Daily Analysis 20250203

February 03rd, 2025

Dow Falls Nearly 340 Points, But Index Marks Best January Since 2019

The stock market slipped on Friday in the wake of the latest tariff threats from the White House.

Dow……44545 -337.5 -0.75%
Nasdaq 19627 -54.3 -0.28%
S&P 500 6041 -30.1 -0.50%

FTSE…..8674 +27.1 +0.31%
Dax……21732 +4.9 +0.02%
CAC……7950 +8.5 +0.11%

Nikkei…39572 +58.5 +0.15%
HSI…….20225 closed +0%
Shanghai.3251 closed +0%

IDX…7109.20 +35.72 +0.50%
LQ45…823.55 +5.99 +0.73%
IDX30.426.53 +5.07 +1.20%

IDXEnergy…2889.74 +20.71 +0.72%
IDX BscMat 1190.15 -4.05 -0.34%
IDX Indstrl… .963.53 +2.93 +0.31%
IDXNONCYC.717.36 +7.24 +1.02%
IDX Hlthcare1377.44 -1.02 -0.07%
IDXCYCLC…821.08 -5.99 -0.72%
IDX Techno.4348.05 +13.03 +0.30%
IDX Transp 1275.56 +3.85 +0.30%
IDX Infrast 1470.16 -19.40 -1.30%
IDX Finance1418.75 +12.70 +0.90%
IDX Banking1166.61 +18.53 +1.61%
IDX Property. 753 -1.30 -0.17%

Indo10Yr.7.0677❗️+0.0231 +0.33%
ICBI….395.7035❗️-0.1005 -0.03%
US2Yr.4.205 -0.009 -0.21%
US5Yr 4.332 +0.008 +0.19%
US10Yr4.542 +0.022 +0.49%
US30Yr.4.793+0.030 +0.63%
VIX..16.43 +0.59 +3.72%

USDIndx 108.3700‼️+0.206 +0.19%
Como Indx..304.95 -1.44 -0.47%
BCOMIN..141.73 -1.56 -1.09%

IndoCDS…76.22‼️ +0.02 +0.03%
(5-yr INOCD5) (30/01)

IDR…….16304.50‼️+48.50 +0.30%
Jisdor..16312.00‼️ +53.00 +0.33%

Euro…1.0363 -0.0025 -0.24%

TLKM…16.00 -0.29 -1.78%
( 2610)
EIDO….18.30 -0.01 -0.05%
EEM…42.72 -0.49 -1.13%

Oil………72.53 -0.20 -0.28%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………75.67 -1.28 -1.66%
(Brent)
Gold…2835.20‼️ -10.20 -0.36%
(Comex)
Gold…2798.41❗️ -4.57 -0.16%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.30102.00 -167.00 -0.55%
(Closed 31/01)
.Nickel.15405.00 unch +0%
(Closed 31/01)
Silver……32.27 -0.23 -0.70%
Copper.427.90 -2.85 -0.66%

Iron Ore 62% 101.59 +0.00 +0.00%
(31/01)
Nturl Gas ..3.044 -0.039 -1.27%
Ammonia China. 2393.33 _ -%
(Domestic Price)(31/01)

Coal price.118.50 +1.68 +1.37%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.121.90 +1.75 +1.46%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 124.20 +1.75 +1.43%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 125.50 +1.60 +1.29%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price 110.50 +1.35 +1.24%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 110.30 +1.35 +1.24%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 110.35 +1.35 +1.24%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price 110.40 +1.35 +1.24%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr) 4290 +8.00 +0.19%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………482.00 -8.25 -1.68%
SoybeanOil 46.11 +1.13 +2.51%
Wheat……559.50 -7.00 -1.24%

Wood pulp…..6600 unch +0%
(Closed 31/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah gara2 donald trump urusan tarif import. Europe ijo, asia masih ijo, IHSG tutup gap tapi closing dibawah harga open. US treasury bond yield up, ah, bisa drop lagi ini IHSG

USD index up, metal2 down, oil down, gas down, coal up, CPO up tipis, GO GO ADRO!!!

Harusnya sih finally jalan ini coal price, winter lho, ga jalan jelan dari kemaren

IHSG – stoch sell macd up rev MFI flat, w% down, BD flat FNB, harga di area support kuat, semoga mantul, tapi mungkin tidak hari ini karena urusan tariff import US

Stoch Buy Signal: AMRT BRPT INDF PGAS MARK SILO SSIA WIFI, big accum SILO

MACD Buy Signal: ELSA, big accum juga

AMRT – overpriced

BRPT – overpriced

INDF – tech indicators semua ok, even spike BD FF juga, tapi ini wave 5 belum beres ABC correction, heuheu… ga berani ah

PGAS – stoch sih buy, tapi macd MFI w% down, BD FF dist, ada gap dibawha, skip dulu

ELSA – liat indicators koq menarik, walau stoch belum tapi MACD buy, MFI up, w% up, BD FF acc, udah bikin higher low, kita check oil price chart dl

Mulai bottoming keliatannya, tapi belum firm reversal, dan dari perbandingan relatif, AKRA lebih bisa banyak mantulnya

Spike nya sih ok banget, tapi kita sabar dulu nunggu firm reversal oil price deh