Daily Analysis 20240610

June 10th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes flat near record, posts winning week

The S&P 500 ended flat on Friday, touching a record-high intraday, despite a stronger-than-expected jobs report.

Dow……38799 -87.2 -0.22%
Nasdaq17133 -39.99 -0.23%
S&P 500.5346 -5.97 -0.11%

FTSE…..8245 -39.97 -0.48%
Dax……18557 -95.4 -0.51%
CAC……8001 -38.3 -0.48%

Nikkei..38684 -19.6 -0.05%
HSI…..18367 -109.9 -0.59%
Shanghai.3051 +2.5 +0.08%

IDX….6897.95 -76.95 -1.10%
LQ45..883.93 -8.18 -0.92%
IDX30.441.02 -2.95 -0.66%

IDXEnergy..2262.65 +0.30 +0.01%
IDX BscMat1347.27 -2.71 -0.20%
IDX Indstrl. 943.90 -5.91 -0.62%
IDXNONCYC.698.28 -1.30 -0.19%
IDX Hlthcare1431.16 +16.96+1.20%
IDXCYCLIC…733.18 -3.85 -0.52%
IDXTechno3276.82 -43.51 -1.31%
IDX Transp 1265.25 +7.58 +0.60%
IDX Infrast 1439.25 -16.33 -1.12%
IDX Finance1351.84 -18.47 -1.35%
IDX Banking1160.38 -11.78 -1.00%
IDX Property…..615 +0.20 +0.33%

Indo10Yr.6.9304 +0.0002 +0.002%
ICBI…380.8664 +0.2382 +0.06%
US2Yr.4.889 +0.165 +3.49%‼️
US5Yr 4.461 +0.163 +3.79%‼️
US10Yr4.433 +0.135 +3.14%‼️
US30Yr.4.553 +0.118 +2.66%
VIX..12.22 -0.36 -2.86%

USDIndx 104.8850❗️+0.7830 +0.75%
Como Indx….289.86 -2.56 -0.88%
BCOMIN….153.03 -5.76 -3.63%‼️

IndoCDS..72.72 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/06)

IDR…..16195.00 -67.50 -0.42%
Jisdor.16218.00 -61.00 -0.37%

Euro….1.0801 -0.0091 -0.84%

TLKM…18.57 -0.17 -0.88%
( 3011)
EIDO….19.77 -0.35 -1.72%
EEM…..42.04 -0.48 -1.12%

Oil…….75.53 -0.10 -0.13%
Gold..2325.00 -69.50 -2.90%‼️
Timah..31452.00 -746.00 -2.32%
(Closed 07/06)
Nickel..18609.50 +10.50 +0.06%
(Closed 07/06)
Silver….29.44 -2.02 -6.42%‼️
Copper.448.35 -18.60 -3.98%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 108.48 -0.02 -0.02%
(07/06)
Nturl Gas..2.937 +0.116 +4.11%‼️
Ammonia China.2966.67 +16.67 +0.57%
(Domestic Price)(06/06)

Coal price.131.45 -2.90 -2.16%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.00 -2.90 -2.13%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.05 -0.55 -0.40%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 138.35 +0.95 +0.69%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.00 -1.85 -1.68%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.110.60 -0.85 -0.76%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.05 -0.50 -0.44%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 115.35 +0.30 +0.26%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3976 +15.00 +0.38%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..448.75 -3.25 -0.72%
SoybeanOil 43.63 -0.72 -1.62%
Wheat…..627.50 -12.00 -1.88%

Wood pulp..5810 unch +0%
(Closed 05/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing jum’at US merah europe merah asia merah, US bond yield naik tinggi banget, fixed deh, IHSG tutup gap dulu hari ini

USD index up, gold silver copper drop, tin iron ore down, nickel up sendiri. Oil down gas up coal down, CPO lanjut ijo, ini bubar semua kecuali buat AALI LSIP, tapi kalo index merah dalem ya susah jalan juga

IHSG – technical jelek semua, cuma Elliot wave yang bilang udah deket beres ABC correction sekalian tutup gap, beware, semua open position pasang stop loss

Consumer Cyclicals, Financials, Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak, KLBF UNTR ASSA BSDE ELSA GTRA SMRA SMAR AMFG MDKI AALI. Ga ada yang big accum, kita assess sekilas, yang emang bagus bisa jadi bagus diambil nanti sore kalau index merah dalem lagi tutup gap

MACD Buy Signal: SIDO

KLBF – technical relative ok semua, memang stoch nya udah tinggi, MACD udah diatas histogram, tapi retracement pattern says up ke fibo 38.Kalo misalnya hari ini dibanting ke deket level 1535 mungkin bagus buat pasang buy disitu plus 1 tick

Spike udah done

Ah, nggak dulu deh, biggest holdernya udah mulai lepas barang, tunggu koreksi dulu deh

UNTR – technical menarik, stoch buy macd up, MFI up, w% sw, tapi BD FF masih dist, ada gap, ASII nya juga udah terlihat siap jalan, BOW bisa ini harusnya

Spike nya ok

Biggest holder lagi hold, mungkin karena index lagi drop. Tapi ga buang, ok ini, bisa BOW UNTR idealnya level deket 22.200. Saya skip karena hold ASII

ASSA – dari chart nya kaya yang mau hajatan… stoch buy, macd almost buy, tapi MFI down karena vol kecil, bandar aja yang main kali, w% up, BD FF rev acc, reg bull div confirmed by MA 10 and 2 bull candle, harusnya bisa buy

Ada spike belum done

average aman, biggest holder accum, YP aja buang dikit. bisa buy ini, BOW sedikit diatas support 710 ideal

BSDE – Stoch rev buy belum sampe oversold sih, macd sw, MFI down, w% sw, BD FF acc tipis, mungkin aja beres sidewaysnya dan mau lanjut, tapi index kaya gini dan liat curve nya sih, ke bawah kayanya

ELSA – belum sih, kemarin udah firm jalan tapi oil price ngebalik, kita tunggu firm naik lagi oil price nya

Tunggu oil price confirm dulu

AALI – belum boleh jalan, balik ke support low kemaren, stoch rev buy, macd up, MFI down, w% downtrend, BD FF dist, kesempatan ambil di bawah sih ini, tapi memang resiko, yang berani spec buy boleh, tapi break support buang

Spike nya sih cakep

Average aman, biggest holder udah berhenti buang, second nya accum, berani lah… Saya masih hold AALI

SIDO – technical ok, tapi overpriced, ga ada issue besar juga, skip ah