Daily Analysis 20240502

May 02nd, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes higher as Powell says Fed’s next move is unlikely to be a hike

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed higher on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell largely ruled out that the central bank’s next move could be a hike, easing investor worries that it was losing control of sticky inflation. The broader market finished lower, however, with losses from

Dow……37903 +87.4 +0.23%
Nasdaq15606 -52.3 -0.33%
S&P 500.5018 -17.3 -0.34%

FTSE…..8121 -22.9 -0.28%
Dax……17932 -186.2 -1.03%
CAC……7985 -80.2 -0.99%

Nikkei..38274 -131.6 -0.34%
HSI…..17763 +16.1 +0.09%
Shanghai.3104 -8.2 -0.26%

*IDX…..7234.20 +78.41* +1.10%
LQ45..926.73 +11.38 +1.24%
IDX30..470.64 +6.24 +1.34%

IDXEnergy..2228.96 closed +0%
IDX BscMat1346.47 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl..1062.90 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.693.58 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1389.52 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…764.27 closed +0%
IDXTechno3359.23 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1329.47 closed +0%
IDX Infrast 1621.18 closed +0%
IDX Finance1433.33 closed. +0%
IDX Banking.1265.80closed +0%
IDX Property.. 626 closed +0%

*Indo10Yr.7.1237‼️ closed +0%*
*ICBI…373.3950‼️ closed +0%*
*US2Yr.4.969 -0.077 -1.54%*
*US5Yr 4.660 -0.063 -1.33%*
*US10Yr4.633 -0.054 -1.15%*
*US30Yr.4.759 -0.030 -0.63%*
*VIX…….15.39 -0.26 -1.66%*

*USDIndx 105.7550❗️-0.47 -0.44%*
*Como Indx..285.44 ‼️ -6.02 -2.07%*
*BCOMIN..156.90 -1.53 -0.97%*

*IndoCDS..75.71👍* – 1.02 -1.33%
(5-yr INOCD5) *(30/04)*

*IDR…..16259.00‼️closed +0%*
*Jisdor.16276.00‼️closed +0%*

*Euro….1.0717* +0.000 +0.05%

TLKM…19.45 unch +0%
*( 3166)*
EIDO……20.83 +0.06 +0.29%
EEM……41.03 -0.55 -1.31%

*Oil…….79.12‼️* +0.12 +0.15%
*Gold..2311.00* +8.10 +0.35%
*Timah..31216.00 -1350.00 -4.15%*
*(Closed 30/04)*
*Nickel..18926.50 -312.00 -1.62%*
(Closed 01/04)
Silver…….26.75 +0.09 +0.35%
Copper…454.60 -1.85 -0.41%

*Iron Ore 62% 110.91* +0.37 +0.33%
(30/04)
*Nturl Gas..1.931 -0.060 -3.01%‼️*
*Ammonia China.2983.33* -16.67 -0.56%
(Domestic Price)(29/04)

*Coal price 147.00 +4.75 +3.38%‼️*
(May/Newcastle)
*Coal price.147.40 +4.40 +3.08%‼️*
(Jun/Newcastle)
*Coal price.147.60 +4.20 +2.93%‼️*
(Jul/Newcastle)
*Coal price.147.24 +3.30 +2.42%*
(Agt/Newcastle)

*Coal price..107.10 +4.20 +4.08%‼️*
(May/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.108.55 +3.40 +3.23%‼️*
(Jun/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.108.70 +2.85 +2.69%*
(Jul/Rotterdam)
*Coal price 108.25 +2.25 +2.11%*
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)..3900 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….450.75 +4.00 +0.90%
SoybeanOil 43.26 +0.25 +0.58%
Wheat….599.25 -4.00 -0.66%

*Wood pulp..5860* unch +0%
(Closed 01/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US DJI ijo, nasdaq merah, europe merah, asia kebanyakan merah, IDX closing ijo sebelum mayday, US bond yield down semua, harusnya lanjut ijo lagi hari ini.

USD index merah, gold silver iron ore ijo, tin nickel copper merah, oil ijo gas merah, coal ijo tebel, harusnya start jalan ini ADRO dkk

IHSG – MACD nya buy signal kalo closing di harga yang sama hari ini, harusnya beneran udah mau gerak ke atas lagi sih, yang jeleknya ada opening gap kemaren dan FF masih net sell. technically udah ok buat aggessive belanja. Beware aja gerakan tutup gap dulu

Berduyun duyun bergerak, tapi jelas kalo index mau naik, yang pasti gerak itu big banks, Financials, disusul property biasanya. Di chart ini terlihat Healthcare dan Technology ikutan

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRIS BRPT HRUM ITMG PGAS SMGR ASSA BFIN ELSA GTRA HRTA JSMR MPMX SMAR ANJT AALI. Big accum BRPT HRUM ITMG BFIN

MACD Buy Signal: BRPT BUKA PTMP TOWR AUTO BSDE CTRA IMAS MARK RAJA AUTO. Big Accum BRPT BTPS CTRA

BRPT – Udah run diatas 15 % tanpa koreksi, kalo secara technical sih firm jalan, tapi ga bijak FOMO dan beli sembarangan. Kita tunggu bikin higher low, masuk disitu

BRIS – Kalo bank pada jalan biasanya BRIS ikut, tapi udah wave 5 belum beres ABC correction, kayanya mending liat BTPS yang abis dibanting

BTPS – ini kaya BRPT juga, udah naik 17% hanya dalam 2 candle. Technical firm jalan, tapi tunggu koreksi dulu deh. Abis bikin higher low baru masuk. target harusnya rada panjang disini

ELSA – chart nya sih harusnya firm lanjut, stoch balik buy lagi, macd still up, MFI up, w%uptrend, BD FF accum, tapi oil price ngebalik, jadi harus hati hati

https://www.emitennews.com/news/laba-elnusa-elsa-melesat-59-persen-di-kuartal-i-2024-ini-pemicunya

Ada news ini makanya kemaren loncat ternyata

WTI Oil price trend nya jelek, so sementara ini kalo ELSA nya melesu exit dulu.

Tadinya mau nambah muatan, cancel dulu

HRUM ITMG udah buy signal, saya pegang ADRO dan belum buy signal. Masih hold, bakal nambah pas firm

Coal Price still goin up, udah putus minor trend turunnya, harusnya sih lanjut

BMTR – ini langganan setahun sekali, pagi ini udah nongol malu malu MACD buy signal nya, nanti sore kalo firm mau entry…

Sudah banyak spike berantakan, banyak transaksi gede di level harga bawah

Harga aman, cuma jeleknya YP masih buang, tapi biggest holdernya EP accum. Berani ah buy nanti sore pas firm MACD buy signal