Daily Analysis 20230220

February 20th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 100 points higher on Friday, but notches third straight week of losses on rate fears: Live updates

U.S. stocks were mixed on Friday as stubbornly high inflation and a rebound in rates continued to weigh on investor sentiment.

Dow…….33827 +129.8 +0.39%
Nasdaq.11787 -68.6 -0.58%
S&P 500..4079 -11.3 -0.28%

FTSE…….8004 -8.1 -0.10%
Dax……..15482 -51.6 -0.33%
CAC……..7348 -18.4 -0.25%

Nikkei…..27513 -183.3 -0.66%
HSI………20720 -267.9 -1.28%
Shanghai..3224 -25.01 -0.77%

IDX…..6895.71 +0.05 +0.05%
LQ45….954.38 +0.89 +0.09%
IDX30…496.30 +0.62 +0.12%

IDXEnergy…2082.24 -15.90 -0.76%
IDX BscMat 1250.68 -9.82 -0.78%
IDX Indstrl…1155.18 -2.51 -0.22%
IDXNONCYC..759.27 +3.86 +0.51%
IDX Hlthcare1615.73 +10.34+0.64%
IDXCYCLIC…844.41 -5.31 -0.63%
IDX Techno5613.44 +27.60 +0.49%
IDX Transp1841.68 -5.26 -0.28%
IDX Infrast….865.21 -1.82 -0.21 %
IDX Finance1427.65 +4.48 +0.32%
IDX Banking1162.24 +5.43 +0.47%
IDX Property….697 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.7641 -0.0056 -0.08%
ICBI..350.7567 +0.1073 +0.03%
US10Yr.3.8280 -0.0150 -0.39%
VIX……20.02 -0.15 -0.74%

USDIndx104.0500+0.2289+0.21%‼️
Como Indx.267.57 -2.68 -0.99%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..163.14 -0.34 -0.21%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15210.00 +51.00 +0.34%‼️
Jisdor.15199.00 +23.00 +0.15%‼️

Euro……1.0686 -0.0004 -0.04%

TLKM….24.86 -0.01 -0.04%
(3778)
EIDO……23.18 -0.11 -0.47%
EEM……39.68 -0.44 -1.10%

Oil…….76.34 -2.15 -2.74%
Gold 1850.20 -1.60 -0.09%
Timah 25856 -1148.00 -4.25%‼️
(Closed 02/17)
Nickel.26647.00 -967.50 -3.63%‼️
(Closed 02/17)
Silver…….21.86 -0.01 -0.06%
Copper..410.50 -1.65 -0.40%

Nturl Gas.2.300 -0.093 -3.88%‼️

Ammonia 4323.33 -83.34 -1.89%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/16)

Coal price.209.35 -4.65 -2.17%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price183.00 -3.30 -1.77%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price180.65 -3.30 -1.79%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price182.40 -3.05 -1.64%
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.136.50 -0.50 -0.36%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 136.20-2.80 -2.01%
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price134.95 -2.05 -1.50%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price134.30 -3.10 -2.26%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4136 +66 +1.62%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..677.50 +2.50 +0.37%
SoybeanOil..61.75 -0.40 -0.64%
Wheat…….776.25 unch +0%

Wood pulp…6030.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/19)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Era9wati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua merah kecuali Dollar Index dan DJI, Kospi dan IDX ijo tipis, almost doji. Not good, tapi asal major uptrend malah jadi waktunya belanja

Semua commodity juga merah kecuali CPO, pas buat AALI sama LSIP untuk finally jalan

IHSG – belum berhasil breakout resistance, masih NFS, BD flat, MACD sell, Stoch sw, MFI down, ST up alligator up, w% sw, masih sideways dulu kayanya, dengan big banks LK bagus optimis major tetep uptrend, tapi hati2 sell-off pemain teknikal bisa banting karena pada exit liat MACD sell

Healthcare, Infrastructure (versi telco and tower provider, bukan BUMN karya), Energy (versi coal)

Stochastic Buy Signal: GOTO INDY TOWR AALI AGRO ASSA DSNG JSMR PNLF AFMG

JSMR very big accumulation

MACD Buy Signal: AFMG

Alligator Buy Signal: BRIS

Supertrend Buy Signal: GOTO

GOTO – stoch buy, macd buy, mfi up, w% uptrend, st up alligator almost buy, FF dist, BD dist tapi movement nya up, aneh ini, harus check detail. target closing gap 151, posisi di modus vol profile. Udah entry kemaren, kita check posisi bandar

Biggest holder nya ZP, pas price drop dia akum terus, sekarang sepertinya profit taking barang bawah, price average masih aman, kedua ketiga besar AK sama PD akum, aman harusnya. HOLD

INDY – stoch macd buy, MFI down, w% beres downtrend, BD dist terus, FF acc, reg bull div confirmed by macd buy signal, LR down, belum bikin higher low, skip dulu…

TOWR – stoch buy, macd almost, BD FF last day acc (sign of reversal), MFI up, w% done downtrend, mantul di st, major ret pattern mantul dari fibo 23 terus sekarang bikin higher low, sektor jalan, MTEL udah duluan, cross up midline, BUY

Harga relatif aman, CC biggest holder acc terus

AALI – kemaren MACD buy yang lain relatif ok tap kita tunggu reg bear cancelled, ini udah satu bear candle, semoga hari ini ijo jadi cancelled, baru entry

AGRO skip

ASSA – stoch buy, macd buy, 833 up, MFI up, W% off, last day BD FF dist, udah bikin higher low, resistance and vol breakout kamis, bisa spec buy, kalo firm BD FF acc lagi bisa nambah

DSNG – kurang kebaca technically, stoch buy tp lg sw, macd revup, BD FF acc, MFI down, w% sw, ret pattern done, elliot wave belum, lebih pasti entry di LSIP AALI sih

JSMR – stoch sell sw terus buy, MACDstill up, MFI up, BD acc tp FF last day NFS, w% masih up, ketemu reg bear dan kalo closing merah today jadi confirmed, WNS dulu

PNLF skip

AMFG – stoch buy, macd sw, MFI down, W% belum, FF dist, BD acc tipis, udah bikin higher low, LR bisa kemana aja, skip dulu

BRIS – stoch up macd up, MFI up, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, udah mau kena fibo 23, vol breakout, udah naik tinggi tapi, ga berani FOMO terus new entry, kalo yang enter pas stoch buy masih hold