Daily Analysis 20240129

January 29th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq fall Friday to snap six-day win streak, but both notch weekly gains

The S&P 500
closed slightly lower Friday, but clinched weekly gains as the latest economic data added to a positive picture of the economy.

Dow……38109 +60.3 +0.16%
Nasdaq15455 -55.1 -0.36%
S&P 500.4891 -3.2 -0.07%

FTSE…..7635 +105.4 +1.40%
Dax……16961 +54.5 +0.32%
CAC……7434 +169.9 +2.28%

Nikkei..35751 -485.40 -1.34%
HSI……15952 -259.7 -1.60%
Shanghai.2910 +4.1 +0.14%

IDX…..7137.09 -40.95 -0.57%
LQ45….951.49 -8.31 -0.87%
IDX30…482.83 -3.96 -0.81%

IDXEnergy..2115.97 -20.83 -0.97%
IDX BscMat.1284.91 -4.10 -0.32%
IDX Indstrl…1084.62 -3.73 -0.34%
IDXNONCYC.696.55 -4.51 -0.64%
IDX Hlthcare1311.94 -4.73. -0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…848.85 -6.10 -0.71%
IDX Techno4074.19 -53.93 -1.31%
IDX Transp 1620.81 -15.05 -0.92%
IDX Infrast 1581.62 -39.19 -2.42%
IDX Finance.1519.17 +3.02 +0.20%
IDX Banking.1274.35 -12.27 -0.95%
IDX Property.. 701 +3.10 +0.44%

Indo10Yr.6.6901 +0.0083 +0.12%
ICBI…375.1719 -0.2428 -0.06%
US2Yr.4.357 +0.058 +1.35%
US5Yr 4.038 +0.036 +0.90%
US10Yr4.139 +0.018 +0.44%
US30Yr.4.372+0.002 +0.05%
VIX…13.26 -0.19 -1.41%

USDIndx 103.4330❗️ -0.141 -0.14%
Como Indx..273.57 +1.17 +0.43%
BCOMIN……139.82 +0.51 +0.36%

IndoCDS..76.21 +2.46 +3.34%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (26/01)

IDR…..15825.00‼️ -1.00 -0.01%
Jisdor.15829.00 ‼️+62.00 +0.39%

Euro….1.0853 +0.0008 +0.07%

TLKM…25.45 +0.33 +1.37%
(4028)
EIDO……21.34 -0.23 -1.07%
EEM……38.90 +0.03 +0.098%

Oil…….78.01 +0.96 +1.25%
Gold..2036.10 -3.00 -0.15%
Timah..26664.00 +16.00 +0.06%
(Closed 26/01)
Nickel..16595.50 -175.50 -1.04%
(Closed 26/01)
Silver……22.87 -0.15 -0.65%
Copper.385.20 -1.60 -0.41%

Iron Ore 62% 135.55 +0.01 +0.01%
(26/01)
Nturl Gas..2.180 -0.008 -0.37%
Ammonia China.3343.33. – -%
(Domestic Price)(26/01/02)

Coal price 119.00 +0.90 +0.76%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.117.15 +1.75 +1.52%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 118.15 +2.65 +2.29%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.118.45 +2.85 +2.47%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .93.75 +1.50 +1.63%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..92.10 +2.55 +2.85%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.35 +2.15 +2.44%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.05 +2.65 +3.03%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..4021 +76 +1.93%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……446.25 -5.50 -1.22%
SoybeanOil 46.93 +0.40 +0.86%
Wheat…600.25 -12.00 -1.96%

Wood pulp..5066.00 unch +0%
(Closed 28/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI closing ijo jumat, tapi nasdaq dan sp500 merah, europe masih ijo, asia kebanyakan merah. Kemungkinan besar masih mau merah dulu IHSG hari ini, beresin ABC correction, mungkin juga sih mantul dulu karena kemaren merahnya dalem walau closing nya ditarik ke atas

US bond rates naik semua, jadi kayanya merah ini… USD index merah, tapi metal2 juga merah walau tipis, oil ijo das merah, coal mantul ijo, nanti kita liat apa udah waktunya masuk coal lagi. CPO ijo tebel, semoga ini dan IHSG beres ABC correction terus AALI LSIP berangkat

IHSG – masih FNS, BD flat, ABC correction belum beres, tapi mungkin aja minornya di wave A nya bikin abc kecil, kalo iya bisa jadi sekarang jadwal wave B. Tapi yang jelas masih berbahaya, masih mending banyak keep cash, masuk kecil di yang contrarian aja. MACD masih down, stoch tadinya up ini mau sell lagi, udah tembus EMA 50, kalo ikut pemain MA udah firm downtrend ini

Basic Materials, Infrastructure, Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: HRUM INKP BSDE JSMR TKIM, ga ada yang big accum, malah HRUP TKIM big dist, BSDE spike

MACD buy signal: INTP MIKA OMED TAPG. healthcare mulai padagerak lagi ya, INTP big acc, TAPG spike

Stochastic Continuation Signal ga ada yang big accum, tapi keliatan Consumer Non-Cyclicals kompak gerak

Alligator Buy Signal: MTMH SSMS

INKP – stoch buy, macd dikit lagi, MFI up, w%up, BD FF rev acc, masuk IDX 30, bisa spec buy harusnya… Memang baru mantul abis break low sih, masih agak beresiko, yang jelas kalo break dan bikin lower low buang

Spike ada walau kurang firm karena keluar abis itu harga turun dikit

harga aman, tapi belum pada gerak akum, BK malah masih dist, kayanya sengaja bawa ke bawah buat nyapu barang

BSDE – wah belum ini sih, baru stoch aja yang buy sisanya jelek semua

JSMR, wajarnya akan ABC correction dulu, tapi sektornya jalan, jadi sideways, belum sih, nanti liat lagi pas MACD buy

TKIM – technically belum sih, baru stoch yang buy di support, yang lain masih sideways, BD malah masih dist, wait MACD deh. walau sepertinya akan bareng nanti geraknya dengan INKP

INTP – stoch up MACD buy, MFI up, w% sw, BD acc, FF rev acc, bisa nambah ini harusnya

New spike, harusnya jalan sih

PD akum tipis, BQ diem, AZ accum, aman sih, BOW nambah INTP

MIKA – reg bull div jalan, stoch up, macd buy, MFI w% sw, BD acc tipis, FF dist, sektor nya belum jalan lagi, sementara skip dulu, ini candle kemaren lagi bikin higher low, kalo firm mantul baru dipikirin lagi deh