 +0.019 +0.48%
US10Yr4.401 +0.017 +0.39%
US30Yr.4. 929+0.012 +0.24%
VIX..16.81 -0.98 -5.51%

USDIndx..97.5160❗️+0.036 +0.04%
Como Indx.302.29 +3.01 +1.01%
BCOMIN..154.87 +8.05 +5.48%‼️

IndoCDS 5yr.75.32 +0.76 +1.02%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/07)

IDR…….16205.50❗️-34.00 -0.21%
Jisdor…16238.00❗️+1.00 +0.01%

Euro..1.1726 -0.0007 -0.06%

TLKM..16.39 -0.21 -1.27%
( 2728)
EIDO….17.31 -0.03 -0.17%
EEM…48.37 +0.30 +0.62%

Oil…68.13 +0.27 +0.40%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…70.15 +0.57 +0.82%
(Brent)

Gold.3311.30 -41.40 -1.23%
(Comex)
Gold.3302.09 -40.45 -1.21%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33397.00 +113.00 +0.34%
(Closed 08/07)
Nickel…15022.13 -112.00 -0.74%
(Closed 08/07)
Silver….36.91 -0.06 -0.16%
Copper.549.80 +49.00 +9.78%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 95.55 +0.33. +0.35%
(07/07)

Nturl Gas .3.338 -0.074 -2.17%
Ammonia China.2316.67 -33.33 -1.42%
(Domestic Price 08/07)

Coal price.109.60 +0.10 +0.09%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price111.60 +1.85 +1.69%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 112.75 +2.15 +1.94%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.114.35 +1.40 +1.24%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.107.10 +0.95 +0.89%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.20 +1.80 +1.71%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.25 +1.70 +1.61%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.45 +1.55 +1.46%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep) 4149 +79 +1.94%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..398.00 -5.50 -1.36%
SoybeanOil 54.00 +0.14 +0.26%
Wheat…547.75 -0.75. -0.14%

Wood pulp…5916.67 -33.33 -0.56%
(Closed 08/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US respon sedikit negatif pengumuman trump, nasdaq nya masih positif. Asia Europe masih up, US treasury bond yield up, merah dulu kayanya IHSG hari ini

USD index up, gold silver nickel down, tin copper iron ore up, oil up gas down coal up, ayo dong AKRA ADRO mulai jalan

IHSG – stoch buy, macd up, MFI up, BD sw, masih FNS dan last day membesar, ada 2 gap di bawah, BBCA BBRI BMRI masih belum jalan walau terlihat bottoming, masih belum firm, tapi on the right track, hati2 sama sentimen perang dan tariff trump, tapi bisa jadi itu cuma fear yang ditebar, toh dari dulu juga israel udah ngaco begitu, dan kalo tariff bener naik tinggi yang paling menderita US citizen akan beli barang mahal

Lanjut gerak Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Infrastructure, Healthcare, Property

Stochastic Buy Signal: ELSA INET PANI, PANI big accum

Oil Price – belum buy signal lagi MACD tapi udah mulai naik

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR BBYB INET MTEL PANI PTRO SRTG, Big accum BBYB PANI PTRO

Daily Analysis 20250707

Daily Analysis 20250707

Good morning,

July 07th, 2025

US markets is holiday due to Independence Day

Dow…..44829 closed +0%
Nasdaq 20601 closed +0%
S&P 500 6279 closed +0%

FTSE…..8823 -0.29 -0.00%
Dax…..23787 -146.7 -0.61%
CAC…..7696 -58.3 -0.75%

Nikkei….39811 +24.98 +0.06%
HSI………23916 -153.9 -0.64%
Shanghai.3472 +11.2 +0.32%

IDX..6865.19 -12.86 -0.19%
LQ45..763.51 -2.07 -0.27%
IDX30.393.11 -1.12 -0.28%

IDXEnergy.2696.40 +6.97 +0.26%
IDX BscMat1472.86 -3.86 -0.26%
IDX Indstr…..914.05 +3.90 +0.43%
IDXNONCYC.671.28 -5.48 -0.81%
IDX Hlthcare1514.16 -0.74 -0.05%
IDXCYCLC…725.37 -3.20 -0.44%
IDX Techno.6496.68 +50.10 +0.78%
IDX Transp 1432.52 -9.15 -0.63%
IDX Infrast .1399.87 -19.06 -1.34%
IDX Finance.1341.98 +4.31 +0.32%
IDX Banking 1004.17 +2.96 +0.30%
IDX Property..720 +2.00 +0.28%

