Daily Analysis 20240103
January 03rd, 2024
Good morning,
S&P 500 closes lower to begin 2024, Nasdaq notches worst day since October
The S&P 500
fell Tuesday, the first trading day of the year, as bond yields inched higher and investors took some money off the table following a surprisingly strong 2023.
Dow……37715 +25.5 +0.07%
Nasdaq14766 -245.4 -1.63%
S&P 500.4743 -27.00 -0.57%
FTSE…..7722 -11.7 -0.16%
Dax……16769 +17.7 +0.11%
CAC……7531 -12.3 -0.16%
Nikkei..33464 closed +0%
HSI…….16789 -258.8 -1.52%
Shanghai.2962 -12.66 -0.43%
IDX…..7323.59 +50.79 +0.70%
LQ45….979.43 +8.86 +0.91%
IDX30…498.42 +3.21 +0.65%
IDXEnergy..2142.96 +42.+2.00%
IDX BscMat.1332.14 +26.67 +1.89%}
IDX Indstrl…1105.51 +11.74 +1.07%
IDXNONCYC.724.41 +2.01 +0.28%
IDX Hlthcare1353.56 -22.40 -1.64%
IDXCYCLIC…825.05. +3.63 +0.44%
IDX Techno4418.00 -17.60 -0.40%
IDX Transp 1654.96 +53.45 +3.34%‼️
IDX Infrast 1576.31. +6.28 +0.40%
IDX Finance.1452.08 -6.24. -0.43%
IDX Banking.1269.00 -0.55 -0.04%
IDX Property.. 710 -3.60 -0.50%
Indo10Yr.6.6161+0.017 +0.26%
ICBI…374.6896 -0.1294 -0.03&%
US2Yr.4.324 +0.074 +1.74%
US5Yr 3.922 +0.082 +2.14%
US10Yr3.941 +0.075 +1.94%
US30Yr.4.083+0.064 +1.59%
VIX….13.20 +0.75 +6.02%‼️
USDIndx 102.2360 +0.903 +0.89%
Como Indx..262.63 -1.19 -0.45%
BCOMIN……141.17 -1.48 -1.04%
IndoCDS..69.29 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/01)
IDR…..15470.00 +71.00 +0.46%
Jisdor.15473.00 +34.00 +0.22%
Euro….1.0942 – -%
TLKM…25.90 +0.14 +0.54%
(4008)
EIDO….22.21 -0.11 -0.49%
EEM….39.74 -0.47 -1.17%
Oil……..70.38 -1.27 -1.77%
Gold..2073.40 +1.60 +0.08%
Timah..25415.00 – -%
(Closed 29/12)
Nickel..16565.00 -106 -0.64%
(Closed 02/01)
Silver……23.95 -0.13 -0.55%
Copper.388.05 -1.00 -0.26%
Iron Ore 62% 136.37 – -%
(29/12)
Nturl Gas..2.574 +0.077 +3.08%
Ammonia China.3623.33-183.34 -3.81%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/02)
Coal price.127.75 -9.2 -6.72%‼️
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 126.15 -7.65 -5.72%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.124.85 -7.10 -5.38%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 123.90 -6.55 -5.02%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.106.15 -2.15 -1.99%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 101.55 -2.30 -2.21%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price. 97.10 -2.75 -2.75%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price .95.20 -3.35 -3.40%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
CPO(Mar)..3660 -60 -1.61%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……463.75 -7.50 -1.59%
SoybeanOil 48.29 +0.11 +0.23%
Wheat….606.75 -21.25 -3.38%
Wood pulp..5040.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/01)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Kemaren IHSG ijo, asia merah europe merah US merah, so hari ini kemungkinan merah… Kalo mau belanja sore lebih ok kayanya
Update Global Economic Calendar
2 Jan 2023
INDONESIA MARKET :
Inflation Rate YoY (Dec)
Actual : 2.61%
Forecast : 2.85%
Previous : 2.86%
Core Inflation Rate YoY (Dec)
Actual : 1.8%
Forecast : 1.85%
Previous : 1.87%
Inflation Rate MoM (Dec)
Actual : 0.41%
Forecast : –
Previous : 0.38%
Tourist Arrivals YoY (Nov)
Actual : 30.17%
Forecast : –
Previous : 33.27%
GERMANY MARKET :
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 43.3
Forecast : 43.1
Previous : 42.6
