Daily Analysis 20240716

July 16th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow rises 200 points to close at a record after Trump survives assassination attempt

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
advanced on Monday as investors bet the unsuccessful assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump will lead to big gains for the Republican presidential candidate and the GOP at the polls in November.

Friendlier fiscal policies ahead were seen as further spurring a broadening out of the bull market that started to take shape last week. Small-cap shares and banks climbed on Monday.

Dow……40212 +210.8 +0.53%
Nasdaq18473 +74.1 +0.40%
S&P 500.5631 +15.9 +0.28%

FTSE…..8183 -69.96 -0.85%
Dax……18591 -157.3 -0.84%
CAC……7633 -91.6 -1.19%

Nikkei..41191 closed +0%
HSI……18015 -277.4 -1.52%
Shanghai.2974 +2.7 +0.09%,

IDX….7278.86 -46.72 -0.66%
LQ45..912.58 -7.80 -0.85%
IDX30.454.63 -3.77 -0.82%

IDXEnergy..2415.15 +0.67 +0.03%
IDX BscMat1378.96 -7.39 -0.53%
IDX Indstrl.1018.19 -0.65 -0.06%
IDXNONCYC.715.02 +1.14 +0.16%
IDX Hlthcare1426.43 -6.28 -0.44%
IDXCYCLIC…740.98 +2.22 +0.30%
IDXTechno3293.20 +17.36 +0.53%
IDX Transp 1349.85 +11.97 +0.89%
IDX Infrast 1595.54 -16.88 -1.05%
IDX Finance1395.74 -5.03 -0.36%
IDX Banking1234.43 -10.06 -0.81%
IDX Property…..643 -0.30 -0.04%

Indo10Yr.7.0313 +0.0118 +0.17%
ICBI…382.0478 -0.3250 -0.08%
US2Yr.4.460 +0.002 +0.04%
US5Yr 4.135 +0.028 +0.68%
US10Yr4.225 -0.022 -0.52%
US30Yr.4.459 +0.059 +1.34%
VIX..13.12 +0.66 +5.30%‼️

USDIndx 104.1890👍 -0.211 -0.20%
Como Indx….288.39 -2.05 -0.71%
BCOMIN…… 150.67 -1.41 -0.93%

IndoCDS..71.72 -0.08 -0.11%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/07)

IDR…..16170.00❗️+33.50 +0.21%
Jisdor.16174.00❗️+20.00 +0.11%

Euro…1.0895 +0.0027 +0.25%

TLKM…19.39 -0.37 -1.85%
( 3136)
EIDO….20.16 -0.36 -1.73%
EEM…..44.04 -0.46 -1.02%

Oil…….81.88 -1.07 -1.28%
Gold…..2426.20 +8.80 +0.33%
Timah..33246.00 -449.00 -1.33%
(Closed 15/07)
Nickel..16923.00 -161.50 -0.95%
(Closed 15/07)
Silver….31.63 -0.74 -2.33%
Copper.451.00 -1.15 0.25%

Iron Ore 62% 109.58 +0.84 +0.77%
(12/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.162 -0.151 -6.53%‼️
Ammonia China 2783.33. unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(12/07)

Coal price.134.95 +1.10 +0.82%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.75 +2.40 +1.77%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.05 +2.30 +1.68%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.55 +2.00 +1.45%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.15 +1.85 +1.77%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..109.15 +4.25 +4.05%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 109.70 +3.90 +3.69%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 109.70 +3.50 +3.30%‼️
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..3896 -39 -0.99%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..404.25 -10.50 -2.53%
SoybeanOil 44.91 -0.68 -1.49%
Wheat…532.50 -18.25 -3.31%‼️

Wood pulp..5220 unch +0%
(Closed 15/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

dikira akan merah karena percobaan pembunuhan trump, US malah ijo, europe merah, asia mostly merah, US bond yield naik padahal

USD index down, tapi metal2 banyak down, cuma gold sama iron ore up. Oil Gas down, coal up high, CPO down. Harusnya ANTM ijo hari ini, yang lain keliatannya lanjut merah ikut index

IHSG – FNS, awal koreksi ini, harusnya ga akan terlalu pendek karena kemaren rally nya lumayan jauh. Sementara belum bisa short sell sabar aja tunggu koreksi selesai

Liat ini seolah olah financials mau nyusul, yang efeknya akan ngangkar index, tapi hampir pasti ini jadwal minggu ini sih merah dulu, koreksi sehat. Biasanya consumer yang jadi ganjel index biar ga nyungsep2 banget

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBTN BRMS IMAS SMDR. Big accum BBTN BRMS.

MACD Buy Signal: SSIA, big accum juga

Stochastic Continuation Signal + big accum: BMRS ENRG

BBTN – seandainya bukan jadwal index koreksi, akan pede masuk minimal ikut sampe fibo 38. Tapi index lagi begini mah, sabar dulu aja

BRMS – udah lumayan panjang jalannya, belum koreksi cukup, idealnya bikin higher low dulu. Tapi PER nya kelewatan sih, bukan saham yang baik untuk invest, kalo trading only with extra caution masih bisa tapi, PBV nya masih ok. Tapi ga sekarang, sekarang waktunya wait and see, kalo cari saham contrarian yang baru mulai gerak, jangan yang udah jalan jauh

SSIA – abis gorengan tinggi, PBV masih ok sih, PER rada tinggi tapi masih lumayan, cuma wajarnya abis digoreng konsol, ABC correction dulu lah sampe fibo 38-50, baru jalan lagi. WNS aja