Indo10Yr.6.6693👍 -0.0020 -0.30%
ICBI….415.4030👍 +0.4272 +0.41%
US2Yr.3.885 closed +0%
US5Yr 3.938 closed +0%
US10Yr4.328 -0.09 -0.21%
US30Yr.4. 861 closed +0%
VIX..17.48 +1.10 +6.72%‼️

USDIndx..97.1800❗️+0.067 +0.07%
Como Indx.299.93 closed +0%
BCOMIN..149.68 closed +0%

IndoCDS 5yr.74.56👍 -2.05 -2.68%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (06/07)

IDR…….16185.00❗️-10.00 -0.06%
Jisdor…16204.00❗️ -5.00 -0.03%

Euro..1.1778 +0.0023 +0.20%

TLKM..16.83 closed +0%
( 2728)
EIDO….17.47 closed +0%
EEM…48.76 closed +0%

Oil…67.00 -0.50 -0.75%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…68.30 -0.60 -0.87%
(Brent)

Gold.3346.50 +3.60 +0.11%
(Comex)
Gold.3337.15 +11.03 +0.33%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33702.00 -146.00 -0.43%
(Closed 04/07)
Nickel…15281.88 -94.00 -0.61%
(Closed 04/07)
Silver….37.14 +0.06 +0.16%
Copper.506.25 -7.90 -1.53%

Iron Ore 62% 96.24 unch +0%
(04/07)

Nturl Gas .3.390 -0.015 -0.44%
Ammonia China.2350.00 unch +0%
(Domestic Price 04/07)

Coal price.109.95 -1.30 -1.17%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price110.85 -1.65 -1.47%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 111.70 -2.15 -1.89%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.113.75 -1.85 -1.60%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.105.75 -2.45 -2.26%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.05 -2.95 -2.73%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.105.55 -2.70 -2.49%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.106.15 -2.35 -2.17%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep) 4062 -31 -0.76%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..420.25 closed +0%
SoybeanOil 54.67 closed +0%
Wheat…556.75 closed +0%

Wood pulp…5950.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Juma’t US closed ID4, europe merah, asia varied, US treasury bond stagnant, ga ada sentimen apa apa kecuali masih israel serang palestina yang kemungkinan besar masih bikin market khawatir dan harga minyak dan energy cenderung akan naik

USD index up, gold silver up, metal lain down, oil down gas down coal down, CPO down, masih meragukan wave 3 nya index ini

IHSG – stoch up macd down MFI sw w% down, BD FF dist, masih jelek, harga ketemu support cloud ichimoku, target double top done, tapi masih ada 2 gap di bawah, WNS guys, tunggu Big Banks mantul

Kan, melemah lagi semua, memang kalo wave 1 nya simple wave 2-3 nya suka complex, tinggal Healthcare sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals yang arahnya bagus

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA ITMG PTMA BRMS BSDE INDY INTP SRTG, big accum AKRA SRTG

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS CTRA MBMA CMRY GGRM HEAL KIJA LSIP MARK MNCN SCMA UNIQ, big accum BRIS CTRA GGRM LSIP SCMA

