Daily Analysis 20240105

January 05th, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq closes lower for a fifth day, its longest losing streak since October 2022

The Nasdaq Composite
closed lower on Thursday for a fifth consecutive session — its longest losing streak since October 2022.

Dow……37440 +10.2 +0.03%
Nasdaq14510 -81.9 -0.56%
S&P 500.4689 -16.1 -0.34%

FTSE…..7723 +40.7 +0.53%
Dax……16617 +78.9 +0.48%
CAC……7451 +38.8 +0.52%

Nikkei..33288 -175.9 -0.53%
HSI…….16646 -0.4 -0.00%
Shanghai.2954 -12.90 -0.43%

IDX…..7359.76 +80.67 +1.11%
LQ45….988.64 +15.26 +1.57%
IDX30…502.23 +7.97 +1.61%

IDXEnergy..2171.31 +36.50 +1.71%
IDX BscMat.1330.91 +4.60 +0.35%
IDX Indstrl…1110.45 +6.64 +0.60%
IDXNONCYC.723.68 +5.23 +0.73%
IDX Hlthcare1336.32 -4.84 -0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…832.62 +7.38 +0.89%
IDX Techno4398.90 -28.19 -0.64%
IDX Transp 1695.01 +38.04 +2.30%
IDX Infrast 1578.76 +1.48 +0.09%
IDX Finance.1478.79+30.77 +2.13%
IDX Banking.1301.50+33.51+2.64%
IDX Property.. 709 +0.20 +0.03%

Indo10Yr.6.6570+0.0076 +0.11%
ICBI…374.0422 -0.1536 -0.04%
US2Yr.4.387 +0.054 +1.25%
US5Yr 3.980 +0.075 +1.92%
US10Yr4.007+0.087 +2.22%
US30Yr.4.152+0.082 +2.01%$
VIX….14.13 +0.09 +0.64%

USDIndx 102.4220 -0.035 -0.03%
Como Indx..265.00 -0.26 -0.10%
BCOMIN……138.33 -1.60 -1.14 %

IndoCDS..75.20 +5.97 +8.62%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/01)

IDR…..15490.00 +9.50 +0.06%
Jisdor.15525.00 +30.00 +0.19%

Euro….1.0946 +0.0026 +0.24%

TLKM…25.47 -0.15 -0.59%
(3954)
EIDO….22.39 +0.34 +1.54%
EEM….39.39 -0.13 -0.33%

Oil……..72.70 -0.51 -0.70%
Gold..2050.00 +7.20 +0.35%
Timah..25294.00 +110 +0.44%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel..16425.00 -291 -1.77%
(Closed 04/01)
Silver……23.19 +0.03 +0.13%
Copper.384.40 -1.75 -0.45%

Iron Ore 62% 144.16 +7.79 %‼️
(03/01)
Nturl Gas..2.848 +0.161 +5.99%‼️
Ammonia China.3640.00 -16.67 -0.46%
(Domestic Price)(03/02)

Coal price.130.90 +2.40 +1.87%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 129.20 +2.20 +1.73%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.127.90 +2.15 +1.71%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 127.30 +2.90 +2.33%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.112.30 +3.05 +2.80%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.30 +4.55 +4.39%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.103.55 +4.30 +4.33%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 101.35 +4.15 +4.27%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3656 +32 +0.88%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……466.50 +1.25 +0.27%
SoybeanOil 48.16 -0.44 -0.91%
Wheat….613.50 +13.25 +2.21%

Wood pulp..5050.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Asia kemaren IHSG kenceng sendiri, yang lain merah, Europe ijo, US DJI tipis2 tapi nasdaq merah. US bond rates pada naik, USD index turun tipis, agak khawatir buat saham, tapi yang commodities sih ok.

Gold Tin Silver Iron ore ijo, nickel copper merah. Oil merah gas coal ijo tebel, CPO ijo, Hayo ANTM PTBA AALI jalan yok

IHSG – masih lanjut, stoch ob macd up MFI up w% uptrend BD acc FNB udah deket banget sama level ATH

Kalo hari ini rejection candle bisa jadi longsor

Cosumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADMR ERAA RMKE SMDR IPOL. Big acc ADMR, Spike SMDR

MACD Buy SIgnal: ISAT PNIN AMFG

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big acc: PTBA ELSA MNCN

Supertrend Buy Signal BBTN ELSA

Alligator Buy Signal: PTBA SCMA AVIA HEAL

ADMR – stoch buy, MACD rev up, MFI down, w% sw, BD FF acc, kemaren CNH jalan, abc correction walau belum sampe di target tapi cukup lah ya… abis itu udah bikin higher low, harusnya bisa entry ini, terutama yang belum pegang saham mineral

Spike belum done, good sih

Hmm, nggak deh, pas tahun kemaren entry ADMR pas dibawa avg bandar, lumayan dapet long run, sekarang udah diatas, masih mungkin lari, tapi secara prinsip kurang safe

ISAT – masih belum berani, macd juga bolak balik, dari elliot wave sih harusnya beresin ABC correction dulu ya

PTBA – bukan waktunya lagi buat FOMO terus ngejar sih, target double bottom nya udah done, walau masih mungkin lari ke atas tapi amannya tunggu bikin higher low baru entry