Daily Analysis 20230321

March 21th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher on Monday as banking crisis fears ease

Stocks closed higher on Monday as traders grew hopeful that a crisis in the banking sector may be easing. The gains followed a forced takeover of Credit Suisse by UBS engineered by the Swiss government.

Dow……32245 +382.6 +1.20%
Nasdaq11676 +45.03 +0.39%
S&P 500.3952 +34.9 +0.89%

FTSE…..7404 +68.5 +0.93%
Dax…..14934 +165.2 +1.12%
CAC……7013 +87.7 +1.27%

Nikkei…..26946 -388.1 -1.42%
HSI………19000 -517.9 -2.65%
Shanghai.3235 -15.6 -0.48%

IDX…..6612.49 -65.75 -0.98%
LQ45….915.57 -8.69 -0.94%
IDX30…477.53 -4.92 -1.02%

IDXEnergy.1976.31 -37.62 -1.87%
IDX BscMat 1130.20 +4.32 +0.38%
IDX Indstrl…1139.55 -12.22 -1.06%
IDXNONCYC..715.23 -2.61 -0.36%
IDX Hlthcare1546.87 -16.10 -1.03%
IDXCYCLIC…..787.50 -8.02 -1.03%
IDX Techno..4849.76 -174.60 -0.09%
IDX Transp..1744.59 +48.82 +2.88%
IDX Infrast…..808.28 +12.33 +1.55%
IDX Finance.1354.90 -16.77 -0.96%
IDX Banking.1109.55 -8.60 -0.77%
IDX Property….659 -5.10 .-0.76%

Indo10Yr.6.9104 +0.0103 +0.15%
ICBI…..350.8423 -0.0033 -0.00%
US2Yr3.9658 +0.1200 +3.11%
US5Yr 3.5840 +0.0770 +2.20%
US10Yr3.4830 +0.0450 +1.30%
US30Yr.3.6680+0.0410 +1.13%
VIX…… 24.15 -1.36 -5.33%

USDIndx103.2810 -0.4270 -0.41%
Como Indx.255.17 +0.52 +0.20%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…154.22 +0.20 +0.13%

IndoCDS..101.480 -7.420 -6.81%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/17)

IDR…..15360.00 +15.00 +0.10%
Jisdor.15372.00 +8.00 +0.05%

Euro……1.0723 +0.0110 +1.04%

TLKM….26.29 -0.11 -0.42%
(4041)
EIDO……22.05 +0.05 +0.23%
EEM……37.75 +0.14 +0.37%

Oil….67.65 +0.91 +1.36%
Gold.2000.00‼️+9.80 +0.49%*
Timah .22510.00 +292.00 +1.31%
(Closed 03/17)
Nickel..22800.00 -744.00 -3.16%‼️
(Closed 03/17)
Silver…..22.67 +0.21 +0.93%
Copper..395.60 +6.35 +1.63%

Nturl Gas.2.240 -0.1060 -4.51%‼️

Ammonia 4173.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/16)

Coal price.172.25 -0.75 -0.43%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.174.05 -1.00 -0.57%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.176.50 -2.60 -1.45%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.180.15 -3.95 -2.14%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.134.50 unch +0%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..124.05 -2.95 -2.32%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.55 -2.70 -2.16%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.25 -2.65 -2.14%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3790 -131 -3.34%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..633.00 -1.25 -0.20%
SoybeanOil.57.99 +0.53 +0.92%
Wheat…..700.75 -9.75 -1.37%

Wood pulp…5530.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/20)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo lagi, europe juga, giliran asia nyusul hari ini sepertinya

OIl ijo coal gas merah, metal2 ijo semua kecuali nikel, tinggal tunggu waktunya ANTM MDKA lari ini… CPO masih belum ok juga, masih belum gilirannya

IHSG – kemaren NFS langsung merah dalem, technically mulai konsolidasi, belum saatnya rally memang, bank dulu jalan baru index jalan. Sabar tunggu momentumnya

DI market merah Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare jadi ganjel Property juga tapi ga akan jalan sebelum banking biasanya

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO AKRA ICBP INDY INKP AGRO DSNG MTMH TOBA WIFI ANJT LMSH

Ga ada yang big accum posisinya, kemungkinan cuma karena jum’at mantul kenceng jadi yang sudah sangat oversold jadi buy signal

Kita assess beberapa yang sektornya jalan dan mewakili sektor yang ada issue

MACD Buy Signal: ANTM BBRI INDF BRMS DSNG MTMH

Yang Big Accumulation… ARTO BBCA di Financials, bagus untuk banking mulai dorong index. INCO, tapi harga nikelnya drop, belum dulu, INDF ini ok, sektornya jalan, mau masuk ramadhan lebaran, PTBA DOID di energy, tapi coal price masih belum ok. ERAA sektornya belum, tapi biasanya lebaran baju baru henpon baru so ok buat ditunggu buy signalnya. MTEL hold, masih bagus

INDF – hampir semua ok, stoch up, macd buy, MFI buy, w% up, BD acc, ada bull div confirmed by MA10 and MACD, LR mantul, itungan acb correction done, cuma FF masih dist. Berani BUY

Setelah spike jual belum ada yang signifikan lagi

Harga aman

ANTM – technically ok banget stoch up , macd buy, MFI buy, w% up, abis dari fibo 50 ke 23, siap ke 61, gold price naik, cuma BD FF masih dist, makanya belum jalan. Yang mau full buy ok, kalo play safe setengah dulu, setengah lagi pas confirmed ngebalik pada accum

Belum ada spike yang significant

Harga aman, dibawah bandar

ADRO – stoch buy, macd down, MFI flat, w% down, BD FF tipis2, coal price masih merah, belum sih… WNS

ICBP – mirip INDF, tapi MACD belum cross, stoch buy, MFI up, w% sw, FNB, bulldiv, lr mantul, tunggu MACD

AKRA – stoch buy macd belum, w% up, BD FF acc, MFI down –> dibawah naik harganya pake vol kecil, ga firm, wait MACD

INKP – menarik… Stoch buy macd revup, MFI up, w% up, jeleknya breakdown fibo 23 terjun bebas, lagi di posisi support kuat sih. BD FF udah acc,, candle 3 white soldiers, ok sih, cuma belum bikin higher low

Harga aman

Spike nya buang beberapa kali, belum spike entry lagi,tunggu macd deh