Daily Analysis 20240711

July 11th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes above 5,600 for the first time, lifted by gains in Big Tech

The S&P 500
climbed Wednesday to a fresh record, breaking above 5,600 for the first time, as a sharp rise in semiconductor stocks led the market higher.

Dow……39721  +429.4  +1.09%
Nasdaq18648  +218.2   +1.18%
S&P 500.5634  +56.9     +1.02%

FTSE…..8193   +53.7     +0.66%
Dax……18407  +171.03 +0.94%
CAC……7574   +64.9      +0.86%

Nikkei..41832   +251.8    +0.61%
HSI…..17472     -51.6       -0.29%
Shanghai.2939 -20.01     -0.68%

IDX….7287.04 +17.24  +0.24%
LQ45..912.33   +2.91    +0.32%
IDX30.455.38   +0.62    +0.14%

IDXEnergy..2419.65  -1.96     -0.08%
IDX BscMat1385.96 +0.07    +0.00%
IDX Indstrl.1013.99  +5.25     +0.52%
IDXNONCYC.710.22 +3.20    +0.45%
IDX Hlthcare1434.08+5.45    +0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…737.03  -2.10      -0.28%
IDXTechno3271.96   -23.48   -0.14%
IDX Transp 1300.73  -3.87      -0.30%
IDX Infrast  1581.77  +4.45     +0.28%
IDX Finance1387.54 -4.33       -0.43%
IDX Banking1225.88 -5.30       -0.43%
IDX Property…..616   +1.60     +0.27%

Indo10Yr.7.0591 +0.0009  +0.01%
ICBI…381.2281  +0.1093  +0.03%
US2Yr.4.624   -0.002  -0.04%
US5Yr 4.237   -0.008  -0.19%
US10Yr4.280 -0.018  -0.42%
US30Yr.4.470 -0.019 -0.42%
VIX..12.82      +0.34    +2.72%

USDIndx 105.0480  -0.081  -0.08%
Como Indx….289.71   -0.27     -0.09%
BCOMIN……   152.50  +0.02    +0.01%

IndoCDS..72.72👍  -0.98   -1.33%
(5-yr INOCD5) (09/07)

IDR…..16240.00❗️  -10.50  -0.06%
Jisdor.16256.00❗️  -25.00  -0.15%

Euro…1.0833  +0.0018   +0.17%

TLKM…19.34 +0.34   +1.55%
( 3144)
EIDO….20.17  +0.16   +0.80%
EEM…..44.07     +0.23     +0.52%

Oil…….82.39   +0.71  +0.87%
Gold…..2378.30 +8.10  +0.34%
Timah..35007.00‼️ +657.00 +1.91%
(Closed 10/07)
Nickel..16849.00  -300.00  -1.75%
(Closed 10/07)
Silver….31.10     +0.03   +0.10%
Copper.459.10   +1.20   +0.26%

Iron Ore 62% 110.51  +0.49  +0.45%
(09/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.325  -0.026  -1.11%
Ammonia China 2850.00  unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(09/07)

Coal price.133.75  -1.50   -1.11%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.00   unch   +0%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.05   +0.45   +0.33%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 137.10   -0.05    -0.04%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.101.85    -1.15   -1.12%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..102.65   -1.35   -1.30%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 104.00   -1.50   -1.42%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 104.55   -1.45   -1.37%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..3918  -40   -1.01%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..407.25       -1.25    -0.31%
SoybeanOil 45.58  -0.73    -1.58%
Wheat…561.50      -10.50  -1.84%

Wood pulp..5260  -60   -1.13%
(Closed 10/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo tebel, europe ijo, asia varied, US bond yield turun, harusnya ijo lagi sih ini

USD index down, metal2 up kecuali nickel, oil up gas down coal mostly down, cpo down, masih go buat ANTM TINS, AALI masih koreksi dulu lagi, kita tunggu 833 baru masuk nambah muatan

IHSG – kemaren FNS, indicator beberapa bilang udah jenuh, perlu koreksi, tapi US market mendukung ijo, yang jelas bukan saat yang baik buat aggressive belanja dulu, mungkin ngintip2 momen profit taking sebagian lebih cocok, sambil ngosongin sebagian muatan untuk belanja lagi kalo pas koreksi

Industrials, Transportation, Technology, nambah Property yang terlihat gerak, memang banyak buy signal dan udah gerak, tapi kemaren belum firm aman buat masuk, kita assess pas ada yang buy signal lagi

Stochastic Buy Signal: HEAL NISP TPIA BRAM, TPIA big accum

Stochastic continuation Signal and Big accum: CPIN MTEL WIIM

TPIA – overpriced, PBV udah ketinggian, PER malah negatif karena LK minus, big caps tapi gorengan, gayanya pak PP kenapa jadi terlalu extreme gini sih, heuheu… Skip, melanggar prinsip investasi yang baik

HEAL – technical menarik, reg bull, retracement pattern cocok, memang MFI down, BD FF accum, tapi agak kemahalan ini saham, PBV hampir 5 PER 40, skip…

CPIN – udah telat, dan bukan sekarang waktunya ngejar… Pas kemaren supertrend buy signal itu ngepas

MTEL – udah sampe di target retracement pattern, udah kena reg bear juga dan sudah confirmed, waktunya koreksi dulu