Daily Analysis 20250704

Daily Analysis 20250704

Good morning,

July 04th, 2025

Dow…..44829 +344.1 +0.77%
Nasdaq 20601 +207.97 +1.02%
S&P 500 6279 +51.9 +0.83%

FTSE…..8823 +48.5 +0.55%
Dax…..23934 +144.02+0.61%
CAC…..7755 +16.1 +0.21%

Nikkei….39786 +23.4 +0.6%
HSI………24070 -151.5 -0.63%
Shanghai.3461 +6.4 +0.18%

IDX..6878.05 -3.19 -0.05%
LQ45..765.59 -0.64 -0.08%
IDX30.394.24 -0.39 -0.10%

IDXEnergy.2689.43 +6.73 +0.25%
IDX BscMat1476.68 +17.10 +1.17%
IDX Indstr…..910.15 -0.64 -0.07%
IDXNONCYC.676.76 +8.94 +1.34%
IDX Hlthcare1514.90 +8.49 +0.56%
IDXCYCLC…728.56 +0.04 +0.01%
IDX Techno.6446.59 -10.38 -0.16%
IDX Transp 1441.68 +17.90 +1.26%
IDX Infrast .1418.93 +0.37 +0.03%
IDX Finance.1337.67 -4.12 -0.31%
IDX Banking 1001.21 -4.96 -0.49%
IDX Property..718 +1.80 +0.25%

Indo10Yr.6.6893👍 -0.0082 -0.12%
ICBI….414.9288👍 +0.2596 +0.06%
US2Yr.3.886 +0.095 +2.51%‼️
US5Yr 3.939 +0.071 +1.84%‼️
US10Yr4.337 +0.056 +1.31%
US30Yr.4. 862 +0.057 +1.19%
VIX..16.38 -0.26 -1.56%

USDIndx..97.1130❗️+0.329 +0.34%
Como Indx.299.93 -0.78 -0.26%
BCOMIN..149.68 -0.72 -0.48%

IndoCDS 5yr.76.61👍 +0.89 +1.15%
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/07)

IDR…….16195.50❗️-51.00 -0.32%
Jisdor…16209.00❗️ -27.00 -0.17%

Euro..1.1755❗️ -0.0038 -0.32%

TLKM..16.83 -0.19 -1.12%
( 2728)
EIDO….17.47 -0.01 -0.06%
EEM…48.76 +0.22 +0.45%

Oil…67.00 -0.45 -0.67%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…68.90 -0.24 -0.35%
(Brent)

Gold.3342.90 -16.80 -0.50%
(Comex)
Gold.3326.12 -31.33 -0.93%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33848.00 +134.00 +0.40%
(Closed 03/07)
Nickel…15375.88 +70.75 +0.46%
(Closed 03/07)
Silver….37.08 +0.35 +0.95%
Copper.514.15 -5.60 -1.08%

Iron Ore 62% .96.24 +2.83 +3.03%‼️
(03/07)

Nturl Gas .3.405 -0.093 -2.66%
Ammonia China.2350.00 -20 -0.84%
(Domestic Price 03/07)

Coal price.111.25 -1.25 -1.11%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price112.25 -1.75 -1.54%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 115.50 +0.10 +0.09%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.115.60 -1.60 -1.37%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.45 -0.55 -0.73%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.05 -1.30 -1.19%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.108.50 -1.25 -1.14%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.75 +1.65 +1.50%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep) 4093 +30 +0.74%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..420.25 +2.25 +0.54%
SoybeanOil 54.67 -0.40 -0.73%
Wheat…556.75 -7.25 -1.29%

Wood pulp…5950.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US non farm payroll higher than expected, langsung disambut positif US market. US ijo europe ijo asia varied, IHSG merah tipis karena banyak yang jalan tapi big banks masih tenggelam, harusnya sih naik ya hari ini. US Treasury bond yield juga naik tapi harusnya sentimen US NFP lebih berpengaruh

USD index up, gold copper down, tin nickel silver iron ore up, oil down gas down coal down, padahal kemaren udah nongol buy signal lagi MACD. CPO up kita tunggu buy signal AALI LSIP

IHSG – baru stochastic yang ok, yang lain masih jelek, FNS tapi sudah menipis, technical belum confirm beres wave 2 dan mau wave 3, tapi dari banyaknya buy signal dan sentimen positif US, kemungkinan besar akan jalan wave 3 soon

Oil Price – macd masih down, tapi sudah bottoming dan mulai naik, pas Iran ga sepakat sama UN masalah nuklir oil naik lagi, tapi last day merah, masih pede bahwa oil price akan naik sih

Coal Price – MACD rev buy, supertrend kemaren udah sell, masih WNS

Yang arahnya bagus Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare, Financials

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM PGEO FILM HRUM SCMA SSIA, big accum ANTM HRUM SSIA

MACD Buy Signal: UNVR AVIA PNLF, big accum UNVR AVIA, TLKM rev sell, beware, kalo beneran buang exit, kalo hanya dip terus rev buy lagi nambah

Supertrend buy signal: TOWR UNVR

Daily Analysis 20250702

Daily Analysis 20250702

Good morning,

July 02nd, 2025

US stocks were mixed on Tuesday as President Trump’s massive budget bill passed in the Senate and Wall Street watched for progress on trade talks.

