Daily Analysis 20230703

July 03rd, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 rises on Friday to close out big first half, Nasdaq posts best start to a year in 4 decades

Stocks rose Friday and technology names continued their staggering run to cap off a strong start to the year, and the best first half for the Nasdaq Composite since 1983.

Dow……34408 +285.2 +0.84%
Nasdaq13788 +196.6 +1.45%
S&P 500.4450 +53.9 +1.23%

FTSE…..7532 +59.8 +0.80%
Dax……16148 +201.2 +1.26%
CAC……7400 +87.3 +1.19%

Nikkei…..33189 -45.1 -0.14%
HSI………18916 -17.9 -0.09%
Shanghai.3202 +19.7 +0.62%

IDX…..6661.88 closed +0%
LQ45….946.70 closed +0%
IDX30…491.27 closed +0%

IDXEnergy…1737.97 closed +0%
IDX BscMat..993.02 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl…1162.07 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.742.41 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1481.62 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC….876.22 closed +0%
IDX Techno.4780.31 closed +0%
IDX Transp..1900.69 closed +0%
IDX Infrast… .850.50 closed +0%
IDX Finance.1417.70closed +0%
IDX Banking.1187.95closed +0%
IDX Property..727 closed +0%

*Indo10Yr.6.3449closed +0%*
*ICBI..367.1162 closed +0%*
*US2Yr.4.9040* +0.0270 +0.55%
*US5Yr 4.1570* +0.0240 +0.59%
*US10Yr3.8410* +0.0220 +0.57%
*US30Yr.3.8640*+0.0100 +0.26%
*VIX…….13.59 +0.05 +0.37%*

*USDIndx102.9120* -0.4300 -0.42%
Como Indx…261.99 +2.92 +1.13%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……141.35 +1.19 +0.85%

*IndoCDS.88.14 -0.99 -1.11%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(30/06)*
*IDR…..15065.50‼️ +72.50 +0.48%*
*Jisdor.15000.00‼️ closed +0%*

*Euro……1.0909* +0.0044 +0.41%

TLKM…26.67 +0.02 +0.08%
*(4000)*
EIDO….23.05 +0.11 +0.48%
EEM….39.56 +0.31 +0.79%

Oil…….70.64 +0.78 +1.12%
Gold…1929.40 +11.50 +0.60%
*Timah..26787.00 +689.00 +2.64%*
*(Closed 30/06)*
Nickel..20433.50 -200.50 -0.97%
(Closed 30/06)
Silver….. 23.02 +0.22 +0.97%
Copper..375.95 +6.05 +1.64%

*Iron Ore 62% 112.57* -0.05 -0.04%
(30/06)
*Nturl Gas.2.774 +0.073 +2.70%*

*Coal price.149.70 unch +2.32%*
(Jul/Newcastle)
*Coal price.149.70 +4.80 +3.17%‼️*
(Agt/Newcastle)
*Coal price.157.80 +1.90 +2.73%*
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.159.25 +1.20 +1.89%
(Okt/Newcastle)

*Coal price124.65 +4.15 +3.39%*
(Jul/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.122.05 +3.95 +3.34%*
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price.120.90 +4.05 +3.47%*
(Sept/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.119.90 +4.20 +3.63%*
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3783 +28 +0.75%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

*Corn…..494.75 -33.75 -6.39%‼️*
*SoybeanOil 58.97+4.00 +7.28%‼️*
*Wheat…651.00 -16.50 -2.47%*

*Wood pulp..4210.00* unch +0.23%
(Closed 25/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Closing Jum’at Europe US ijo, Asia ada merah tipis, harusnya hari ini ikutan ijo

USD index merah, semua komoditi ijo kecuali nikel. Coal naik rada tinggi. Cocok ini untuk jalan Basic Materials sama Energy

Dari sini masih Basic Materials, dan Financials mulai bangun

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBNI BRMS MIKA

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS MBSS. Infobank15 MACD buy juga, harusnya firm bank2 mau jalan

Alligator Buy Signal: MDKA TKIM

BBNI – stoh buy macd, macd buy, BD FF acc, MFI down, w% sw, lagi wave 5, tembus midline LR ke atas, sektor jalan, big accum, ok buat buy

Spike kecil kecil ga signifikan, tapi tetep ok buat buy

Bagi yang mau beli bank konven

BRMS – Stoch buy, macdup, BD FF acc, MFI up, w% sw, udah bikin higher low, pas candle merah vol turun, barang bandar ga dibuang, bisa buy juga ini

Spike ga terlalu tinggi tapi ok confirmed, bisa buy

MIKA – Stoch buy, macd almost buy, MFI sw, w% sw, BD acc tipis, FF masih dist, curve acc masih belum balik naik, udah bikin higher low, ada reg bull div VW MACD confirmed by 2 bull candle and MA 10, harusnya tetep bisa spec buy, tapi sektornya belum jalan lagi, wait MACD deh

Spike ada tapi ga significant, wait MACD re-assess

BRIS – stoch up, macd buy, MFI up,w% up, BD big acc, baru rev acc dan masih inside, FF masih dist, but inside, kejedot fibo 23 turun dulu, ini mau test lagi keliatannya. almost forming ascending triangle, bisa spec buy

Spike ga terlalu significant, spec buy half dulu aja sambil nunggu breakout fibo23 dan FF acc lagi

MBSS – stoch sell macd buy, BD acc tipis, inside, FF dist, MFI up, w% uptrend, udah tutupgap bawah pake tail panjang, udah kena fibo 61, udah sah buat jalan lagi. yang free bisa spec buy, sektor energi lagi melemah dulu setelah jalan, pantau ketat tapi

Spike ga significant, target spike sebelumnya done

MDKA – menarik banget, stoch up macd up, 833 sell, tapi BD FF dist, MFI sw, w%up, ada spike, bikin double bottom, ada gap diatas, ini nunggu gold MACD cross dan rev acc aja

Spike ok banget, 833 buy re-entry. Yang udah punya hold…

TKIM – stoch down, macd rev down, MFI down, w%down, BD FF dist, abis tutup gap terus merah. kalo MACD ngabalik sell buang dulu sih. Saya pribadi udah kena trailing stop di 6350. Besul considering re-entry nunggu rev acc atau 833 buy lagi

Dari spike sih masih firm lanjut harusnya, cuma pullback aja