Daily Analysis 20230725

July 25th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow rises nearly 200 points, extends rally to 11 days for longest winning streak in six years

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose Monday, notching its longest winning streak since February 2017, to kick off a busy week of key earnings reports and a major policy decision from the Federal Reserve.

Dow……35411 +183.6 +0.52%
Nasdaq14059 +26.1 +0.40%
S&P 500.4555 +18.3 +0.40%

FTSE…..7679 +14.9 +0.19%
Dax……16191 +13.7 +0.08%
CAC……7427 -5.5 -0.07%

Nikkei…32701 +396.7 +1.23%
*HSI…….18668 -407.1 -2.13%*
Shanghai.3164 -3.6 -0.11%

IDX…..6899.40 +18.59 +0.27%
LQ45….962.43 -0.95 -0.10%
IDX30…500.22 -0.40 -0.08%

IDXEnergy…1950.09 +35.04 +1.83%
IDX BscMat.1059.83 +7.97 +0.76%
IDX Indstrl…1201.83 +12.90 +1.09%
IDXNONCYC.760.07 -1.82 -0.24%
IDX Hlthcare1561.60 +7.92 +0.51%
IDXCYCLIC….927.69 +0.51 +0.05%
IDX Techno.4787.64 -24.96 -0.52%
IDX Transp..1925.42 -7.45 -0.39%
IDX Infrast… .854.52 -2.11 -0.25%
IDX Finance.1430.26 -3.27 -0.23%
IDX Banking.1201.45 -5.70 -0.47%
IDX Property..762 -5.70 -0.75%

*Indo10Yr.6.3243* +0.0016 +0.03%
*ICBI….369.1439* +0.0374 +0.01%
*US2Yr.4.9250* +0.079 +1.63%
*US5Yr 4.1570* +0.062 +1.51%
*US10Yr3.8750* +0.038 +0.99%
*US30Yr.3.9330*+0.033 +0.85%
*VIX…….13.91 +0.31 +2.28%*

*USDIndx 101.3460‼️* +0.2750 +0.27%
Como Indx…280.13 +3.65 +1.32%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…….144.94 +1.78 +1.24%

*IndoCDS.83.20 +0.50 +0.60%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(21/07)*

*IDR…..15026.50‼️ -0.50 -0.00%*
*Jisdor.15028.00‼️ +2.00. +0.01%*

*Euro……1.1063 -0.0061 -0.55%*

TLKM…25.86 +0.21 +0.82%
*(3886)*
EIDO….23.65 +0.12 +0.51%
EEM…..40.87 +0.55 +1.36%

*Oil…..78.85 +1.78 +2.31%*
*Gold…1995.00* -10.30 -0.51%
Timah..28494.00 – -%
*(Closed 21/07)*
*Nickel..21460.50 +631.00 +3.03%‼️*
(Closed 24/07)
Silver…. 24.50 -0.36 -1.45%
Copper.385.55. +2.75 +0.72%

Iron Ore 62% 112.47 – -%
(21/07)
Nturl Gas.2.708 -0.0390 -1.42%
Ammonia China..2833.33 +16.66 +0.59%
(Domestic Price)(21/07)

Coal price..133.10 +0.10 +0.08%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.10 +1.35 +0.95%
(Agt/Newcastle)
*Coal price.145.95 +2.90 +2.03%*
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.148.20 +0.50 +0.34%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price111.05 +0.55 +0.50%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price.115.50 +1.75 +1.54%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price.116.55 +2.55 +2.24%*
(Sept/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.118.05 +3.80 +3.33%‼️*
(Oct/Rotterdam)

*CPO(Okt)..4168 +129 +3.09%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

*Corn….568.25 +32.00 +5.97%‼️‼️*
*SoybeanOil 64.74 +1.94 +3.09%‼️*
*Wheat…757.50 +60.00 +8.60%‼️‼️*

*Wood pulp..4380.00* unch +0%
(Closed 24/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US Europe mostly ijo, asia varied, hangseng drop gede, semoga idx ga terpengaruh

USD index naik lagi, consequently gold silver turun, tapi copper nickel up, oil lanjut naik, gas merah, coal up, CPO up. Masih kurang asik buat ANTM MDKA. masih giliran MEDC ELSA sama ADRO PTBA ITMG HRUM

IHSG – FNB lagi, BD acc, stoch rev up, MACD up, 833 buy, w% up, MFI up, harusnya lanjut lah ya

Healthcare Property Energy. Technology melemah lagi, basic materials juga

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO ITMG TLKM UNTR ABMM DSNG HMSP MLPL MYOR. TLKM UNTR MYOR Big Accum

MACD Buy Signal: BBNI TBIG TPIA ERAA PNBN

BBNI TBIG Big Accum

Alligator Buy Signal: WIKA EKAD

Supertrend Buy Signal: MEDC PGAS UNTR

ADRO – stoch buy, MACD up, MFI up, w% uptrend, tapi jeleknya BD FF masih distribusi. Price Pattern nya sih harusnya firm breakout CNH, target price min 2690

Masih firm ada spike beli, belum ada spike jual. Yang mau entry bisa, yang punya hold

Coal price udah bottoming terus MACD nya buy dan mulai jalan. Normally menuju akhir tahun coal price naik terus, menyusul winter di bumi belahan utara

TLKM – stoch buy, MACD rev p, MFIup, w% up, BD FF rev acc, regbull div confirmed by 2 bull candle. Bisa spec buy, full load kalo udah bikin higher low

Terakhir masih spike jual, jangan full load dulu

UNTR – stoch buy, MACD up, MFI up, w% uptrend, breakour resitance, supertrend buy, ada gap gede belum ketutup, HOLD. Yang belum punya kurang bijak dikejar lagi lari begini, mending tunggu pullback kalo kejedot di fibo 38

MYOR – stoch buy, macd down, mfi sw, w% sw, bd rev acc, ff masih dist tipis. Target koreksi wave 4 belum kena, support kuat di 2270. Sabar dulu aja

BBNI – stoch up, macd buy, mfi sw, w% up, bd ff rev acc, vol aga tipis, tapi buat spec buy bisa sih, yang ok buy bank konven. Major nya masih wave 5

Terakhir spike malah spike jual, skip dulu deh

TBIG – infrastructure belum jalan sih, lagi ngantri keliatannya. Stoch up, MACD buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, udha bikin higher low, BD big acc, FF rev acc, future CNH, bisa buy

Hmm, spike nya spike jual, jangan full load dulu deh

TPIA – stoch up, macd nya rev buy lagi, mfi sw, w% sw, forming dobot, belum firm, tapi cukup buat jadi tenang pegang BRPT…

Ada spike kecil, kurang meyakinkan

ERAA – stoch buy, MACD buy, MFI sw,w% sw, BD bolakbalik, sasih suka dist, FF rev acc, terakhir buy signal lari terus koreksi lagi, semoga sekarang beneran lanjut breakout, BOW ERAA

Spike ada walau ga terlalu tinggi

WIKA – stoch sell, MACD sempet mau buy tapi failed, MFI sw, w% down, BD FF masih dist, consider cutloss yang udah megang. Yang masih ngincer tunggu MACD, Sekarang udah bikin higher low sih, harusnya mau lanjut

hmm, kemaren spike terus hari ini merah, rada jelek ini