Dow…..44495 +400.2 +0.91%
Nasdaq 20203 -166.9 -0.82%
S&P 500 6198 -6.9 -0.11%

FTSE…..8785 +24.37 +0.28%
Dax…..23673 -236.3 -0.99%
CAC…..7663 -3.3 -0.04%

Nikkei….39987 -501.1 -1.24%
HSI………24072 closed +0%
Shanghai.3458 +13.3 +0.39%

IDX..6915.36 -12.32 -0.18%
LQ45..770.58 -2.07 -0.27%
IDX30.396.88 -1.97 -0.49%

IDXEnergy.2719.25 -10.47 -0.38%
IDX BscMat1485.44 +5.02 +0.34%
IDX Indstr…..909.44 -5.80 -0.63%
IDXNONCYC.667.29 -3.32 -0.50%
IDX Hlthcare1496.13 +1.05. +0.07%
IDXCYCLC…722.72 +4.93 +0.69%
IDX Techno.6552.32 +17.33 +0.27%
IDX Transp 1428.84 -27.33 -1.88%
IDX Infrast .1417.55 -0.95 -0.07%
IDX Finance.1349.89 -10.57 -0.78%
IDX Banking 1009.74 -13.80 -1.35%
IDX Property..721 -3.00 -0.42%

Indo10Yr.6.7090 -0.0274 -0.41%👍
ICBI….414.5355 +0.5360 +0.13%👍
US2Yr.3.773 +0.046 +1.23%
US5Yr 3.833 +0.032 +0.84%
US10Yr4.246 +0.017 +0.40%
US30Yr.4. 764 -0.014 -0.29%
VIX..16.83 +0.10 +0.60%

USDIndx..96.8190❗️+0.029 +0.03%
Como Indx.296.05 -1.23 -0.41%
BCOMIN..148.42 -0.09 -0.06%

IndoCDS 5yr.77.51 -1.01 -1.29%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/07)

IDR…….16199.50👍 -38.50 -0.24%
Jisdor…16192.00👍 -39.00 -0.24%

Euro..1.1806❗️ +0.0025 +0.21%

TLKM..17.15 +0.21 +1.24%
( 2776)
EIDO….17.49 -0.14 -0.79%
EEM…48.33 +0.09 +0.19%

Oil…65.53❗️+0.58 +0.89%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…67.11❗️ -0.50 -0.74%
(Brent)

Gold.3348.00‼️ +32.90 +0.99%
(Comex)
Gold.3338.68 ‼️+35.54 +1.08%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33661.00 -55.00 -0.16%
(Closed 01/07)
Nickel…15175.38 -20.75 -0.14%
(Closed 01/07)
Silver….36.20 -0.13 -0.36%
Copper.509.75 +1.50 +0.30%

Iron Ore 62% .93.41 -1.08 -1.14%
(01/07)

Nturl Gas .3.419 -0.035 -1.01%
Ammonia China.2370.00 – -%
(Domestic Price 01/07)

Coal price.111.80 +1.90 +1.73%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price113.40 +2.25 +2.02%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 114.55 +1.75 +1.55%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.116.15 +2.50 +2.20%
(Okt/Newcastle)

Coal price.107.50 +0.25 +0.23%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.95 +0.20 +0.19%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.108.30 unch +0%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.108.70 unch +0%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep) 3970 -17 -0.43%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..409.25 -2.25 -0.55%
SoybeanOil 52.76 +0.14 +0.27%
Wheat…538.25 -2.50 -0.46%

