Daily Analysis 20250108

January 08th, 2024

Nasdaq leads stock declines as traders pare rate cut bets, Nvidia plummets after record close

US stocks reversed early gains to close firmly lower as cautious investors weighed new economic data, while Nvidia (NVDA) retreated from its record close despite the company’s big artificial intelligence plans.

Dow……42528 -178.2 -0.42%
Nasdaq 19490 -375.3 -1.89%
S&P 500 5909 -66.4 -1.11%

FTSE…..8245 -4.4 -0.05%
Dax……20341 +124.4 +0.62%
CAC……7489 +43.7 +0.59%

Nikkei..40083 +776.3 +1.97%
HSI……..19448 -240.7 -1.22%
Shanghai.3230 +22.8 +0.71%

IDX…7083.29 +2.81 +0.04%
LQ45…820.45 -5.73 -0.69%
IDX30.419.75 -4.56 -1.07%

IDXEnergy…2703.89 -9.22 -0.34%
IDX BscMat 1252.64 +0.03 +0.00%
IDX Indstrl..1008.65 +3.31 +0.33%
IDXNONCYC.711.82 +0.43 +0.06%
IDX Hlthcare1427.25 +12.33 +0.87%
IDXCYCLC…817.18 -3.53 -0.43%
IDX Techno.4223.26 +35.81 +0.86%
IDX Transp 1282.15 -4.73 -0.37%
IDX Infrast 1468.13 -1.64 -0.11%
IDX Finance1383.73 -6.90 -0.50%
IDX Banking1122.96 -13.50 -1.19%
IDX Property. 754 +0.40 +0.06%

Indo10Yr.7.0897❗️+0.0259 +0.37%
ICBI….393.0220❗️-0.4644 -0.12%
US2Yr.4.289 +0.008 +0.19%
US5Yr 4.465 +0.043 +0.97%
US10Yr4.685 +0.061 +1.32%
US30Yr.4.914 +0.065 +1.34%
VIX..17.82 +1.78 +11.10%‼️

USDIndx 108.6790‼️+0.449 +0.41%
Como Indx..299.28 +0.35 +0.12%
BCOMIN..140.94 +0.96 +0.68%

IndoCDS…78.18❗️ -0.01 -0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (06/01)

IDR…….16142.00❗️-55.50 -0.34%
Jisdor.. 16169.00❗️-24.00 -0.15%

Euro…1.0341 +0.0033 +0.32%

TLKM…16.07 -0.73 -4.32%‼️
( 2598)
EIDO…18.38 -0.27 -1.42%
EEM…42.00 -0.30 -0.71%

Oil………74.25 +0.69 +0.94%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………77.25 +1.06 +1.39%
(Brent)
Gold…2665.40 +18.00 +0.68%
(Comex)
Gold…2648.53 +12.15 +0.46%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.29289.00 +181.00 +0.62%
(Closed 06/01)
.Nickel.15400.00 +100.00 +1.18%
(Closed 07/01)
Silver……30.69 +0.11 +0.36%
Copper.419.55 +3.40 +0.82%

Iron Ore 62% 99.44 +0.00 +0.00%
(06/01)
Nturl Gas 3.449 -0.223 -6.07%‼️
Ammonia China. 2486.67 – -%*
(Domestic Price)(07/01)

Coal price.118.30 -1.45 -1.21%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.119.00 -1.40 -1.16%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.120.30 -1.35 -1.11%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 121.35 -1.80 -1.46%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.109.95 unch +0%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.65 -0.05 -0.05%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.00 -1.05 -0.99%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.60 +0.40 +0.38%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar) 4373 +31 +0.71%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………458.00 +0.25 +0.05%
SoybeanOil 41.25 +0.92 +2.28%
Wheat…..542.50 +2.00 +0.37%

Wood pulp…..6470 +20 +0.31%
(Closed 07/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Bukannya DJI yang nyusul naik, malah nasdaq yang melorot, europe masiih kebanyakan ijo, asia juga. US treasury bond naik, wah kejegal lagi IHSG hari ini kalo gitu

USD index up lagi, tapi metal2 up, oil up gas down coal down. Kemaren coal down adro dkk naik, udah mulai ga sabar bandarnya. CPO up juga, masih nunggu buy signal AALI LSIP

IHSG – kemaren ijo tipiiiiis, tapi masih FNS jadi belum jalan, RSI udah naik, MFI masih down karena vol nya belum naik, stoch up MACD buy, w% sw, masih belum bisa jalan nunggu FNB kayanya. Tapi yang aman aman udah bisa masuk

Healthcare, Property, Technology, Transportation, Financials nya malah lemes

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO AMMN ANDF MBMA SCMA, big accum ADRO AMMN INDF

MACD Buy Signal: BBYB DOID MNCN, big accum BBYB

ADRO – macd still up, stoch buy, MFI up, BD rev acc, FF rev acc kecil, ada gap di atas, coal price kita liat dl

Coal price drop nya agak gede, sabar dulu deh…

belum ada spike juga

AMMN – overpriced

INDF – stoch buy, tapi MACD MFI dow, w% downtrend, BD rev acc FF acc, ada spike tapi belum beres abc correction abis wave 5. Short term nya mungkin akan naik dulu ke fibo 23 baru longsor lagi, tapi ngapain ngejar upside kecil dengan resiko longsor?

Spike jual, skip

MNCN – freq spike, stoch up, macd buy, MFI down, w% sw, hmm… tanda tandanya mau jalan sih

cakep ini, MNCN saya masih hold, kalo kaya gini layak nambah

yang belum punya bisa BOW sorean kalo hari ini merah