Daily Analysis 20230707

July 07th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 300 points lower as hot jobs data raises fears of Fed rate hikes

Stocks slid on Thursday after better-than-expected jobs data increased investors’ anxiety around the state of the economy and path of interest rates.

Dow……33922  -366.4   -1.07%
Nasdaq13679  -112.6   -0.82%
S&P 500.4412  -35.2     -0.79%

*FTSE…..7281   -161.6     -2.17%*
*Dax……15529  -409.04   -2.57%*
*CAC……7082   -228.5      -3.13%*

Nikkei…32773 -565.7     -1.70%
*HSI…….18533 -577.3     -3.02%”‼️*
Shanghai.3206 -17.4      -0.54%

IDX…..6757.33  +38.35  +0.57%
LQ45….956.40  +2.95    +0.31%
IDX30…497.11  +1.61    +0.32%

IDXEnergy…1836.94  +35.66 +1.98%
IDX BscMat.1020.99  +9.66   +0.96%
IDX Indstrl…1192.38  +11.71 +0.99%
IDXNONCYC.754.59  +0.19   +0.03%
IDX Hlthcare1480.51 -2.80    -0.19%
*IDXCYCLIC….912.79  +19.42 +2.17%*
IDX Techno.4774.82  +26.04 +0.55%
IDX Transp..1948.89  +5.13.  +0.26%
IDX Infrast… .863.76  +0.59   +0.07%
IDX Finance.1422.70 +0.48   +0.03%
IDX Banking.1189.27  -0.74   -0.06%
IDX Property..736       +5.30   +0.73%

*Indo10Yr.6.3021 +0.0112 +0.18%*
*ICBI….368.3600 -0.2405 -0.07%*
*US2Yr.4.9890*  +0.042   +0.85%
*US5Yr 4.3500  +0.101   +2.35%*
*US10Yr4.0330 +0.094   +2.39%*
*US30Yr.3.9960* +0.050  +1.27%
*VIX…….15.44   +1.26    +8.89%‼️*

*USDIndx103.1660* -0.2070  -0.20%
Como Indx…261.92   -0.89      -0.34%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……140.76    -0.74      -0.52%

*IndoCDS.85.19👍  -0.97   -1.13%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(05/07)*
*IDR…..15056.50‼️+38.50 +0.26%*
*Jisdor.15062.00‼️+49.00 +0.33%*

*Euro……1.0890* +0.0036  +0.33%

TLKM…26.26   -0.15    -0.57%
*(3955)*
EIDO….22.82   -0.27    -1.17%
*EEM…38.95   -0.81    -2.04%*

Oil…….71.82       -0.06    -0.08%
Gold…1916.30   -7.40    -0.38%
Timah..27633.00  +313.00   +1.15%
*(Closed 05/07)*
Nickel..21198.50   -24.00      -0.11%
(Closed 06/07)
Silver….. 22.91   -0.34     -1.46%
Copper..374.20  -1.90     -0.51%

*Iron Ore 62%  111.84 +0.97  +0.87%*
(05/07)
Nturl Gas.2.636  -0.019  -0.72%

*Coal price.139.65  -5.15  -3.56%‼️*
(Jul/Newcastle)
*Coal price.143.75  -7.25   -5.04%‼️*
(Agt/Newcastle)
*Coal price.147.40  -7.20   -4.66%‼️*
(Sept/Newcastle)
*Coal price.149.45 -6.45   -4.14%‼️*
(Oct/Newcastle)

*Coal price117.25   -6.35  -5.14%‼️*
(Jul/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.114.90  -7.25  -5.94%‼️*
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price.114.90 -6.20  -5.12%‼️*
(Sept/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.115.30 -5.80 -4.79%‼️*
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3911  +49  +1.27%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

*Corn….506.50       +13.00  +2.53%*
*SoybeanOil 59.24 -2.16     -3.52%‼️*
*Wheat…668.00     -16.25   -2.41%*

*Wood pulp..4290.00* +40  +0.94%
(Closed 06/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Kemaren IHSG berhasil melawan gravitasi, ijo sendiri, sekarang kayanya ga akan kuat sih… Rata2 pada dalem merahnya

Hampir semua komoditas turun,kecuali Timah, Iron Ore dan CPO. Trailing stop guys, hari hari bantingan hari ini

IHSG – bikin minor IHNS, chart pattern besarnya bikin triple bottom lanjut higher low, sudah harusnya tinggal mantul. Stoch buy MACD up,MFI up w% uptrend, FNB terus, tinggal rally nya

Basic Materials, Consumer Cyclicals, Energy, Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM BRPT BUKA ESSA GOTO INCO MEDC SMGR TBIG TINS AGII BABP BFIN DOID ENRG LPPF LTLS SGRO

Yang sambil big accum dan ada faktor lain: BRPT ESSA SMGR

MACD Buy Signal: EXCL AGII BABP BMTR ENRG AMFG

Allgator Buy Signal: BBNI BMTR

Supertrend Buy Signal: SMGR ITMG AGII

BRPT – stoch buy, MACD up, 833 OB, MFIup, w%up,BD FF acc terus, abis drop, ketemu regbul div, mantul, udah bikin higher low, ada freq spike, almost perfect sih… Bisa buy

Spike firm spike beli… Target lumayan

ESSA – abis drop ketemu regbuldiv mantul, bikin higher low, CNH breakout, stoch buy macd up, MFI sw, w%uptrend, api BD FF belum firm, abis naik malah jualan, kayanya dibawa pullback dulu sebelum jalan lagi. 833 juga OB, mungkin pas kalo pullback terus entry di 833 buy berikutnya. Bisa buy di neckline

Spike nya sih menarik… abis spike jual udah beberapa kali spike di fase sideways. Kalo porto kosong boleh juga ni diambil sekarang, buang kalo breakdown neckline. Karena portoku penuh, kayanya lebih milih BRPT

SMGR – gini deh jeleknya ga langganan alert, pas 833 nya buy ga sadar, sekarang masih ok buat buy tapi udah keburu gerak agak jauh, stoch buy macd up,MFI sw, w% uptrend BD FF acc, dari price action udah mulai jalan,breakout resistance, tapi emang lagi ketemu reg bear div, kalo mau buy pas breakdown support buang dulu, berarti reg bear nya jalan

Spike nya cakep banget, harga sekarang setengah dari harga 2022, PBV dibawah 1, layak beli

EXCL – stoch up, MACDbuy, MFI up, w%up, BD ACC, FF dist, tar kita check spike, price action belum firm breakout, lagi test fibo 23. WNS

Hmm, ada spike tapi lagi turun, belum tentu spike beli

AGII – stoch up macd buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, hampir semua ok, BD FF juga acc tipis, tapi dari price action belum breakout.BD FF sudah inside sih, siap meledak harusnya

Sempet 2 kalo spike jual, tapi yang 2 terakhir kayanya firm sih

Supertrend juga buy, berarti breakout ATR, bisa buy, tapi setengah botol aja