Daily Analysis 20230404

April 04th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes 300 points higher to begin April’s trading, S&P 500 notches fourth day of gains

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
added more than 300 points on Monday, as Wall Street shows resilience despite an oil output cut from OPEC+ that threatens to stoke inflation and recession fears.

Dow……33601 +327.0 +0.98%
Nasdaq12189 -32.5 -0.27%
S&P 500.4125 +15.2. +0.37%

FTSE…..7673 +41.3 +0.54%
Dax…..15581. -47.9 -0.31%
CAC……7346 +23.6 +0.32%

Nikkei…..28188 +146.7 +0.52%
HSI………20409 +9.1. +0.04%
Shanghai.3296 +23.5 +0.72%

IDX…..6827.17 +21.90 +0.32%
LQ45….943.07 +5.39 +0.57%
IDX30…491.28 +3.00 +0.61%

IDXEnergy…2108.29 +4.65 +0.22%
IDX BscMat 1181.75 -2.00 -0.17%
IDX Indstrl…1182.25 -3.32 -0.28%
IDXNONCYC.724.49 -7.15 -0.98%
IDX Hlthcare1536.07 -4.58 -0.30%
IDXCYCLIC…..824.72 +2.40 -0.40%
IDX Techno..5077.11 -23.62 -0.46%
IDX Transp..1784.53 -4.82. -0.27%
IDX Infrast…..812.58 +3.74 +0.46%
IDX Finance.1393.10 +7.27 +0.52%
IDX Banking.1145.11 +8.98 +0.79%
IDX Property…686 -0.9 -0.13%

Indo10Yr.6.7978 +0.0022 +0.03%
ICBI…..353.5184 +0.1977 +0.06%👍
US2Yr.3.9696 -0.0680 -1.68%
US5Yr 3.5079 -0.0757 -2.11%
US10Yr 3.4150 -0.0580 -1.67%
US30Yr.3.6330 +0.1600 +4.61%👍
VIX…… 18.55 -0.15 -0.88%

USDIndx102.1660 -0.4899 -0.47%
Como Indx.271.34 +3.61 +1.35%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…158.29 -1.69 -1.06%

IndoCDS..95.060 -3.950 -3.99%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/31)

IDR…..14971.50 -24.50 -0.16%👍
Jisdor.14990.00 +13.00 +0.09%👍

Euro……1.0902 +0.0063 +0.58%

TLKM….27.50 +0.23 +0.84%
(4122)
EIDO……23.75 +0.22 +0.94%
EEM……39.54 +0.08 +0.20%

Oil……80.42 +4.75 +6.28%‼️
Gold.2000.40 +14.20 +0.71%
Timah 25835.00 -81.00 -0.31%
(Closed 03/31)
Nickel..23060.50 -684.00 -2.88%
(Closed 04/03)
Silver…..24.02 -0.13 -0.56%
Copper..404.55 -4.90 -1.20%

Nturl Gas.2.117 -0.049 -2.26%

Ammonia 3966.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/29)

Coal price.200.00 +7.00 +3.63%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.212.00 +12.50 +6.27%‼️
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.234.00 +28.30 +13.76%‼️
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.234.25 +26.10 +12.53%‼️
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price.149.00 +11.10 +8.05%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.146.25 +9.35 +6.75%‼️
(May/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 144.75 +11.50 +8.63%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 146.55 +13.85+10.43%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3885 +127 +3.38%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..657.75 -2.75 -0.42%
SoybeanOil.56.68 +1.19 +2.14%
Wheat…..693.50 +1.25 +0.8%

Wood pulp…5060.00 -20 -039%
(Closed 04/03)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI lanjut ijo, nasdaq merah dikit. Europe mostly ijo. Asia kemaren ijo semua, semoga hari ini lanjut rally

Oil Coal jump, gas down, gold rebound, metal2 lain lanjut merah. cpo jump

NCF naik tinggi hari kedua, dari hitungan ABC correction sudah done, oscillators says up, supertrend buy alligator sedikit lagi. seems okay

Oil juga price jump, saham minyak belum banyak gerak pas coal naik tinggi, mungkin sekarang gilirannya.

IHSG – masih terus FNB dan bd acc, walau 833 overbought dan sell signal, stoch up macd up mfi up, w% uptrend, masih belum tembus fibo 38, tapi optimis akan touch neckline double bottom

Energy, Financials, Basic Materials, Transportation, Consumer Cyclicals

AKRA leading, MEDC INDY udah jalan, yang baru mau gerak PGAS HRUM ELSA

Stochastic Buy Signal: LTLS

MACD Buy Signal: HRUM BMTR ELSA SMRA

Alligator Buy Signal (big acc sorted): TBIG BRMS

Supertrend Buy Signal: PTBA MEDC AALI MBSS

LTLS – belum sih, MACD down, 833 sell, MFI down, w% downtrend, skip dulu

BMTR – stoch up macd buy, 833 down, BD dist ff last day FNB, mfi down, w%up, belum sih, tunggu dulu bd acc dan 833 buy

ELSA – stoch up, macd buy, 833 sell, bd masih dist, FF sudah acc, MFI up, w% up, mantul dari area fibo 23, pas di modus vol profile, udah bikin higher low, oil price jump, berani buy

Freq spike ok banget

Broker average masih aman

SMRA – stoch up, macd buy, MFIsw, w%up, BD last day acc, masih FNS, udah close diatas ma10, udah bikin higher low tapi belum terlalu signifikan, property lagi ga jalan, WNS deh…

TBIG – stoch up macdup 833 sell, MFI up, w% sw, BD acc tipis, FF dist, regbull div confirmed by s bull candle and ma10 and macd, lagi kena hidbear, tunggu 833 buy and pada acc deh, infra belum jalan

BRMS – stoch up rev, macdup, 833 sell, MFI se, w%uptrend, BD FF acc, ret pattern 0-38-23 harusnya ke 61, masih ketahan di 23. Wait 833

MEDC – sebetulnya harusnya sudah pada pegang, buy pas macd buy signal, kalo sekarang agak sudah ketinggian untuk dikejar, walau profit nya tinggi banget di LK yang baru release, stoch up macd up, 833 sell, kemaren jump dan bikin almost doji, baru last day acc nya BD FF, dari ret pattern harusnya kejedot fibo 38 dia pull back dulu ke fibo 23, kalo kejadian, disitu area buy nya, sekalian tutup gap. WNS

PTBA – close diatas resistance, firm breakout, coal price jump, stoch up macd buy, MFI sw, w% uptrend, BD FF last day acc, IHNS belum firm breakout tapi most likely akan breakout, bisa spec buy in breakout, pantau ketat, breakdown neckline langsung buang

Ada freq spike walau tinggi spike nya sudah ketutup

Price avg broker 90 days dibawah harga spot, kalo average 200 day aman

Bisa buy tapi jangan terlalu aggressive

AALI – stoch up macd up, MFI up, w% uptrend, bd dist, last day FNB, masih dalam fase sideways, amannya tunggu breakout aja

MBSS – terlalu beresiko buat dikejar, skip