EURO AREA MARKET :
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 44.4
Forecast : 44.2
Previous : 44.2
UNITED KINGDOM MARKET :
S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 46.2
Forecast : 46.4
Previous : 47.2
U.S MARKET :
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 47.9
Forecast : 48.2
Previous : 49.4
By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –
Visit our website :
www.phintracosekuritas.com
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Angka Inflasi indonesia lebih baik dari forecast, makanya ijo sendiri kemaren, nah, Europe dan US index manufacture nya dibawah forecast, wajarnya merah, dan hari ini masih pengaruh…
Berita jelek selalu disusul sama naiknya suku bunga, USD index juga naik jadi lengkap untuk bikin merah saham. metal2 merah semua kecuali emas yang ijo tipisoil merah gas ijo, coal DROP, CPO merah, wah masih berantakan ini, semoga ANTM MDKA keganjel harga emas yang lagi tinggi
IHSG – stoch OB, MACD up, MFI sw, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, wave 5, hati hati koreksi, curigany mah akan kejedot level all time high baru merosot ABC correction
Index jalan hampir semua sektor jalan,yang arahnya paling deket 45 Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Transportation
Stochastic Buy Signal: BBKP TAPG
MACD Buy Signal banyak banget, yang big acc cuma ASSA, yang ada Spike EMTK, layak dipantau ICBP TBIG AALI
Stochastic Continuation Signal banyak, tapi ga ada yang big accum, malah INKP big dist. Paling SMDR yang ada spike
TAPG – stoch macdbuy tapi sideways, mfi sw w% terlihat bottoming, masih fase sideways, last day BD dist, FNB tipis, WNS
ASSA – stoch up, macd buy, MFI up, w%uptrend, BD FF rev acc, kemaren naik 5%, reg bull div MACD jalan, harusnya ok sih ini
Spike gede belum ketutup, ada lagi spike kecil, harusnya masih ok sih,
Average bandar aman, kalo data 200 hari KZ biggest holder dan accum, tapi data 90 hari YP lagi dist kecil. Sektor jalan, hampir semua faktor ok, bisa buy di tengah candle kemaren. PER nya udah ketinggian, PBV masih ok, jadi setengah aja lah ya…
EMTK – stoch up macd buy,MFI up w% uptrend, BD FF rev dist, IHNS in the making, menarik technically, tapi rugi, PER nya negatif, skip deh
ICBP – stoch up, macd buy but sw, MFI down, w% up, BD rev dist, FF acc, low candles nya ascending, harusnya sih sign of reversakl, cuma belum firm momentum nya, INDF yang udah firm duluan juga belum jalan. WNS
TBIG – stoch buy macd buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, BD FF rev acc, terlihat mau coba breakout, sektor belum jalan masih weakening
ada spike, pas keluar spike besoknya jalan, harusnya bener bukan spike jual ini
Udah diatas average bandar… Skip ah
AALI – stoch up, MACD up,MFI up, w% uptrend, BD FF rev dist, mantul dari support kuat, menarik sih, harga CPO mulai mantul juga tapi kemaren drop lagi
Ada spike..
Average aman, 3 top holder accum, data stockbit miss berarti… Bisa BOW
Tags: AALI, ABC, and, ANTM, ASSA, BBKP, big, Consumer, Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Daily Analysis, EA, Economic, EMTK, Final, ICBP, idx, IHSG, INDF, INKP, invest, Jan, MDKA, Property, Rate, saham, SMDR, stock, stocks, stocktrading, TAPG, TBIG, technical analysis, time, trading, trading for a living, Transportation
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