Daily Analysis 20230223

February 23th,, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 notches fourth day of losses after Fed minutes reaffirm tough stance on inflation

Stocks ended lower on Wednesday as traders parsed through a summary of the Federal Reserve’s most recent meeting, looking for clues on the central bank’s next move against inflation.

Dow…..33045 -84.5 -0.26%
Nasdaq11507 +14.8 +0.13%
S&P 500..3991 -6.3 -0.16%

FTSE…….7931 -47.1 -0.59%
Dax……..15400 +2.3 +0.01%
CAC……..7299 -9.4 -0.13%

Nikkei…..27104 -368.8 -1.34%
HSI………20424 -105.7 -0.51%
Shanghai.3291 -15.4 -0.47%

IDX…..6809.97 -63.44 -0.92%
LQ45….939.99 -10.51 -1.11%
IDX30…488.37 -5.52 -1.12%

IDXEnergy…2047.85 -4.56. -0.22%
IDX BscMat 1242.66 -13.95 -1.11%
IDX Indstrl…1141.44 +1.19 +0.10%
IDXNONCYC..758.23 -5.89 -0.77%
IDX Hlthcare1577.95 -30.61 -1.90%
IDXCYCLIC…844.19 -4.16 -0.49%
*IDX Techno.5382.56 -129.25 -2.35%*
IDX Transp1873.92 -4.99 -0.27%
IDX Infrast….860.15 -13.20 -1.51%
IDX Finance1405.28 -16.88 -1.19%
IDX Banking1132.43 -16.04 -1.40%
IDX Property….687 -3.20 -0.46%

*Indo10Yr.6.8119 +0.0196+0.29%*
*ICBI..350.3620-0.2267 -0.06%*
*US5Yr 4.1640* -0.0090 -0.22%
*US10Yr3.9270* -0.0260 -0.65%
*US30Yr.3.9230 -0.0530 -1.33%*
*VIX…..22.29 -0.58 -2.54%*

*USDIndx104.1830+0.3150 +0.30%‼️*
Como Indx.266.10 -2.38 -0.89%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….165.56 -2.86 -1.70%

*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR…..15200.00 +10.00 +0.07%*
*Jisdor.15218.00 +39.00 +0.26%*

Euro……1.0606 -0.0038 -0.36%

TLKM….25.54 +0.45 +1.79%
*(3886)*
EIDO……22.09 -0.17 -0.74%
EEM……38.99 -0.19 -0.48%

*Oil…….73.95 -2.21 -3.16%‼️*
Gold 1841.50 -2.20 -0.12%
*Timah 26700 +826.00 +3.09%‼️*
*(Closed 02/21)*
Nickel.26576.50 -123.50.00 -0.46%
(Closed 02/22)
Silver…….21.82 -0.18 -0.82%
Copper..418.50 -1.50 -0.36%

*Nturl Gas.2.290 +0.106+4.85%‼️*

Ammonia 4306.67 +16.67 +0.39%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(02/21)

Coal price.209.65 +0.65 +0.31%
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price199.65 +12.65 +6.76%‼️*
(Mar/Newcastle)
*Coal price197.00 +9.00 +4.79%‼️*
(Apr/Newcastle)
*Coal price200.35 +4.35 +2.22%*
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.137.15 +0.15 +0.11%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
*Coal price 139.30 +3.35 +2.46%*
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price138.30 +3.80 +2.83%*
(Apr/Rotterdam)
*Coal price138.20 +5.20 +3.91%*
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4148 +9 +0.22%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..674.25 -6.25 -0.92%
SoybeanOil..63.05 +0.10 +0.16%
Wheat…….750.00 -12.75 -1.67%

*Wood pulp…5950.00 -40 -0.67%*
(Closed 02/21)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

DJI masih merah tapi ga segila kemaren yang drop 2%, Nasdaw malah ijo tipis, europe majority merah, asia merah semua, dicermati yang kemaren nongol sell signal gara2 drop, yang perlu cutloss ya cutloss dulu, gampang beli lagi belakangan pas bullish

Oil, Gas rebound, coal lanjut naik, CPO ngebalik ijo, metal2 rata2 merah kecuali timah yang naik tinggi. Dari sisi ini sih market masih ok harusnya. Index walau ada kemungkinan tetep merah tapi keliatannya saham2 energy akan melawan gravitasi

IHSG – stoch down, MACD down, MFI down, w% downtrend, FF dist tipis, BD flat ga jagain harga, dari fibonacci last low pas di 38, ini deket 50, udah cukup lah ya, semoga langsung tutup gap hari ini, atau sideways dulu ga drop lagi

Healthcare, Infrastructure, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Transportation, disusul Basic Materials sama Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal: TOBA ANJT WINS SGRO EKAD

MACD Buy Signal: TLKM

Alligator Buy Signal: TBIG MTEL TAPG

TOBA – belum… biar bikin higher low dulu

ANJT – memang kalo saham kecil suka volatile digerakin broker, kemaren signal ngebalik cutloss dulu, sekarang ngebalik lagi buy. Closing candle kemaren breakout resistance with volumen, macd up stoch buy, MFI up, w% belum, bd dist, ff dist, tunggu pullback aja ini mah jangan dikejar,mark up distribusi, tunggu di 760

WINS – stoch buy macd down mfi down w% down, ff bd dist, skip

SGRO skip

EKAD – screening ratio2 masuk value investing, tapi liat chart sama volume, skip deh, ga liquid

TLKM – stoch up macd buy, MFI sw w%uptrend, BD ff acc, udah bikin higher low, BUY

TBIG – stoch sell macd rev down, MFIdown, W% down, bd ff dist, skip

MTEL – stoch rev down, MACD up, 833 sell, MFI up, w% still uptrend BD FF acc, around fibo 23, ada di midline LR, hold

TAPG – stoch sw, macd up, 833 buy, bd ff tipis, MFI up, w% up, udah bikin higher low, lumayan, tapi buat kondisi index begini mending safe dulu, yang big caps dan market leader dan liquid dan fundamental bagus baru entry