Daily Analysis 20230718

July 18th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow rises for sixth straight day, closes at highest level in 2023

Stocks were higher Monday as Wall Street braced for quarterly reports from some of the biggest companies in the world.

Dow……34585 +76.3 +0.22%
Nasdaq14245 +131.3 +0.93%
S&P 500.4523 +17.4 +0.10%

FTSE…..7406 -28.2 -0.38%
Dax……16069 -36.4 -0.23%
CAC……7292 -82.9 -1.12%

Nikkei…32391 closed +0%
HSI…….19414 closed +0%
Shanghai.3210 -28.1 -0.87%

IDX…..6867.14 -2.43 -0.04%
LQ45….964.36 +0.28 +0.03%
IDX30…500.81 -0.01 -0.42%

IDXEnergy…1880.00 +16.11 +0.86%
IDX BscMat.1040.95 -3.61 -0.35%
IDX Indstrl…1196.34 -0.40 -0.03%
IDXNONCYC.757.36 -4.87 -0.64%
IDX Hlthcare1553.26-12.94 -0.83%
IDXCYCLIC….922.90 +5.82 +0.64%
IDX Techno.4962.22 +16.63 +0.34%
IDX Transp..1924.14 -3.74 -0.39%
IDX Infrast… .853.71 -3.38 -0.87%
IDX Finance.1433.14 +0.84 +0.06%
IDX Banking.1198.56 +2.56 +0.21%
IDX Property..760 – -%

*Indo10Yr.6.3174* +0.0103 +0.16%
*ICBI….368.9041* -0.2092. -0.06%
*US2Yr.4.7420* -0.026 -0.55%
*US5Yr 4.0170* -0.028 -0.64%
*US10Yr3.8090* -0.509 -1.32%
*US30Yr.3.9260* unch +0%
*VIX…….13.48 +0.14 +1.05%*

*USDIndx 99.8420👍* -0.0720 -0.07%
Como Indx…267.90 -2.89 -1.07%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…….144.84 -2.55 -1.73%

*IndoCDS.80.72👍 – -1%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(14/07)*
*IDR…..15013.00 +54.50 +0.36%*
*Jisdor.15007.00 +62.00 +0.41%*

*Euro……1.1240* +0.0012 +0.11%

TLKM…25.88 -0.29 -1.11%
*(3883)*
EIDO….23.68 +0.07 +0.30%
EEM…..41.06 +0.05 +0.12%

*Oil…..74.09 -1.33 -1.76%*
*Gold…1958.70* -5.70 -0.29%
*Timah..28543.00* – -%
*(Closed 14/07)*
*Nickel..20923.50 -705.50 -3.26%*
(Closed 17/07)
Silver…. 25.05 -0.14 -0.55%
*Copper.383.80 -9.50 -2.42%*

*Iron Ore 62% 112.38 – -%*
(14/07)
Nturl Gas.2.532 -0.016 -0.63%
Ammonia China..2866.67 unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(17/07)

Coal price.131.10 -0.55 -0.42%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.134.00 +1.25 +0.94%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.05 +1.35 +1.01%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.00 unch +0%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price104.00 -0.15 -0.14%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..96.00 +1.50 +1.59%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…95.25 +0.85 +0.90%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..95.05 +0.30 +0.32%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)..3895 +38 +0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn….506.00 -7.75 -1.51%
SoybeanOil 60.34 -0.42 -0.69%
Wheat…653.75 -7.75 -1.17%

*Wood pulp..4390.00* unch +0%
(Closed 17/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

DJI lanjut ijo, Europe asia pada merah. Kemaren IDX udah merah walau tipis jadi harusnya hari ini ijo lagi

USD index turun tipis, semua commodity merah kecuali CPO, semoga saham terkait commodity cuma sideways

IHSG – stoch up, MACD up, MFI up, w% down, BD FF masih acc, done target IHNS, bikin candle shooting star, ini sign reversal euy, kemaren high deket fibo 50 dan close deket fibo38, semoga sih bisa lanjut bukan terus dibawa ke fibo 23 lagi.

Sekilas liat BBCA BBRI BMRI BBNI sih rada optimis lanjut, jarang BBCA gerak sampe MACD buy terus mendadak ngebalik lagi

Big Banks penggerak Utama index,kalo mereka gerak harusnya index juga jalan. Apalagi GOTO juga kemaren MACD buy, biasanya abis itu digoreng

Kalo dari sini yang paling menarik buat kita riding yang Healthcare, Property sama Technology, tapi hati2 saham technology suka ugal-ugalan supirnya. Basic Materials, Energy sama Consumer Cyclicals masih leading, pantau ketat tapi terutama yang udah pada jalan, jaga2 udah cape dan mau balik turun

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBTN ICBP UNVR ABMM LMSH, ICBP sama UNVR big accum dan NFB

MACD Buy Signal: BBRI BBTN GOTO ADHI, BBRI GOTO ADHI Big Accum

Alligator Buy Signal: AMRT BRPT TINS. AMRT BRPT ada spike kemaren

BBTN – stoch buy, MACD buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, BD acc tipis, FF big acc, CNH / ascending triangle breakout, Infobank15 nya juga buy signal stoch dan MACD, almost perfect ini buat yang ok buy bank konven. BOW di 1 tick diatas neckline

Spike nya kurang extreme, tapi firm bukan spike jual

ICBP – stoch rev buy, MACD up, BD FF acc, MFI up, w% down, udah deket target wave 3 dan udah ada reg bear div, itungan indicator bagus, BD FF bagus tapi ada kemungkinan mau koreksi dulu kalua ngitung target wave 3 nya dianggap sudah cukup

Ada spike tapi target done, tunggu koreksi wave 4 deh

GOTO – stoch up, MACD buy, mau masuk cloud ichimoku, MFI up, w% uptrend, pas di vol profile, BD big acc, FF rev dist but inside, berani spec buy sih, historically MACD selalu goal di GOTO, asal ga telat sell

Belum ada spike lagi, dan spike terakhir mah spike jual, jangan terlalu ngarep hajatan tinggi ya

ADHI – Stoch up, MACDbuy, MFI up, w% masihuptrend, BD FF big acc, breakout IHNS, dari terjun udah bikin higher low pas bikin right shoulder, almost perfect sih. Bisa buy BOW di neckline, ngejar juga gpp sih, yang belum punya WIKA bisa masuk disini, yang udah punya WIKA kalo mau beli ya jangan banyak2, satu sector soalnya

Spike nya udah lama, dan kalo dari itu aja target udah done. Gpp tapi tetep prospek, hanya jangan ngarep terlalu tinggi geraknya. target IHSN udah paling ideal

AMRT PBV 9.6 PER 38, skip lah… Cuma diangkat dipake buat dijual sahamnya sama GOTO biar ada profit di LK, ga beres…

BRPT – stoch up, MACD up, MFI up, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, ascending triangle testing breakout, belum dapet volume. masih ok banget, HOLD. Yang mau entry bisa BOW atau nunggu breakout triangle juga bisa

Spike nya ok banget, harusnya tinggal hajatan ini

TINS – persis banget sama theory, breakout double bottom, testing support di neckline sekarang, waktunya buy, kalo breakdown cutloss, target 1110. stoch up MACD up,MFI up, BD FF dist kemaren, w%masih uptrend. yang belum punya mineral2 an bisa BOW, yang udah pegang ANTM INCO ya slow aja