Daily Analysis 20230301

March 01st, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 200 points lower Tuesday, major averages end February with losses

The major averages fell on Tuesday to round out a tough month for the stock market

Dow…..32657 -232.4 -0.71%
Nasdaq11456 -11.4 -0.10%
S&P 500.3970 -12.1 -0.30%

FTSE…….7876 -58.8 -0.74%
Dax……..15365 -16.3 -0.11%
CAC……..7268 -27.6 -0.38%

Nikkei…..27446 +21.6. +0.08%
HSI………19786 -157.6 -0.79%
Shanghai.3280 +21.6 +0.66%

IDX…..6843.24 -11.5 -0.17%
LQ45….942.97 -5.11 -0.54%
IDX30…490.50 -2.75 -0.56%

IDXEnergy…2101.21 +30.17 +1.46%
IDX BscMat 1243.21 +2.49 +0.20%
*IDX Indstrl.1198.81 +40.13 +3.46%‼️*
IDXNONCYC..742.11 -4.63 -0.62%
IDX Hlthcare1565.08 +6.16 +0.39%
IDXCYCLIC…845.29 -2.67 -0.32%
IDX Techno.5385.85 -11.18 -0.21%
*IDX Transp1936.02 +53.34 +2.83%*
IDX Infrast….844.52 -8.20 -0.96%
IDX Finance1401.26 -5.92 -0.42%
IDX Banking1125.88 -14.52 -1.27%
IDX Property….699 +3.50 +0.51%

*Indo10Yr.6.8724 +0.0167 +0.24%*
*ICBI..349.8168 +0.0284 +0.01%*
*US5Yr 4.1853* +0.0120 +0.29%
*US10Yr3.9226* +0.0040 +0.10%
*US30Yr.3.9180* -0.0010 -0.03%
*VIX……. 20.70 -0.25 -1.19%*

*USDIndx104.9440+0.2710 +0.26%‼️*
Como Indx.269.84 +1.24 +0.46%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….161.71 +0.56 +0.35%

*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR…..15260.50 -0.50 -0.06%‼️*
*Jisdor.15240.00 -34.00 -0.22%‼️*

*Euro……1.0579 -0.0003 -0.28%*

TLKM….25.76 -0.18 -0.69%
*(3926)*
EIDO……22.91 -0.14 -0.61%
EEM……38.23 -0.27 -0.70%

*Oil…….76.79 +1.11 +1.47%*
*Gold 1836.80* +11.80 +0.65%
*Timah 25651 – -%*
*(Closed 02/24)*
*Nickel.24928.50 -469.50 -1.85%*
(Closed 02/28)
Silver…….21.07 +0.28 +1.34%
Copper..407.35 +6.25 +1.56%

*Nturl Gas.2.776 +0.056 +2.06%*

*Ammonia 4440.00 -50.00 -1.11%*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(02/27)

Coal price.192.85 -3.65 -1.86%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.194.10 -2.90 -1.47%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.197.75 -2.25 -1.13%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.200.50 -2.20 -1.09%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.145.90 -2.25 -1.52%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 145.60 -2.50 -1.69%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 146.80 -1.35 -0.91%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 147.20 -1.75 -1.17%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

*CPO(May)….4136 -92 -2.17%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

*Corn……630.25 -13.25 -2.06%*
SoybeanOil..60.19 -0.15 -0.25%
Wheat……707.00 -3.00 -0.42%

*Wood pulp…5930.00 unch +0%*
(Closed 02/28)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US europe merah, asia kemaren varied, IHSG merah, kayanya masih belum rally dulu hari ini juga

OIl Gas ijo, coal merah lagi, kalo dari chart coal saatnya gerak tapi harga nya udah 2 hari turun, bisa jadi ini kesempatan beli di pullback. Metal naik semua kecuali nickel, perlu dicermati ANTM MDKA. CPO merah lagi, masih bolak balik AALI LSIP, minornya koreksi dulu

IHSG – stoch down, macd down, MFI sw, w% sw, NFS BD dist, masih belum okay, jangan agressive, yang profit dan chartnya meragukan TP dulu aja just to be safe, atau sell setengah botol lah karena major nya masih ok wave 3

Sempet leading dan jalan lagi: Transportation, Consumer Cyclicals, yang emerging: Industrials (shout out to ASII and UNTR), Energy, Basic Materials dan Property

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO HRUM SRTG RAJA WIKA UNIC EKAD

MACD Buy Signal: CTRA LPPF TOBA MBSS

Alligator Buy Signal: TLKM

Supertrend Buy: ASII UNTR

ADRO – stoch buy macd up MFIup W% uptrend, BD FF kemaren jualan pas harga naik, ga asik ini. Harga coal turun 2 hari, kayanya pull back dulu sih. Uji divergence fibo 23 belum tembus. BOW di MA 20 @2870 an

NCF – MACD masih up tapi price drop tiap opening market walau close di atas. Harus hati-hati banget ini

Abis spike jual belum ada lagi spike

Harga sih masih aman. Cuma keliatannya swing agak panjang kalo harga coalnya belum firm jalan

HRUM – stoh buy macd dikit lagi, MFI flat, w% up, udah bikin higher low, bisa spec tapi jangan dikejar, BOW aja, inget harga coal lagi turun

 

HRUM udah ada spike setelah buangan

Harga aman

SRTG – Stoch Buy, MACD up, MFI up, W% uptrend, BD FF acc, reg bull div confirmed by MA 10, 2 bull candle and MACD buy signal, cross up midline LR, BOW mid candle

 

Spike kecil kecil doang

Harga aman

RAJA – stoch almostbuy, macd down, MFI sw, W% sw, BD FF dist, reg bull div still not confirmed, mantul di LR tapi udahan. Skip dulu

WIKA – belum tunggu MACD and higher low dulu

EKAD – saham value investing dan sudah ketinggian naik juga, koreksi belum sampe fibo 38 malah, dan volume sepi. Skip

CTRA – stoch up macd buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, FNB, BD last day dist, vol breakout kemaren, bisa spec buy, nambah kalo firm breakout CNH

Spike ga ok

harga deket, idealnya dapet pas harga KZ minimal @975 an

LPPF – belum, stoch mau bawa kebawah abis kemaren naik tinggi, MACD nya bolak balik doang, tapi nanti kalo udha konsol harusnya beresin gerakan ret pattern ke fibo 61

TOBA – technical ok, tapi itu BD FF buang terus, saham begini ga berani full technical, skip

MBSS – stoch up, MACD buy, MFI sw, W% sw, BD FF flat, reg bull div OBV confirmed by MA10, mantul dari lower channel LR, saham value investing, spec buy deh, pantau ketat tapi

Spike kecil doang

Harga aman, bisa hold cari deviden, hehehe

TLKM – stoch rev down, macd up, 833 sell, MFI flat, NFS, BD acc tipis, failed breakout CNH, WNS… Infra telco lain pada dibanting juga soalnya