Daily Analysis 20240723

July 23th, 2024

Good morning,

US tech stocks ripped higher on Monday as investors assessed the political landscape following President Joe Biden’s exit from the presidential race and braced for the start of megacap tech earnings.

Dow……40415 +127.9 +0.32%
Nasdaq18008 +280.6 +1.58%
S&P 500.5564 +59.4 +1.08%

FTSE…..8199 +43.1 +0.53%
Dax……18407 +235.1 +1.29%
CAC……7622 +87.50 +1.16%

Nikkei..39599 -464.8 -1.16%
HSI……17635 +218.2 +1.25%
Shanghai.2964 -18.1 -0.61%

IDX….7321.96 +27.48 +0.38%
LQ45..923.25 +3.72 +0.40%
IDX30.462.24 +2.51 +0.55%

IDXEnergy..2492.82 +37.11 +1.51%
IDX BscMat1359.38 -5.05 -0.37%
IDX Indstrl.1031.98 +13.23 +1.30%
IDXNONCYC.717.07 unch +0%
IDX Hlthcare1425.18 -4.38 -0.31%
IDXCYCLIC…748.23 -0.50 -0.07%
IDXTechno3289.00 +23.41 +0.72%
IDX Transp 1371.12 +14.19 +1.05%
IDX Infrast 1601.87 +8.18 +0.51%
IDX Finance1407.61 +7.27 +0.52%
IDX Banking1260.51 +10.10 +0.81%
IDX Property…..644 +5.00 +0.78%

Indo10Yr.7.0084 +0.0204 +0.29%
ICBI…382.6415 -0.3684 -0.10%
US2Yr.4.521 +0.004 +0.09%
US5Yr 4.175 +0.005 +0.12%
US10Yr4.255 +0.012 +0.28%
US30Yr.4.473 +0.022 +0.49%
VIX..14.91 -1.61 -9.75%‼️

USDIndx 104.3140 -0.082 -0.08%
Como Indx….283.09 +2.73 +0.97%
BCOMIN…… 140.87 -2.10 -1.47%

IndoCDS..74.19 -0.00 -0.00%
(5-yr INOCD5) (19/07)

IDR…..16220.00❗️ +29.00 +0.18%
Jisdor.16228.00❗️ +29.00 +0.18%

Euro…1.0891 +0.0009 +0.08%

TLKM…19.37 -0.46 -2.02%
( 3143)
EIDO…..20.34 +0.14 +0.67,%
EEM…..43.11 +0.33 +0.76%

Oil………..79.78 -0.37 -0.46%
Gold…..2444.90 -1.70 -0.07%
Timah..29888.00 -1162.00 -3.74%‼️
(Closed 20/07)
Nickel..16213.00 -61.00 -0.37%
(Closed 20/07)
Silver……29.28 -0.02 -0.07%
Copper.419.20 -4.45. -1.05%

Iron Ore 62% 108.45 -0.28 -0.26%
(19/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.278 +0.154 +7.25%
Ammonia China 2800.00 +16.67 +0.60%
(Domestic Price)(19/07)

Coal price.135.00 -0.10 -0.07%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.40 +0.40 +0.29%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.65 +0.15 +0.11%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.85 +0.25 +0.18%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.105.00 -0.20 -0.19%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..107.95 -0.70 -0.64%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.108.40 -1.50 -1.36%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.60 -1.25 -1.14%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3988 +28 +0.71%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..415.00 +10.25 +2.53%
SoybeanOil 44.85 +0.88 +2.00%
Wheat…..548.00 +5.25 +0.97%

Wood pulp..5196 unch +0%
(Closed 22/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe ijo, asia varied, US bond yield naik, masih cari arah ini IHSG, harusnya turun tapi US nya lagi bagus

USD index merah, metal2 juga merah, oil merah gas ijo tebel, coal tipis tipis, CPO ijo, ayo dong ADRO koreksi dulu, mau buy di 2900 an nih, hehehe

IHSG – technical masih bilang down, BD lagi tarik ulur, foreign masuk tipis, masih sideways dulu sepertinya

Wah BMTR belum jadi lari Industrials udah melemah, emang ASII sih yang nge drive nya, dan selalu sesuai index. masih paling aman pegang saham saham yang defensif di Consumer dan yang biasa contrarian

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak, ASII BBNI BMRI GGRM ITMG MEDC PTBA SRTG ADMR DOID MNCN, big accum BMRI ITMG PTBA . Tapi terasa jebakan betmen

MACD Buy Signal: GGRM ADMR.ADMR ada gossip mau masuk LQ45 di 31 Juli

ITMG – stoch buy macd up MFI up w% keluar uptrend, BD FF acc, tapi dari price action dia udah beres target CNH dan tutup gap, coal price juga slowing down, index juga berat dipaksa naik

Coal price harusnya mau jalan ini, tapi sahamnya udah duluan, nunggu pull back dulu baru mau masuk

SPike udah done, sabar deh tunggu pullback

harga udah diatas avg bandar, pada lagi diem, ga akum, WNS

PTBA – paling menarik dari sisi drop jauh dan banyak gap, stoch buy juga,macd up, MFI overbought, w% hampir keluar uptrend area, BD masih acc, udah FNS, kayanya jg mau pullback dulu

dari harga dibanding average bandar masih lebih aman, dan terlihat memang accum biggest holdernya, masih bisa masuk tapi ada resiko pullback dulu bareng index

SPike nya ok ini PTBA, kalo mau BOW disini aja dibanding ITMG

ADMR – stoch buy macdbuy mfi up w% down, bd dist FF udah masuk gede, masih sideways, keliatan nungu waktu mau breakout. Menarik apalagi kalo bener masuk LQ45

PBV relatif mahal, PER murah, masih bisa lah masuk sini dari sisi valuasi

Banyak spike sayangnya kurang significant, bukan sepi di sideways terus ada spike

Harga nya udah diatas average tapi belum jauh, idealnya BOW dibawah average bandar. Technical ok, bandarmology kurang perfect, bisa BOW sih, tapi kalo saya nunggu index dulu just to be safe