Wood pulp…5950.00 unch +0%
(Closed 01/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI up nasdaq down, europe mostly down, asia varied, IHSG down, US treasury bond yield up, kayanya IHSG merah lagi hari ini

USD index up, gold copper juga up, metal2 lain down, oil up gas down coal up, kita lihat perkembangan energy

IHSG – stoch buy, yang lain belum ok, BD flat, FNS, ada 2 gap di bawah, jangan terburu2, kita tunggu big banks mantul

Mulai pada melemah, yang masih arahnya bagus Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Financials malah, semoga bener big banks mantul jadi index jalan

Oil Price – flat, macd masih down, masih wait and see, saya masih hold akra setengah, nunggu momentum masuk full load

Coal Price – alligator up, macd rev up, beberapa kali macd sell terus buy lagi, dengan posisi price naik terus pelan2, sepertinya sih akan lanjut ke atas

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRPT EXCL GOTO INDF MBMA MDKA SMGR BTPS HEAL KIJA NCKL SSIA TINS, big accum BTPS

MACD Buy Signal: ICBP SIDO UNTR MAPA MIKA SSMS, big accum UNTR MAPA MIKA

Daily Analysis 20250625

Daily Analysis 20250625

Good morning,

June 25th 2025

Wall St ends sharply higher, S&P 500 nears record high as Middle East tensions cool

U.S. stocks rallied more than 1% on Tuesday as investors welcomed a fragile truce with Israel and Iran while parsing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony for clues regarding the U.S. central bank’s path forward.

Dow…..43089 +507.2 +1.19%
Nasdaq 19913 +281.6 +1.43%
S&P 500 6092 +67.01 +1.11%

FTSE…..8759 +0.95 +0.01%
Dax…..23641 +372.6 +1.60%
CAC…..7615 +78.4 +1.04%

Nikkei….38791 +436.5 +1.14%
HSI……24177 +487.9 +2.06%
Shanghai.3421 +38.98 +1.15%

IDX..6869.17 +82.03 +1.21%
LQ45..764.41 +10.59 +1.40%
IDX30.395.16 +4.66 +1.19%

IDXEnergy.2729.57 -16.22 -0.59%
IDX BscMat1442.00 +3.98 +0.20%
IDX Indstr…..908.55 +8.89 +0.99%
IDXNONCYC.657.46 +12.28 +1.90%
IDX Hlthcare1461.75+29.04 +2.03%
IDXCYCLC…709.41 +20.80 +3.02%
IDX Techno.6518.52 +35.09 +0.54%
IDX Transp 1437.10 +12.28 +0.86%
IDX Infrast .1379.42 +10.66 +0.78%
IDX Finance.1351.37 +19.67+1.48%
IDX Banking 1031.08 +20.41 +2.02%
IDX Property..727 +22.60 +3.21%‼️

Indo10Yr.6.7903-0.0327 -0.48%
ICBI….412.3536 +0.8614 +0.21%
US2Yr.3.821 -0.042 -1.09%
US5Yr 3.861 -0.049 -1.25%
US10Yr4.296 -0.052 -1.20%
US30Yr.4.835 -0.039 -0.80%
VIX..17.48 -2.35 -11.85%👍

USDIndx..98.8580👍 -0.496 -0.50%
Como Indx.296.97 -8.08 -2.65%‼️
BCOMIN..145.39 +0.30 +0.20%

IndoCDS 5yr.82.09‼️+0.64 +0.78%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/06)

IDR…….16.353.50❗️-138.50👍 -0.84%
Jisdor…16.370.00❗️-114.00👍 -0.69%

Euro..1.1609❗️ +0.0015 +0.13%

TLKM..16.06 +0.16 +1.01%
( 2629)
EIDO….16.38 +0.49 +2.90%
EEM…47.92 +1.21 +2.59%

Oil…65.10❗️-1.07 -1.61%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…67.14 -4.34 -6.07%‼️
(Brent)

Gold.3335.50‼️ -42.50 -1.26%
(Comex)
Gold.3322.42‼️ -34.63 -1.03%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32319.00 -374.00 -1.14%
(Closed 24/06)
Nickel…14911.13 +113.88 +0.77%
(Closed 24/06)
Silver….36.22 -0.15 -0.41%
Copper.494.75 +0.10 +0.02%

