Daily Analysis 20240718

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

July 18th, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq posts worst day since 2022, Dow gains 200 points as investors rotate out of tech

The S&P 500
and Nasdaq Composite
retreated on Wednesday as the rotation out of high-flying technology shares and into more rate-sensitive names continued

Dow……41198 +243.6 +0.59%
Nasdaq17997 -512.4 -2.77%‼️
S&P 500.5588 -78.93 -1.39%

FTSE…..8188 +22.6 +0.28%
Dax……18437 -80.7 -0.44%
CAC……7571 -9.2 -0.12%

Nikkei..41098 -177.4 -0.43%
HSI……17739 +11.4 +0.06%
Shanghai.2963 -13.5 -0.45%

IDX….7224.22 -0.07 -0.00%
LQ45..910.07 +5.52 +0.61%
IDX30.454.82 +3.96 +0.88%

IDXEnergy..2416.50 -1.14 -0.05%
IDX BscMat1383.43 -4.42 -0.32%
IDX Indstrl.1018.09 +1.74 +0.17%
IDXNONCYC.714.86 +5.40 +0.76%
IDX Hlthcare1420.53 -5.96 -0.42%
IDXCYCLIC…752.71 -0.30 -0.04%
IDXTechno3322.92 -8.25 -1.15%
IDX Transp 1363.57 +7.70. +0.57%
IDX Infrast 1583.19 -0.59 -0.04%
IDX Finance1392.53 +5.34 +0.38%
IDX Banking1231.03 +7.67 +0.63%
IDX Property…..642 +1.40 +0.22%

Indo10Yr.7.0030 -0.0224 -0.32%
ICBI…382.8207 +0.6016 +0.16%
US2Yr.4.438 +0.017 +0.38%
US5Yr 4.081 +0.005 +0.12%
US10Yr4.160 +0.003 +0.07%
US30Yr.4.376 +0.004 +0.09%
VIX..14.48 +1.29 +9.78%‼️

USDIndx 103.7480👍 -0.522 -0.50%
Como Indx….286.06 +0.27 +0.09%
BCOMIN…… 147.03 -1.04 -0.70%

IndoCDS..72.75 +1.02 +1.42%
(5-yr INOCD5) (16/07)

IDR…..16100.00 -79.50👍 -0.49%
Jisdor.16129.00 -74.00👍 -0.46%

Euro…1.0940 +0.0040 +0.37%

TLKM…20.30 +0.98 +5.08%‼️
( 3274)
EIDO….20.13 +0.06 +0.30%
EEM…..43.57 -0.72 -1.63%

Oil…….83.19 +2.39 +2.96%❗️
Gold…..2462.10 -11.50 -0.46%
Timah..32950.00 -221.00 -0.67%
(Closed 17/07)
Nickel..16519.00 -214.50 -1.28%
(Closed 17/07)
Silver….30.60 -1.03 -3.26%‼️
Copper.441.55 -9.45 -2.10%

Iron Ore 62% 109.39 -0.28 -0.26%
(16/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.050 -0.133 -6.09%
Ammonia China 2783.33. unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(17/07)

Coal price.134.75 +0.35 +0.26%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.90 -0.35 -0.25%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.50 -0.10 -0.72%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 138.85 -1.85 -1.31%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.104.60 -1.90 -1.78%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..107.20 -3.75 -3.38%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.108.40 -2.60 -2.34%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.85 -3.05 -2.75%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3921 -5 -0.13%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..411.75 +3.00 +0.73%
SoybeanOil 43.99 -0.96 -2.11%
Wheat…..539.25 +8.50 +1.60%

Wood pulp..5200 -20 -0.38%
(Closed 17/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nasdaq terjun bebas, DJI ijo lemparan dari nasdaq, europe mostly down, asia juga, US bond yield up, IHSG lanjut down lah hari ini

USD index down tapi metal2 juga down, Oil up gas drop coal down CPO down, koreksi semua dong kalo kaya gini

IHSG – all says down, Foreign Net Sell juga, masih koreksi dulu

Koq RSI nya belum ngikut turun sih ya, misleading jadinya

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA GOTO INCO MAPI MAPI MTEL PGAS DSNG RALS, big accum AKRA INCO MTEL PGAS

MACD Buy Signal: ARTO MAPI

Stochastic Continuation Signal & Big Accum: TINS

AKRA – kalo dariindocator pada bagus, stoch buy, macd almost buy, MFI masih di bawah, w% mulai up, BD rev acc, FF juga, yang khawatir di harga minyak aja

ELSA udah jalan duluan, MEDC gerak dikit, AKRA belum, tapi idelnya sih nunggu firm dulu Oil Price rally

Spike nya spike jual

Average aman, tapi biggest holdernya lagi lepas lepas dikit, belum firm ngangkat. WNS deh nunggu oil price firm

INCO – ini menarik banget, stoch buy macd almost buy, MFI sw w% sw, BD rev acc big accum, FF rev acc, mantul di LR, reg bull div confirmed by 2 bull candle, bisa buy ini harusnya

Spike belum ada yang signifikan

Average aman, 2 biggest holder accum, bisa spec BUY INCO setengah botol, kalo FNB dan macd buy signal nambah

MTEL – kalo bukan karena TLKM group semua jalan kemaren, saya yakin MTEL udah mentok dan waktunya turun. Tapi ini bisa jadi mau lanjut elliot wave ke atas kalo index nya juga mendukung. Oscillators sudah pada mepet atas sih tapi big accum

Ah sudah done ini, waktunya longsor

CC mulai buang OD yang accum, di akhir kaya tukeran barang sambil goreng, ga deh, skip MTEL

MAPI – Abis gorengan gila gilaan tahun kemaren nyungsep dulu, udah abc correction sampe level fibo 50, sudah bisa dianggap done. PBV PER masih bisa lah, walau tidak layak value investing, tapi BD FF nya dist, Stoch mACD buy, MFI down w% sw, WNS dulu

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