Daily Analysis 20230517

*Good morning,*

Dow closes more than 300 points lower on discouraging Home Depot forecast, debt ceiling concerns

Stocks dipped Tuesday as investors digested a lackluster forecast from Home Depot. Wall Street also turned its attention to a meeting between congressional leaders and President Joe Biden on the U.S. debt ceiling.

Dow……33012 -336.5 -1.01%
Nasdaq12343 -22.2 -0.18%
S&P 500.4110 -26.4 -0.64%

FTSE…..7751 -26.6 -0.34%
Dax……15898 -19.3 -0.12%
CAC……7406 -12.2 -0.16%

Nikkei…..29843 +216.7 +0.73%
HSI………19978 +7.1 +0.04%
Shanghai.3291 -19.8 -0.60%

IDX…..6676.50 -35.18 -0.52%
LQ45….929.77 -5.23 -0.56%
IDX30…483.86 -2.43 -0.50%

IDXEnergy…1883.51 -22.73 -1.19%
IDX BscMat 1055.56 -17.12 -1.60%
IDX Indstrl…1169.33 -1.97 -0.17%
IDXNONCYC.742.69 -1.68 -0.23%⁶
IDX Hlthcare1496.97 +6.00. +0.40%
IDXCYCLIC…844.08 -8.01 -0.94%.
IDX Techno..4852.33 -64.33 -1.31%
*IDX Transp..1830.31 -39.61 -2.12%*
IDX Infrast…..820.86 +1.05 +0.19%
IDX Finance.1362.14 -10.19 -0.74%
IDX Banking.1132.17 -3.39 -0.30%
IDX Property…..722 -5.50 -0.76%

*Indo10Yr.6.5166👍-0.0268 -0.41%*
*ICBI….361.3133👍 +0.7217 +0.20%*
*US2Yr.4.0842* +0.0738 +1.84%
*US5Yr 3.5292* +0.0584 +1.70%
*US10Yr3.5410* +0.034 +0.96%
*US30Yr.3.8580* +0.0140 +0.36%
*VIX……17.99 +0.87 +5.08%*

*USDIndx102.5640 +0.130 +0.13%*
Como Indx.259.89 -1.76 -0.67%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…143.92 -2.13 -1.46%

*IndoCDS.97.51. -0.03 -0.03%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(15/05)*

*IDR…..14820.00 +15.50 +0.10%*
*Jisdor.14810.00 -2.00 -0.001%*

*Euro……1.0863 -0.0013 -0.12%*

TLKM..26.94 -0.20 -0.74%
*(3990)*
EIDO….23.51 -0.27 -1.14%
EEM…..39.98 -0.28 -0.71%

Oil……70.67 -0.76 -1.08%
*Gold…1993.30 -27.40 -1.36%*
Timah..24994.00 +158 +0.64%
*(Closed 15/05)*
*Nickel..21024.00 -813.50 -3.73%‼️*
(Closed 16/05)
Silver……23.91 -0.36 -1.48%
*Copper…366.05 -8.25 -2.20%*
*Iron Ore 62% 106.77 +1.61 +1.53%*
(15/05)
*Nturl Gas.2.366 +0.1840 +8.43%‼️*

Coal price.163.80 +0.05 +0.31%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.161.45 -1.05 -0.65%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.161.70 -2.65 -1.61%
(Jul/Newcastle)
*Coal price.163.05 -3.90 -2.33%*
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.117.50 -0.65 -0.55%
(May/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.101.25 -2.15 -2.08%*
(Jun/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price 103.40 -3.85 -3.59%‼️*
(Jul/Rotterdam)
*Coal price..99.60 -3.90 -3.77%‼️*
(Agt/Rotterdam)

*CPO(Agt)…3458 -83.00 -2.34%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..581.25 -11.25 -1.90%
*SoybeanOil47.45 -2.24 -4.51%‼️*
*Wheat….647.50 -13.25 -2.01%*

*Wood pulp..4040.00 -10 -0.25%*
(Closed 15/05)

*©️ ( DE ) – ( AT ) 17 – 05 – 2023*

*Source : Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia*

Waks lanjut merah US Europe, asia closing varied, Nikkei maih ijo tebel. IDX merah lagi, kelewatan sih, Semoga technical rebound mantul dari support hari ini

USD Index naik, US deposit rate naik, langsung commodities turun deh… oil lanjut turun, gas naik, coal spot naik future turun, gold silver copper nickel turun tin iron ore naik, cpo turun

IHSG – hampir tweezer bottom, kalo index susah persis lah ya, Semoga ga tembus terus mantul. Technically masih jelek, stoch udah oversold belum ngebalik, MACD still down, MFI down,w% downtrend, BD flat FF dist, belum ada sign reversal

RSI quadrant nya seolah masih ok, tapi big caps dihajar semua kecuali yang masih hajatan kaya GOTO. Highlight nya tapi di Financials sama Healthcare sih, yang terlihat start gerak, terutama kalo Financials gerak index pasti keangkat. Industrials kedorong BMTR, Semoga lanjut

Stochastic Buy Signal: TLKM DSNG HEAL

MACD Buy Signal: HMSP RAJA SGRO

Alligator Buy Signal: SMGR BTPS MTMH RAJA UNIC

Supertrend Buy Signal: ANJT

TLKM – setelah tercapai target CNH mya terus dibanting, masih dist terus, belum saatnya…

HEAL – menarik, stoch buy, macd buy, MFI sw, w% sw, BD rev acc, FF rev acc, last day FNS tapi, ketemu regbulldiv jalan, sekarang udah bikin higher low, mantul di mid LR, bisa spec buy harusnya, sektor juga jalan

Yang tinggi spike jual, abis itu ada spike lebih pendek yang belum pasti apa jual atau beli, tapi kalo dicocokin sama bandar movement, pas spike pas akum, so ini spike beli harusnya

Harga relative aman, dan bandar gede ga exit… Bisa spec buy

SMGR – sabar tunggu higher low

BTPS – lagi bikin higher low, stoch rev MACD almostbuy, MFI sw w% sw, BD rev acc, FF masih dist, sabar tunggu MACD sama FF rev acc, check spike

Ada spike tepi ga signifikan, WNS dulu