Daily Analysis 20230807

Agt 07th, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq tumble for four straight days, notch worst weeks since March

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite slumped Friday for a fourth straight session, and notched their worst weeks since March, as traders seemed to book profits following the latest corporate earnings releases and U.S. jobs data.

Dow……35065 -150.3 -0.43%
Nasdaq13909 -50.5 -0.36%
S&P 500.4478 -23.9 -0.83%

FTSE…..7564 +35.2 +0.47%
Dax……15952 +58.5 +0.37%
CAC……7315 +54.6 +0.75%

Nikkei…32193 +33.5 +0.10%
HSI…….19539 +118.6 +0.61%
Shanghai.3288 +7.6 +0.23%

IDX…..6852.84 -45.24 -0.66%
LQ45….958.97 -8.06 -0.83%
IDX30…498.29 -4.43 -0.88%

IDXEnergy…1921.42 +8.72 +0.46%
IDX BscMat.1100.89 -4.36 -0.39%
IDX Indstrl…1208.13 +4.82 +0.40%
IDXNONCYC.747.34 -0.93 -0.12%
IDX Hlthcare1502.23 -15.19 -1.00%
IDXCYCLIC….914.34 +2.73 +0.30%
IDX Techno.4567.96 -88.77 -1.91%
IDX Transp..1880.11 +9.06 +0.48%
IDX Infrast… .846.81 -0.33 -0.04%
IDX Finance.1420.8 -9.13 -0.64%
IDX Banking.1208.36 -10.11 -0.83%
IDX Property..763 +7.40 +0.98%

Indo10Yr.6.3830+0.0146 +0.24%
ICBI….368.8396 -0.2931 -0.08%
US2Yr.4.7680 -0.023 -0.47%
US5Yr 4.1390 -0.026 -0.63%
US10Yr4.0420 -0.020 -0.50%
US30Yr.4.2030 -0.012 -0.29%
VIX…….17.10 +1.18 +7.41%‼️

USDIndx 102.0170 -0.53 -0.51%
Como Indx…279.46 +0.98 +0.35%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….145.85 -0.61 -0.41%

IndoCDS.78.72 -1.96 -2.43%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (25/07)

IDR…..15170.50‼️ -16.00 -0.11%
Jisdor.15198.00 ‼️-30.00 -0.20%

Euro……1.1006 +0.0100 +0.52%

TLKM…24.06 -0.15 -0.62%
(3657)
EIDO….23.07 -0.14 -0.60%
EEM…..40.54 -0.05 -0.12%

Oil…..82.82 +1.27 +1.56%
Gold…1976.10 +7.30 +0.37%
Timah..27700.00 -323.00 -1.15%
(Closed 04/08)
Nickel..21328.50 -278.50 -1.29%
(Closed 26/07)
Silver…. 23.72 +0.02 +0.08%
Copper.386.75 -3.20 -0.82%

Iron Ore 62% 105.18 +0.92 +0.88%
(04/08)
Nturl Gas.2.5790 +0.0140 +0.55%
Ammonia China..3483.33 -50.00 -1.42%
(Domestic Price)(26/07)

Coal price..137.00 +0.15 +0.11%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.50 -1.00 -0.71%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.00 unch +0%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.150.00 -0.55 -0.37%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price108.25 -0.25 +0.23%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.50 -1.45 -1.31%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.70 -1.20 -1.06%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.60 -1.20 -1.05%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3865 +41 +1.07%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………497.25 +3.75 +0.76%
SoybeanOil 61.52 +1.48 +2.46%
Wheat……633.00 +6.00 .+0.96%

Wood pulp..4520.00 unch +0%
(Closed 25/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing jum’at merah, europe ijo, asia ijo kecuali IDX yang sebelumnya ijo sendirian. lumayan dalem, bisa diharapkan rebound tipis tudei

USD index merah, gold silver langsung ijo, iron ore juga ijo, timah nikel copper tapi merah. oil gas coal ijo CPO ijo. menarik ini buat saham2 basic materials dan energy

IHSG – technical indicators masih jelek, masih FNS juga, tapi dari itungan fibonacci udah cukup koreksinya, dan biasanya kalo run pendek koreksinya ga ABC correction. Bisa diharapkan sideways dulu tapi ga lanjut ke bawah, semoga malah pelan2 langsung naik. Tapi tetep, namanya technical masih jelek, hati2 pegang saham, yang ragu2 jual dulu, pegang cash, tunggu momentum lagi

Basic Materials, Industrials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBNI BBTN BUKA EMTK SMGR TBIG AVIA BELI BSDE ELSA JSMR LPPF MIKA MMIX MTMH

Yang big accum BBNI BSDE ELSA

MACD Buy Signal: BBNI AVIA RDTX

Alligator buy signal: ASII PTRO

BSDE – stoch buy, macd up rev, MFI sw, w% uptrend, BD acc, FF dist, udah wave 5, udah ketemu reg bear div, ga berani entry…

ELSA – stoch buy, macd buy, BD acc, FF masih dist, hari ini breakout resistance 400, kalo close diatas 400 firm. MFI up, w% uptrend, kalo bukan karena breakout ga berani masuk sih, oscillators buy nya ga dari oversold, kita check spike

Spike kecil kemaren, nerusin big spike sebelumnya, tapi target done, hmm… Tapi nevertheless, breakout resistance with volume sih, bisa BOB, tapi setengah aja, ada resiko ngebalik

SMGR – BD FF rev dist, reg bear div, skip…

TBIG – stoch buy, macd buy, MFI up rev ada reg bull, w%up, BD FF sempet rev acc tapi kemaren dist lagi, reg bull confirmed by 2 bull candle, MA 10 and MACD buy signal. Sektor lagi jalan, bisa spec buy, tambah pas confirmed rev acc. check spike

AVIA – stoch buy macd buy, MFI up, w% up, BD FF rev acc, ada spike kecil, dari drop mantul udah bikin higher low, kemaren high di fibo 50, sekarang dibawah 23, bisa jadi waktunya jalan ke 61. Tapi ini saham belum terlalu lama IPO, tapi market leader dan sehat, walau kemahalan, PER udah 27 dan PBV 3.9. Yang jelas ga ok invest disini, trading masih ok relatively, tapi saya mah skip ah

JSMR – stoch buy, macd down, BD FF rev dist, itungan kemungkinan abis wave 5 ketemu reg bear terus downtrend, skip dulu ah

MIKA – stoch buy macd sell, MFI down w% down, BD rev dist, FF masih acc, CNH breakout gagal, lagi test neckline, skip dulu

MMIX – belum lama IPO terus digoreng, lanjut dibanting, belum rebound, skip… Ngapain yang beginian masuk Kompas 100 ya

RDTX – ini juga gorengan ngapain masuk Kompas 100, ampun deh… SKIP

ASII – lagi wave 5, , stoch up, macd up, MFI up, w% uptrend, ada gap tapi, dan ada MACD reg bear walau belum jalan dan belum confirmed, tapi belum cancelled juga. FF masih acc, BD dist tipis, agak khawatir sih, inside dan start dist. WNS dulu, kalo udah tutup gap kita analisa lagi

PTRO – menarik, tapi belum waktunya…