Iron Ore 62% .94.75 -0.12 -0.13%
(24/06)

Nturl Gas .3.770 -0.076 -1.98%
Ammonia China.2316.67 +6.67 +0.29%
(Domestic Price 24/06)

Coal price.106.60 -0.65 -0.61%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.109.90 -3.05 -2.70%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price111.60 -2.60 -2.28%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 113.40 -2.60 -2.24%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price 103.50 -0.95 -0.91%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.103.15 -4.80 -4.45%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.65 -5.00 -4.60%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.104.15 -5.10 -4.67%‼️
(Sep/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep) 3986 -139 -3.37%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..429.00 -4.75 -1.10%
SoybeanOil 52.61 -1.14 -2.12%
Wheat..552.00 -17.50 -3.07%‼️

Wood pulp…6066.67 -16.66 -0.27%
(Closed 24/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe asia ijo semua, menyusul pengumuman cease fire Israel-Iran walau terus dilanggar… US treasury bond yield down, harusnya sih lanjut ijo, tapi mungkin tutup gap dulu. Apakah akan langsung lanjut wave 3, belum bisa ditebak, dari itungan sih mungkin saja, sudah sampe fibo 38, tapi biasanya sih sampe fibo 50

USD index down, metal2 down kecuali nickel copper, oil down gas down coal down, CPO down, tapi ancaman penutupan selat sama iran masih mungkin, walau sebenernya tanpa itu juga major nya keliatan mau ke atas, tapi minornya terlihat jadi dipaksa turun dulu

IHSG – MFI up, 833 buy, yang lain masih jelek, ada 2 gap di bawah, bahwa mungkin wave 2 nya berhenti di fibo 38 mungkin, tapi masih FNS dan BD dist agak berat untuk langsung ngangkat

Consumer Cyclicals, Financials (tapi big banks masih jelek), Healthcare, Industrials, UNTR LK bagus, Infrastructure, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property. Masih belum meyakinkan, yang bahaya Energy sama basic materials melemah

Oil Price Chart – MACD sell signal, kecuali konflik memanas lagi sepertinya akan kebawah dulu, prepare buang dulu saham minyak, pantau ketat

Coal Price Chart – udah supertrend buy, 2 hari koreksi tapi ga terlalu besar, macd jadi terlihat mau rev down, ga terkait langsung sama konflik, harusnya sih tetep jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT BBCA BBTN BRIS GGRM ICBP MAPI SIDO ERAA MNCN MYOR PWON, big accum cuma GGRM sama PWON

MACD Buy Signal WIFI nerusin stoch nya buy duluan kemaren, tapi overpriced jadi kita skip

Daily Analysis 20250624

Daily Analysis 20250624

Good morning,

June 24th 2025

Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq jump, oil slides on Iran’s restrained response to US strikes

US stocks closed near session highs on Monday while oil prices tanked after Iran launched missiles at a US air base in Qatar in what appeared to be a limited retaliation for US strikes against Iranian nuclear sites.

Dow…..42582 +374.96 +0.88%
Nasdaq 19631 +183.6 +0.94%
S&P 500 6025 +57.3 +0.96%

FTSE…..8758 -16.6 -0.19%
Dax…..23269 -81.5 -0.35%
CAC…..7538 -52.1 -0.69%

Nikkei….38354 -49.1 -0.13%
HSI………23689 +158.7 +0.67%
Shanghai.3382 +21.7 +0.65%

IDX..6787.14 -120.00 -1.74%
LQ45..753.83 -11.11 -1.45%
IDX30.390.50 -6.58 -1.66%

IDXEnergy.2745.79 -60.67 -2.16%
IDX BscMat1438.02 -16.81 -1.18%
IDX Indstr…..899.66 -14.60 -1.60%
IDXNONCYC.645.17 -13.94 -2.11%
IDX Hlthcare1432.71-24.22 -1.66%
IDXCYCLC…688.61 -23.96 -3.36%
IDX Techno.6483.43 -169.29 -2.54%
IDX Transp 1424.82 -0.75 -0.05%
IDX Infrast .1368.76 -24.47 -1.76%
IDX Finance.1331.70 -18.89 -1.40%
IDX Banking 1010.67 -13.09 -1.28%
IDX Property..705 -21.60 -2.97%

