Daily Analysis 20230222

February 22nd, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 700 points lower in broad selloff, as all indexes cap their worst day of 2023

U.S. stocks dropped Tuesday as higher rates continue to pressure market sentiment, and the latest batch of retail earnings raised concern about the state of the consumer.

Dow…..33130 -697.1 -2.06%
Nasdaq11492 -294.97-2.50%
S&P 500..3997 -81.8 -2.00%

FTSE…….7978 -36.6 -0.46%
Dax……..15398 -79.9 -0.52%
CAC……..7309 -26.96 -0.37%

Nikkei…..27473 -58.8 -0.21%
HSI………20529 -357.5 -1.71%
Shanghai.3307 +16.2 +0.49%

IDX…..6873.40 -21.31 -0.31%
LQ45….950.51 -4.35 -0.46%
IDX30…493.89 -2.66 -0.54%

IDXEnergy…2052.01 -18.00 -0.87%
IDX BscMat 1256.60 +8.62 +0.69%
IDX Indstrl…1140.26 -5.50 -0.48%
IDXNONCYC..764.13 -0.43 -0.06%
IDX Hlthcare1608.56 -2.78 -0.17%
IDXCYCLIC…848.36 +2.71 +0.32%
IDX Techno.5511.82 -17.86 -0.32%
IDX Transp1878.91 +42.4 +2.31%
IDX Infrast….873.35 -1.82 -0.21%
IDX Finance1422.16 -9.97 -0.70%
IDX Banking1148.46 -13.39 -1.15%
IDX Property….687 -3.20 -0.46%

Indo10Yr.6.7923 +0.0186 +0.27%
ICBI..350.5887 -0.2732 -0.08%
US10Yr3.9550 +0.1270 +3.32%‼️
VIX…..22.82 +1.59 +7.49%‼️

USDIndx104.1830+0.3150 +0.30%‼️
Como Indx.268.48 +0.91 +0.34%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….168.42 +5.29 +3.24%‼️

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15190.00 +31.00 +0.20%
Jisdor.15179.00 +11.00 +0.07%

Euro……1.0644 -0.0042 -0.39%

TLKM….25.09 +0.23 +0.93%
(3808)
EIDO……23.07 -0.11 -0.47%
EEM……39.18 -0.50 -1.26%

Oil…….76.16 -0.97 -1.26%
Gold 1843.70 -6.60 -0.36%
Timah 26700 +844.00 +3.26%‼️
(Closed 02/20)
Nickel.26889.50 -196.50.00 -0.73%
(Closed 02/21)
Silver…….22.00 +0.03 +0.14%
Copper..420.00 +4.14 +1.00%

Nturl Gas.2.184 -0.126 -5.45%‼️

Ammonia 4290.00 -33.30 -0.77%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/20)

Coal price.209.00 +3.35 +1.63%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price187.00 +7.50 +4.18%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price188.00 +12.00 +6.82%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price196.00 +16.50 +9.19%‼️
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.137.00 +0.50 +0.37%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 136.00 +3.00 +2.26%
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price134.50 -1.50 -1.10%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price133.00 +1.70 +1.29%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4139 -15 -0.36%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..680.25 +2.75 +0.41%
SoybeanOil..62.80 +1.06. +1.70%
Wheat…….762.75 -13.50 -1.74%

Wood pulp…5990.00 -40 -0.66%
(Closed 02/20)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Wah, US drop, europe merah juga, asia kecuali shanghai merah juga

Oil Gas Drop, coal ijo, gantian terus ini… Bagus deh buat saham2 coal. Metal2 kebanyakan naik, gold merah tipis, nikel merah, CPO merah lagi tapi semoga AALI LSIP tetep jalan

Coal NCF akhirnya MACD buy signal, semoga rebound nya cukup tinggi, sampe tutup gap aja deh cukup buang ngangkat saham coal 20-25% an harusnya

IHSG – rada2 tweezer bottom, semoga mantul, tapi candle terakhir yang close nya dibawah bikin khawatir juga. Yang jelas hati2 belanja sebelum MACD dan stoch nya ngebalik lagi ke atas, stoch sw macd down, mfi down, BD ga jagain hari terakhir, FNS tipis udah 3-4 hari, masih uptrend majornya, wave 3, semoga ga lama lagi mulai rally, perlu didorong sama big banks sih

Basic Materials mulai bangun, yang leading masih healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: ARTO INCO INCI

MACD Buy Signal: TOWR ABMM SGRO

Alligator Buy Signal: AGRO WIFI

ARTO skip

INCO – stoc buy macd still down, MFI down, w% off downtrend, bd ff last day start acc, sign of reversal, ada hid bull dev, bisa spec buy, amannya tunggu macd atau MA 10

Harga aman…

INCI – saham value investing, tapi momentumnya ga pas sekarang. Alligator memang buy, tapi stochastic masih bolak balik, MACD rev down, w% drop, MFI down, dari retracement pattern sih ok, dari 50 ke 23 harusnya mantul lanjut ke 61, tapi masih phase sideways,skip

TOWR – stoch up, macd buy, MFI down, FF dist tipis BD acc tipis, retracement pattern still in place, harusnya bawa ke fibo 61, BOW

Harga aman

ABMM – technical okay, stoch up macd buy, MFI up, BD acc, FF lagi dist tapi kecil, reg bull div, confirmedby macd and MA 10, bisa spec buy, amannya tunggu bikin higher low

SGRO skip

AGRO skip

WIFI – stoch up, macd up, MFI sw, w% not uptrend, BD acc, FF dist, reg bull div jalan, harusnya retracement pattern nya jalan. Hold kecuali signal ngebalik