Daily Analysis 20230329

March 29th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close lower, Nasdaq drops a second day as higher yields press tech names

The Nasdaq Composite
fell Tuesday as an uptick in rates put pressure on the tech-heavy index.

Dow……32394 -37.8 -0.12%
Nasdaq11716 -52.7 -0.45%
S&P 500.3971 -6.3 -0.16%

FTSE…..7484 +12.5 +0.17%
Dax…..15142 +14.3 +0.09%
CAC……7088 +10.1 +0.14%

Nikkei…..27518 +41.4 +0.15%
HSI………19785 +216.96 +1.11%
Shanghai.3245 -6.02 -0.19%

IDX…..6760.33 +51.40 +0.77%
LQ45….935.31 +6.21 +0.67%
IDX30…486.79 +2.64 +0.55%

IDXEnergy…2064.48 +50.17 +2.49%
IDX BscMat 1170.49 +17.45 +1.51%
IDX Indstrl…1168.78 +12.27 +1.06%
IDXNONCYC..737.06 +8.25 +1.13%
IDX Hlthcare1541.10 +5.72 +0.37%
IDXCYCLIC…..817.83 +13.25 +1.65%
IDX Techno..5267.40 +226.15 +4.49%‼️
IDX Transp..1800.48 +12.57 +0.70%
IDX Infrast…..809.22 +4.44 +0.55%
IDX Finance.1370.24 -5.42 -0.39%
IDX Banking.1121.07 -12.13 -1.07%
IDX Property….689 +7.2 +1.05%

Indo10Yr.6.8022 -0.0107 -0.16%👍
ICBI…..352.9847 +0.0759+0.02%👍
US2Yr4.0078 +0.0726 +1.81%
US5Yr 3.6740 +0.0743 +2.06%
US10Yr3.5720 +0.0330 +0.93%
US30Yr.3.7770+0.0080 +0.21%
VIX…… 19.97 -0.63 -3.06%👍

USDIndx102.4300 -0.4270 -0.42%
Como Indx.263.49 +1.16 +0.44 %
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…159.98 +1.04 +0.65%

IndoCDS..112.820 +0.020 +0.02%
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/26)

IDR…..15085.00👍 -78.00 -0.51%
Jisdor.15088.00👍 -86.00 -0.57%

Euro……1.0841 +0.0043 +0.40%

TLKM….27.18 +0.21 +0.78%
(4100)
EIDO……23.20 +0.24 +1.05%
EEM……39.01 +0.55 +1.43%

Oil……73.71 +0.91 +1.25%
Gold.1992.80 +16.60 +0.84%
Timah 25421.00 +591.00 +2.38%
(Closed 03/27)
Nickel..24085.00 +302.50 +1.27%
(Closed 03/28)
Silver…..23.51 +0.29 +1.25%
Copper..407.65 -2.05 -0.50%

Nturl Gas.2.161 -0.068 -3.05%

Ammonia 3966.67 -50.00 -1.24%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/27)

Coal price.176.50 +0.25 +0.14%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.192.00 -3.00 +1.54%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.196.00 +1.00 +0.51%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price..200.05 +5.05 +2.59%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.137.80 +1.05 +0.77%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price.138.95 +6.20 +4.67%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 135.95 +6.50 +5.02%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 134.30 +6.60 +5.17%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3690 +113 +3.16%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..647.25 -1.00 -0.15%
SoybeanOil.55.05 +0.50 +0.92%
Wheat…..699.75 +1.75 +0.25%

Wood pulp…5270.00 -50 -0.94%
(Closed 03/27)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah tipis, Europe ijo tipis, asia kemaren pada ijo, sekarang kayanya IHSG koreksi dikit dulu

oil coal ijo, gas merah, metal2 ijo semua kecuali copper, get ready buy MDKA once cross MACD nya on market today, setengah pas cross, setengah pas firm akhir market

IHSG – stoch up, macd buy, BD FF acc, MFI Up, w% uptrend, supertrend buy, harusnya lanjut rally sih, paling minor2 correction doang, nanti kita tarik ulang elliot wave nya

Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property, Basic Materials, Financials, dan Transportation yang mengejutkan

Stochastic Buy Signal: EMTK GOTO HRUM PTBA TBIG ABMM BSSR LPPF WINS

MACD Buy Signal: BUKA INDY UNTR BSSR TOBA MBSS AMFG SGRO

Alligator Buy Signal: ASII KLBF MTMH

Supertrend Buy Signal: ANTM BUKA

Market rally ga usah lirik second liner lah, play safe aja

Termasuk yang supirnya suka ugal ugalan mending dihindari

PTBA – energy in general lagi ok, tapi beware, ga bisa diharapkan panjang, winter udah lewat… trading masih ok. stoch buy, macd rev up, BD FF dist, MFI up w% uptrend, ketemu hidbull terus jalan, target duble bottom udah beres, mantul di midline LR harapan ke upper channel, sekalian test resistance 4020. Ok sih buy, tapi pantau ketat, saya pribadi skip tapi, fokus basic materials atau oil di energy nya

TBIG – almost perfect kecuali FF yang masih fist, berani buy sih, target exit 2510. stoch buy macd buy, MFI up, BD acc, w% up, reg bull div confirmed by 2 bull candle, ma10 and macd buy signal, tripple bottom belum breakout. BOW

Belum ada spike setelah spike buang

Harga aman banget

ABMM – menarik banget, oscillators oksemua,BD FF acc, breakout double bottom, tapi ketemu reg bear… dan coal juga sih, gaperaya akan panjang, dan jelas third liner, saya skip, yang doyan kolesterol tinggi mangga entry,pantau ketat stoploss ketat

INDY – seiring keluar berita profit naik harganya udah jalan jauh, dan ketemu reg bear, stoch buy macdbuy, MFI up w% uptrend, BD FF acc, reg bull div kemaren jelasudah confirmed, tapi ini major nya reversal belum bikin higher low, idealnya sabar tunggu bikin higher low dulu, dan sepertinya issue electric vehicle akan bisa ngangkat INDY, ga harus dari coal lagi

BUKA – big accum, stoch buy, macd buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, reg bull div, tapi belum bikin higher low, sabar dulu deh tunggu koreksi, rally berikutnya baru masuk

KLBF – alligator buy, big accum, tapi oscillators lagi bilang koreksi dulu, WNS

ASII – alligator buy, stoch up macd belum, bd ff dist, MFI up w% uptrend, ret pattern mantul dari 23 otw 61, tapi nanti deh nambahnya kalo MACD firm dan udah pada accum lagi