Indo10Yr.6.8230+0.0329 +0.48%
ICBI….411.4922 -0.6063 -0.15%
US2Yr.3.863 -0.041 -1.05%
US5Yr 3.910 -0.049 -1.24%
US10Yr4.348 -0.028 -0.64%
US30Yr.4.874 -0.015 -0.31%
VIX..19.83 -0.79 -3.83%

USDIndx..98.3540❗️ -0.708 -0.71%
Como Indx.305.05 -7.48 -2.39%
BCOMIN..145.09 +0.96 +0.67%

IndoCDS 5yr.82.09‼️ unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5) (23/06)

IDR…….16.492.00‼️+95.50 +0.58%
Jisdor…16.484.00❗️+85.00 +0.52%

Euro..1.1594 +0.0108 +0.94%

TLKM..15.90 -0.14 -0.87%
( 2621)
EIDO….16.89 -0.29 -1.69%
EEM..46.71 +0.38 +0.82%

Oil…66.17‼️-9.06 -12.04%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…71.48‼️ -8.00 -10.07%‼️
(Brent)

Gold.3378.00 -16.50 -0.49%
(Comex)
Gold.3357.05 -18.76 -0.56%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32693.00 +10.00 +0.03%
(Closed 23/06)
Nickel…14797.25 -168.38 -1.13%
(Closed 23/06)
Silver….36.37 +0.09 +0.25%
Copper.494.65 +9.50 +5.13%

Iron Ore 62% .94.75 -0.02 -0.02%
(23/06)

Nturl Gas .3.770 -0.076 -1.98%
Ammonia China.2310.00 -43.33 -1.84%
(Domestic Price 23/06)

Coal price.107.25 +0.45 +0.61%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.112.95 +0.70 +0.62%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price114.20 +0.72 +0.62%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 116.00 +0.90 +0.70%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price 104.45 +0.70 +0.67%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.95 +0.90 +0.84%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.65 +0.85 +0.79%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.25 +0.80 +0.74%
(Sep/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep) 4125 +10 +0.24%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..433.75 -7.50 -1.70%
SoybeanOil 53.75 -1.35 -2.45%
Wheat..569.50 -14.00 -2.40%

Wood pulp…6083.33 unch +0%
(Closed 23/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo europe merah asia varied, selain IHSG yang merah dalem cuma nikkei yang merah tipis. Padahal iran nyerang US base di qatar, tapi US market pede karena di intercept 6 6 nya mungkin. US treasury bond yield turun, harusnya sih IHSG rada mantul dulu hari ini, gap down kemaren, mungkin akan tutup gap dulu hari ini

USD index down, metal2 down kecuali tin copper, oil drop gas drop coal up cpo up, agak aneh ini oil drop padahal konflik belum selesai, dan energy price chart nya emang terlihat giliran jalan

Oil Price Chart – dibanting kemaren, lanjut running market hari ini masih merah jadi signal mau ngebalik, beware permainan global untuk make harga minyak buat jadi alat tekan geopolitik

Coal Price Chart – supertrend buy macd up, malah kemaren dibanting harga saham coal ikut index, PTBA malah 13% karena deviden nya 13%, rusak banget sih market maker indonesia ini

IHSG – masih all bad kecuali gap down kemaren yang mungkin ditutup dulu sebelum lanjut koreksi, atau bisa jadi akan berhenti di fibo 38. Kita tunggu saja

Masih kebaca arahnya bagus Financials, Industrials, Infrastructure, Property, Technology, Transportation, tapi kemaren bantingan abis abisan ikut index semua, kita pantau ketat

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES BBRI MTEL UNVR MAPA WIFI, wifi big accum

MACD ga ada buy signal, malah sell signal ITMG UNTR SCMA, UNTR udah pasang stoploss, kalo kena kita tunggu next buy signal