Daily Analysis 20230706

July 06th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow slips 100 points to snap 3-day win streak as investors consider Fed’s latest comments

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
slid on Wednesday as Wall Street resumed a holiday-shortened week and digested the latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes for insights into the state of monetary policy.

Dow……34289 -129.8 -0.38%
Nasdaq13792 -25.1 -0.18%
S&P 500.4447 -8.8 -0.20%

FTSE…..7442 -77.6 -1.03%
Dax……15938 -101.6 -0.63%
CAC……7311 -59.1 -0.80%

Nikkei…..33339 -83.8 -0.25%
HSI………19110 -305.3 -1.57%
Shanghai.3223 -22.4 -0.69%

IDX…..6718.98 +37.22 +0.56%
LQ45….953.44 +4.71 +0.50%
IDX30…495.50 +2.54 +0.51%

IDXEnergy…1801.29 +26.50 +1.49%
IDX BscMat.1011.34 +15.97+1.60%
IDX Indstrl…1180.67 +7.99 +0.68%
IDXNONCYC.754.39 +1.75 +0.23%
IDX Hlthcare1483.31 +5.82 +0.39%
IDXCYCLIC….893.37 +7.71 +0.87%
IDX Techno.4748.78 +16.41 +0.35%
IDX Transp..1943.76 +21.56 +1.12%
IDX Infrast… .863.17 +8.68 +1.02%
IDX Finance.1422.23 +1.54 +0.11%
IDX Banking.1190.01 +1.23 +0.10%
IDX Property..730 +6.50 +0.90%

Indo10Yr.6.2909👍 -0.0144 -0.23%
ICBI….368.6006👍 +0.1834 +0.05%
US2Yr.4.9470 +0.007 +0.14%
US5Yr 4.2490 +0.058 +1.38%
US10Yr3.9390 +0.085 +2.21%
US30Yr.3.9460 +0.089 +2.31%
VIX…….14.18 +0.48 +3.50%

USDIndx103.3730 +0.3340 +0.32%
Como Indx…262.80 +1.91 +0.73%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……141.50 -0.17 -0.12%

IndoCDS.85.19👍 -0.97 -1.13%
(5-yr INOCD5) (04/07)
IDR…..15017.50‼️+23.00 +0.15%
Jisdor.15013.00‼️-5.00 -0.03%

Euro……1.0854 -0.0025 -0.23%

TLKM…26.41 -0.01 -0.04%
(3965)
EIDO….23.09 -0.03 -0.13%
EEM…..39.76 -0.24 -0.60%

Oil…….71.88 +0.88 +1.24%
Gold…1923.70 -9.40 -0.49%
Timah..27320.00 -57.00 -0.21%
(Closed 04/07)
Nickel..21222.50 +683.0#0 +3.33%‼️
(Closed 05/07)
Silver….. 23.35 +0.18 +0.78%
Copper..376.10 -2.25 -0.59%

Iron Ore 62% 110.87 – -%
(03/07)
Nturl Gas.2.655 -0.087 -3.17%

Coal price.144.80 +1.65 +1.15%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.151.00 -0.25 -0.17%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.154.60 -0.45 -0.29%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.155.90 -1.65 -1.05%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price123.60 +0.30 +0.24%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.15 +1.25 +1.03%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.10 +1.45 +1.21%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.10 +1.65 +1.38%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3862 -22 -0.57%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..493.50 unch +0%
SoybeanOil 61.40 +1.21 +2.01%
Wheat…674.25 +32.50 +5.06%‼️

Wood pulp..4250.00 +20 +0.47%
(Closed 05/07)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

 

US europe asia merah, IHSG aja ijo sendiri, hihihi…. Alamat hari ini merah dulu

USD index up, Gold Copper down, Silver up, tin merah, nickel jump. Perlu liat INCO kita. Oil Coal up, Gas down, CPO down, bagus buat ngejar koreksi LSIP. ELSA MEDC ADRO INDY HRUM dkk lanjut harusnya

IHSG – udah FNB terus, good sign. stoch buy, MACD up,MFI sw, w% up, nyaris double bottom terus mantul, udah bikin higher low, udah diatas EMA20, semoga lanjut rally

Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals

 

Kalo index lagi ijo emang banyak banget nongol buy signal. Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO CPIN INDY SIDO UNTR AGRO BMTR ERAA HEAL HMSP LSIP MLPL MNCN SMRA AMFG

Kita perhatiin yang beneran Big Akum sama yang freq spike nya fresh, dan multiple factors: UNTR ERAA JSMR  LSIP MNCN

MACD Buy Signal: TLKM JSMR MLPL PTPP RMKE IGAR

Alligator Buy Signal: BMRI ELSA INCI

Supertrend Buy Signal: ADRO MDKA

UNTR – stoch buy, macd up, MFI ssw, w% uptrend, BD FF rev acc, ada gap diatas, udah 2 kalo minor swing high alias udah 2 kali bikin minor higher low, real big accum juga 38%, yang punya hold, yang belum bisa entry, harga masih dibawah, ga kaya kebanyakan yang stoch nya udah overbought

Ada spike tapi minor banget, emang big caps jarang yang extreme spike nya sih. Itu terakhir spike pas buangan ARB, spike jual

ERAA – menarik, tapi BD FF masih dist, wait MACD kita assess lagi

JSMR – keliatan lagi wave 5, konfirmasi kalo berhasil tembus high wave 3, Stoch buy macd buy, MFI agak down, BD FF acc, w% uptrend, udah kena reg bear ini, secara konsep bisa BOB, karena once breakout high wave 3 target wave 5 nya ke atas 4400. Tapi kalo porto penuh kaya saya sih saya prefer milih yang masih di bawah aja posisi harganya. Disclaimer On ya…

LSIP – stoch buy, MACD up rev, BD acc FF rev dist, MFI sw, w% down, ada spike, udah sempet breakout resistance, udah bikin higherlow, BOW

Spike ok, firm BOW

TLKM – stoch up, MACD buy, MFI sw, w% sw, BD FF sempet rev acc, tapi dist lagi, harusnya udah firm bikinndouble bottom dan siap mantul wave 5, ada reg bull div juga. Buy, stop loss kalo bikin lower low

Ada spike kecil, ok lah buat buy

ELSA – semua ok sih, tapi saya prefer MEDC yang belum banyak gerak…

ADRO – stoch up, MACDup, BD FF acc, MFI up, w% uptrend, idealnya masuk pas kemaren stoch buy, kalo yang punya hold, yang belum kayanya nunggu kejedot fibo 23 kalo pullback baru ambil