Daily Analysis 20230120

January 20th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close lower on Thursday, Dow and S&P 500 notch third day of losses

Stocks fell Thursday as investors grew increasingly concerned the Federal Reserve will keep raising rates despite signs of slowing inflation.

Dow…….33045 -252.4 -0.76%
Nasdaq.10852 -104.7 -0.96%
S&P 500..3899 -30.01 -0.76%

FTSE…….7747 -83.4 -1.07%
Dax……..14920 -261.4 -1.72%
CAC……..6952 -131.5 -1.86%

Nikkei…..26405 -385.9 -1.44%
HSI………21651 -27.02 -0.12%
Shanghai..3240 +15.9 +0.49%

IDX…..6816.91 +54.12 +0.80%
LQ45….937.61 +7.85 +0.84%

IDX Energy..2180.02 +28.92 +1.34%
IDX BscMat 1261.65 +6.86 +0.55%
IDX Indstrl…1173.39 +25.10+2.19%
IDXNONCYC..727.18 +2.93 +0.40%
IDX Hlthcare1570.74 +25.10 +1.62%
IDXCYCLIC…818.72 +4.33 +0.53%
IDX Techno.5381.38 +25.66 +0.48%
IDX Transp..1649.69 -1.38 -0.08%
IDX Infrast…..854.50 +7.53 +0.89%
IDX Finance 1387.09 +11.18 +0.81%
IDX Banking1111.40 +9.89 +0.90%
IDX Property….703 +8.20 +1.18%

Indo10Yr.6.7923 -0.0347 -0.51%👍
ICBI…349.5858 +0.8569 +0.25%👍
US10Yr..3.3970 +0.0220 +0.65%
VIX…..20.52 +0.18 +0.89%

USDIndx102.0640 -0.3460 -0.34%
Como Indx.276.62 +0.49 +0.18%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..176.88 +0.87 +0.49%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15104.00 +16.50 +0.11%
Jisdor..15113.00 -24.00 -0.16%

Euro……1.0832 +0.0040 +0.37%

TLKM…..25.57 -0.02 -0.08%
(3864)
EIDO…..22.80 +0.17 +0.75%
EEM……41.10 +0.31 +0.76%

Oil……..80.33 +0.87 +1.09%
Gold ..1923.90 +16.90 +0.89%
Timah….29100 +684 +2.41%
(Closed 18/01)
Nickel.29248.00 +1122.00 +3.99%‼️
(Closed 19/01)
Silver…….23.87 +0.22 +0.94%
Copper..423.15 -0.30 -0.07%

Nturl Gas..3.199 -0.0810 -2.47%

Ammonia.4223.33 +33.33 +0.80%
China
(Domestic Price)(18/01)

Coal price..363.50 -4.50 -1.22%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price..319.00 -7.50 -2.30%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price..298.85 -2.15 -0.71%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price..290.35. +2.80 +0.97%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price..174.00 -1.00 -0.57%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price..179.40 +5.40 +3.10%
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..179.10 +5.20 +2.99%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..182.00 +8.15 +4.69%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)…..3888 +20 +0.52%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..677.25 -4.00 -0.58%
SoybeanOil..63.15 -0.97 -1.51%
Wheat……..734.50 -8.00 -1.08%

Wood pulp…6280.00 -10 -0.16%
(Closed 19/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

hampir merah semua, tapi IHSG ijo… cuma sama shanghai yang ijo juga. Bikin khawatir ini

Metal2 rebound, cuma copper yang turun tipis, oil ijo gas merah, coal merah lagi, tapi future rotterdam price nya naik. Udah lewat winternya padahal nanti maret april malah naik

IHSG – cuek sama US dan europe, lanjut naik, tapi emang NFB sih, apa duit dari US dan Europe pada masuk sini? Tapi ga massive juga sih… Technically tambah bagus, memang belum tembus resistance sih, mungkin akan rada mentok dulu disitu sekitar 6850-6900 an, konsol dan cari arah

Industrials Financials Energy Property. Financials dan Property yang rada aneh terkait naiknya SBI, biasanya bunga naik financials sama property lesu

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT EXCL INDF MNCN ISAT PTPP

MACD buy signal: banyak banget, AMTR BBCA BBNI BMRI INDF ITMG KLBF MIKA LPPF MAPI MTDL PWON SMRA SRTG, tapi intinya Infobank15 dan bank bank besar MACD nya buy, ini jelas mau nganter index ke atas. Sempet khawatir pas kemaren buy BTPS dan keluar pengumuman SBI naik, tapi harusnya kalo bigbanks firm jalan sih aman

AMRT – technically belum cukup dalem koreksinya abis wave 5, tapi ya kalo saham hajatan mah bebas aja sih… Stoch Buy MACD buy, BD FF acc, ok sih, tapi saya skip, PBV 11 PER 40 itu overpriced banget

EXCL – stoch nya buy lagi, tapi higher low nya ga berbentuk higher low yang firm, cuma kaya pullback dikit, karena sebelumnya abis terjun, mending cari aman tunggu firm higher low terbentuk

INDF – stoch buy macd buy, MFI sw, wave 4 udah done sambil tutup gap, harusnya run wave 5. Tapi yang lain ijo index ijo ini mah 2 hari turun, sektornya juga lagi melemah, nanti dulu deh, BD sama FF juga yang tadinya akum terus turun entrynya

MNCN – skip

ISAT – kecuali bandarmology samaforeign flow udah ok sih, ABC correction done, stoch buy, macd up, MFI sw, ada cup and handle siap breakout, tapi ga akan breakout kalo BD FF ga gerak, tunggu breakout ata mulai akum aja ya

PTPP – masih bikin lower low terus, support kuat udah tembus, ada lagi support kuat di 485. Tunggu spec buy disitu, atau entry setelah bikin higher low