Daily Analysis 20230306

March 06th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher Friday, Dow breaks 4-week losing streak as 10-year Treasury yield retreats

Stocks rose Friday as Treasury yields eased from their recent highs and investors weighed the cumulative impact from Fed hikes already implemented and digested this week’s comments from the central bank.

Dow…..33391 +387.4 +1.17%
Nasdaq11689 +226.02+1.97%
S&P 500.4046 +64.3 +1.61%

FTSE…….7947 +3.1 +0.04%
Dax……..15578 +250.8 +1.64%
CAC……..7348 +63.9 +0.88%

Nikkei…..27927 +428.6 +1.56%
HSI……. .20568 +138.1 +0.68%
Shanghai.3328 +17.7 +0.54%

IDX…..6813.64 -43.78 -0.64%
LQ45….938.96 -6.81 -0.32 %
IDX30…488.79 -4.47 -0.91%

IDXEnergy…2107.96 -6.81 -0.32%
IDX BscMat 1218.98 -2.68. -0.22%
IDX Indstrl..1197.20 -9.57 -0.79%
IDXNONCYC..731.63 -8.37 -1.13%
IDX Hlthcare1555.33 -5.62 -0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…845.42 -1.61 -0.19%
IDX Techno.5455.78 +43.53 + 0.80%
IDX Transp..1844.09 -25.53 -1.37%
IDX Infrast….848.99 +4.13 +0.49%
IDX Finance1404.95 -10.17 -0.72%
IDX Banking1127.75 -12.61 -1.11%
IDX Property….694 -4.80 -0.69%

Indo10Yr.6.9361 +0.0256 +0.37%‼️
ICBI….349.0803 -0.0894 -0.03%‼️
US2Yr 4.8606‼️-0.0004 -0.01%
US5Yr 4.2492‼️ -0.0038 -0.09%
US10Yr3.9580‼️ -0.0050 -0.14%
US30Yr.3.8780‼️-0.0090 -0.24%
VIX……. 18.49 -1.10 -5.62%

USDIndx104.5210 -0.4630 -0.44%‼️
Como Indx.275.05 +3.75 +1.38%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….162.00 +0.42 +0.26%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15311.00 +30.50 +0.20%‼️
Jisdor.15306.00 +33.00 +0.22%‼️

Euro……1.0635 +0.0036 +0.34%

TLKM….26.02 +0.31 +1.21%
(39283)
EIDO……22.61 -0.21 -0.92%
EEM……39.54 +0.35 +0.89%

Oil……79.68 +1.52 +1.94%
Gold.1854.60 +14.10+0.77%
Timah 25334 – -%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel…24675 +443.00 +1.83%
(Closed 03/03)
Silver…….21.24 +0.34 +1.61%
Copper..406.70 -0.90 -0.22%

Nturl Gas.2.790 -0.021 -0.75%

Ammonia 4406.67 -16.67 -0.38%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/02)

Coal price.188.90 -4.10 -2.12%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.195.40 -2.60 -1.31%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.199.30 -2.35 -1.17%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.201.00 -4.35 -2.12%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.131.75 -11.50 -8.03%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 126.25 -13.75 -9.82%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 126.80 -14.20-10.07%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 127.35 -14.35 -10.13%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4357 +64 +1.49%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..639.75 +6.00 +0.95%
SoybeanOil..61.19 -0.71 -1.15%
Wheat……708.75 -4.00 -0.56%

Wood pulp…5800.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing jum’at ijo tebel, in fact malah IHSG doang yang closing merah, semua asia eropa ijo… 😅

Oil Ijo Gas Coal merah, metal2 ijo semua, kecuali copper, CPO ijo, TINS udah buy signal, mungkin MDKA hari ini kalo closing ijo

IHSG – retest fibo 38, dan pas mantul disitu seperti sebelumnya. Stoch buy, macd down, BD FF dist, MFI W% down, masih optimis false break jadi mantul

Industrials, Property, Energy

Stoch Buy Signal: INTP MDKA TBIG DSNG MNCN

MACD Buy Signal: GOTO TBIG TINS

Alligator Buy Signal: ASII ITMG UNTR APIC CTRA

Supertrend Buy Signal: BSSR

INTP – Stoch Buy, MACD revup, MFI down, W% up, BD Acc FF Dist, pas last run juga FF dist sih tapi, retracement pattern done, dan sudah pullback, siap wave 3 sih,mantul di midline LR, cocok. Buy

INTP Spike udah ketutup

INTP harga aman

MDKA – stoch buy, macd down, 833 sell, abis beres retracement pattern memang lagi koreksi, tapi kalo liat dari 833 nya belum beres, walau dari LR keliatan kemaren mantul dari lower channel. BD dist, FF acc, MFI sw, W% sw, wait MACD

TBIG – stoch buy macd buy, MFI sw, W% uptrend, BD last day acc FF dist, CNH in the making, yang mau entry di setengah candle kemaren, atau sekalian tunggu breakout neckline @2260

TBIG Spike terakhir spike jual

TBIG harga aman

DSNG – stoch buy MACD almost, BD FF last day acc, MFI sw w% uptrend, retracement pattern done, suppoesdly lagi wave 3 tapi ini lagi ketemu reg bear div, tunggu cancelled sambeil breakout resistance dulu

MNCN – stoch buy, macd down flattening, BD FF dist, MFI sw, W%downtrend, baru bikin lower low, ketemu reg bull div belum confirmed, stay away dulu

GOTO – stoch almost buy, MACD buy, BD FF lastday acc, MFI down, W% sw, abis drop udah bikin higher low. Bisa spec buy lagi, tapi idealnya tunggu breakout resistance

GOTO spike nya ok

GOTO avg broker vs harga sih aman…

TINS – stoch up MACD buy,, MFI sw, W% sw, BD FF dist tipis, udah bikin higher low, ada gap di 1250, mantul di midline LR, bisa spec buy, belum full karena BD FF belum firm

TINS Spike ok

TINS Broker avg aman

ASII – stoch rev down, MACD up, 833 sell, MFI down, W% sw, ret pattern harusnya bawa ke 6500, ada gap besar pas loncat kemaren pas LK keluar bagus, karena alasan fundamental harusnya ga wajib tutup. HOLD

ITMG – keliatan mau pullback dulu abis naik tunggu beres gerakannya aja

UNTR – persis ASII, mungkin beberapa waktu konsol di harga segitu dulu atau koreksi dikit

CTRA – stoch up macd SW, MFI sw,W% down, st up alligator up, property jalan, BD yang dist, FF acc, lagi di midline, bisa kemana aja. Hold