Daily Analysis 20230315

March 15th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 300 points higher, snaps 5-day losing streak as bank shares rebound

U.S. stocks rose Tuesday as investors bet the risk of contagion following the closures of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank has been contained

Dow……32155 +336.3 +1.06%
Nasdaq11428 +239.3 +2.14%
S&P 500.3919 +63.5 +1.65%

FTSE…….7637 +88.5 +1.17%
Dax……..15233 +273.4 +1.83%
CAC……..7142 +130.2 +1.86%

Nikkei…..27833 -311.01 -1.11%
HSI………19696 +376.1 +1.95%
Shanghai.3269 +38.6 +1.20%

IDX…..6641.81 -145.14 -2.14%
LQ45….917.38 -22.46 -2.39%
IDX30…477.99 -12.08 -2.47%

IDXEnergy..2013.23 -61.82 -2.94%
IDX BscMat 1146.90 -13.66 -1.18%
IDX Indstrl.1147.89 -26.70 -2.27%
IDXNONCYC..719.53 -7.19 -0.99%
IDX Hlthcare1531.03 -5.73 -0.37%
IDXCYCLIC…804.96 -23.50 -2.84%
IDX Techno.5191.01 -164.63 -3.05%‼️
IDX Transp.1716.57 -70.29 -3.93%‼️
IDX Infrast….813.72 -16.19 -1.95%
IDX Finance1353.51 -29.92 -2.16%
IDX Banking1098.35 -31.18 -2.76%
IDX Property….673 -7.30 -1.07%

Indo10Yr.6.8707 -0.0497 -0.72%👍
ICBI….351.4897 +1.2731 +0.36%👍
US2Yr4.2462 +0.2304 +5.74%‼️
US5Yr 3.8478+0.1660 +4.51%‼️
US10Yr3.6850+0.1400+3.95%‼️
US30Yr.3.8050+0.1110+3.00%‼️
VIX…… 26.38 -2.79 -10.52%‼️

USDIndx103.5970 +0.0020+0.00%
Como Indx.264.67 -0.32 -0.12%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…156.73 -0.76 -0.48%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15386.50 +8.50 +0.06%
Jisdor.15380.00 +6.00 +0.04%

Euro……1.0732 +0.00050 +0.05%

TLKM….26.38 +0.29 +1.11%
(4057)
EIDO……21.96 -0.18 -0.81%
EEM……37.92 +0.02 +0.05%

Oil….71.78 -2.91 -3.90%‼️
Gold1908.90 -7.70 -0.40%
Timah .23210.00 +298 +1.30%
(Closed 03/13)
Nickel..23062.50 -103.50 -0.44%
(Closed 03/14)
Silver…..21.81 -0.07 -0.32%
Copper.400.85 -3.35 -0.83%

Nturl Gas.2.5770 +0.1410 +5.79%

Ammonia 4323.33 -83.34 -1.89%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/13)

Coal price.180.00 -2.90 -1.59%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.187.00 -4.50 -2.35%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.192.95 -4.55 -2.30%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.199.45 -1.55 -0.77%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.141.00 +2.35 +1.69%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 137.35 -1.35 -0.97%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 135.40 -2.45 -1.78%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 134.90 -2.65 -1.93%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…3982 -63 -1.56%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..620.75 +7.25 +1.18%
SoybeanOil.56.18+0.32 +0.57%
Wheat…..696.25 +11.75+1.72%

Wood pulp…5650.00 -20 -0.35%
(Closed 03/14)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US rebound, Europe rebound, asia cuma IDX sama Nikkei yang merah dalem, Shanghai sama Hangseng ijo tebel, harusnya ikut ijo tebel hari ini

Oil drop, coal merah, gas rebound, metal2 merah kecuali timah, masih belum ok buat saham coal oil dan tambang2 mineral metal. Sabar…

IHSG – udah drop tutup gap dan kena fibo 78, waktunya rebound dan lanjut rally wave 3. indicator oscillators, jelas jelek semua karena baru terjun, BD flat FF dist, ada reg bull div di CCI, yang bottom fishing boleh jalan, yang cari reversal tunggu konfirmasi dulu, minimal konfirmasi divergence kalopun belum ok di oscillators

Technology dan Healthcare, kemaren pas market merah dalem healthcare jadi ganjel, semoga lanjut

Stochastic Buy Signal: INDF RMKE

MACD Buy Signal: UNVR MIKA

Alligator Buy Signal: TBIG PNBN WINS

INDF – stoch buy macd revup, MFI sw,w% downtrend, BD FF dist, elliot wave failed, abc correction level reached, regbull div OBV confirmed by 2 bull candle, mau puasa biasanya consumer non-cyclicals retail naik, bisa specbuy half, half lagi tunggu MACD dan BD FF acc

INDF spike ga asik

Harga aman banget, berani bottom fishing, buy half

RMKE – ga kenal, abis digoreng terus terjun ke fibo 50, stoch buy macd up MFI down w% downtrend, FF dist, BD last day acc, belum bikin higher low, ok nya ada reg bull div confirmed by 2 bull candle and ma10, skip tapi deh

UNVR – saham overpriced, technically stoch up macd buy MFI up w% downtrend done, BD acc tipis, BD dist, reg bull div confirmed by ma 10 and macd buy signal, mau ramadhan, mantul di lower channel, yang punya bisa hold, yang mau spekulasi boleh buy, yang belum punya mending ga usah masuk UNVR sih, mending yang lain aja, PBV 40 itu gimanaaaaa gitu

MIKA – Stoch up, macd buy, MFI up,w% almost uptrend, BD acc FF dist tipis but inside, reg bull div, confirmed buy ma10 and macd buy signal. Yang belum punya bisa Buy, yang udah full hold, yang masih setengah bisa nambah

TBIG – masihsideways, stoch sell macdup rev, MFI up, w% sw, FF dist, BD last day acc, belum tembus fibo 23, belum, bikin higher low, belum breakout CNH, WNS

WINS – stoch sell, macdup rev,MFI up, w% sw, BD acc, ff dist,udah bikin higher low, testing fibo 20, hold, waltch macd reversal