Daily Analysis 20230113

January 13th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher, Nasdaq clinches fifth day of gains after CPI report shows cooling inflation

Stocks closed higher Thursday after December’s consumer price report showed inflation cooled for the month, raising hopes the Federal Reserve can once again slow interest rate hikes.

Dow…….34190 +216.96 +0.64%
Nasdaq.11001 +69.4. +0.64%
S&P 500..3983 +13.6 +0.34%

FTSE…….7794 +69.1 +0.89%
Dax……..15058 +110.4 +0.74%
CAC……..6976 +51.5 +0.74%

Nikkei…..26450 +3.8 +0.01%
HSI………21514 +78.1 +0.36%
Shanghai…3164 +1.6 +0.05%
ST Times..3268 -3.7 -0.11%

IDX…..6629.93 +45.48 +0.69%
LQ45….905.68 +10.73 +1.20%

IDX Energy..2089.81 -21.78 -1.03%
IDX BscMat 1237.27 +14.26 +1.17%
IDX Indstrl…1135.06 +7.76 +0.69%
IDXNONCYC..721.76 +2.35 +0.33%
IDX Hlthcare1530.34 -2.74. -0.18%
IDXCYCLIC…813.15 +3.73 +0.46%
IDX Techno.5161.45 +84.35 +1.66%
IDX Transp..1625.81 -15.41 -0.94%
IDX Infrast…..843.42 +1.91 +0.23%
IDX Finance 1359.80 +21.93 +1.64%
IDX Banking1078.08 +21.44 +2.03%
IDX Property….693 +7.80 +1.14%

Indo10Yr.6.8487 -0.0572 -0.83%👍
ICBI…348.5588 +1.1720 +0.34%👍
US10Yr..3.4490 -0.1050 -2.95%
VIX…..18.83 -2.26 -10.72%👍

USDIndx102.2540 -0.9970 -0.97%👍
Como Indx.273.77 +2.50 +0.92%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..171.55 +1.39 +0.82%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15338.50 -143.00 -0.92%👍
Jisdor..15366.00 -161.00 -1.03%👍

Euro……1.0850 +0.0094 +0.87%👍

TLKM…..25.08 +0.45 +1.83%
(3854)
EIDO…..22.30 +0.58 +2.67%
EEM……41.03 +0.20 +0.49%

Oil…….78.39 +0.98 +1.27%
Gold ..1898.80 +19.90 +1.06%‼️
Timah…26813 +953.00 +3.69%‼️
(Closed 11/01)
Nickel.27789.50 +1829.0 +7.05%‼️
(Closed 12/01)
Silver…….24.00 +0.52 +2.23%
Copper..419.65 +3.05 +0.73%

Nturl Gas..3.681 -0.012 -0.32%

Ammonia.4290.00 -33.33 -0.77%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(11/01)

Coal price..377.50 +7.50 +2.02%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price..342.90 +7.65 +2.28%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.316.90 +7.15 +2.31%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price..172.70 +7.70 +4.67%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price..173.80 +10.85 +6.66%‼️
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..173.10 +10.65 +6.56%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)…..3891 -18 -0.46%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……….671.00 +15.00 +2.29%
SoybeanOil..63.25 +1.14 +1.84%
Wheat……..742.75 +2.75 +0.37%

Wood pulp…6330.00. -20 -0.31%
(Closed 12/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Again, almost ijo semua, kecuali singapore… Semoga lanjut

Commodity naik semua kecuali gas dan cpo, firm lanjut ini sih. Coal naik significant walau belum sampe 400 lagi, harusnya bawa rebound

IHSG – mantul di support kuat, harusnya lanjut ke atas. stoch mulai oversold, mulai flat, MACD mulai flattening juga, foregn masih NFS tapi mengecil, DS akum tipis, MFI masih sw, sabar jangan aggerssive dulu, bisa buy yang firm jalan di moment yang tepat

Firm, Basic Materials jalan, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, yang mau nyusul Transportation, Financials, Industrials. Property dari awal pas mulai gerak memang mencurigakan, akhirnya lemes juga

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO BBCA BBTN BFIN EMTK MEDC MIKA WIKA AKRA CTRA LINK PRDA SMRA

MACD Buy Signal: HRUM INKP MEDC PRDA

ADRO – Stoch buy, MACD down flattening, MFI flat, NFB seminggu, BD acc3 hari, last day acc, ada 2 gap diatas, sekarang di area Modus Vol Profile 200D, support/resistance kuat, harusnya mantul, walau ga bisa expect long run lagi, udah ga lama lagi winternya. Spec Buy ADRO

BBCA – belum nih… stoch buy, macd down, MFI sw, FF BD masih dist, reg bull div MACD histogram, belum confirm, LR di edge lower channel, mungkin mantul, tapi buat swing belum ok

BBTN – hampir sama dengan BBCA, bedanya di 2 minggu terakhir vol nya rame. Ditunggu mantulnya lebih asik ini BBTN. WNS dulu tapi ya

BFIN skip

EMTK – menarik, keliatan udah ga mau dibawa turun lagi, walau FF BD masih dist, MACD up, stoh buy (walau baru ngebalik dari sell), reg bull div confirmed by MA10, sektornya mulai melemah, tapi asal stoploss ketat ok sih buat spec buy di emtk

MEDC – stoch buy macd buy, bandar acc terus tapi harga belum diangkat, ff net sell tipis, tapi inside, ada 2 gap dibawah, oil price lagi naik juga sih tapi ga significant padahal MEDC nya udah naik tinggi. Relatively lebih menarik ELSA dari harga yang belum diangkat tinggi dan rasio keuangan. Udah dalam rangka wave 5 sih keliatannya, ga bisa expect long run lagi. WNS deh, tunggu foreign balik akum

MIKA – stoch buy macd buy, FNB udah 2 minguan except 2-3 hari dist,MFI up, BD movement up tapi di vol 3hari minus, keliatannya sih continuation ya, ada hidbulldiv juga pas awal januari, supertrend up, alligator buy, berani buy sih ini harusnya…

WIKA – Skip, tunggu higher low aja

AKRA – bareng MEDC gerak, stoch buy macd belum, BD acc FF dist, MFI sw, ada spike 26 dec, reg bull div confirmed by MA10, mantul di LR, dan pas vol profile juga, tunggu MACD deh biar konfirmasi divergence 1 lagi

CTRA – stoch buy (bolak balik sih), macd dikit lagi, MFI up dkit, FF BD dist, tweezer top 2 kali, itungan fibo buat abc masih dibawah, lr belum mentok, WNS dulu deh

LINK – skip

PRDA – stoch buy macd buy mfi up, tapi yang lain jelek, ga berani, kalo pun naik mungkin technical rebound aja, kita liat lagi pas BD sama FF udah akum lagi

SMRA – sama kaya CTRA, stoch macd buy MFI up, BD FF dist, kayanya sih mau mantul, tapi belum sekarang… Financials dulu lah, baru property

HRUM – yang ini pas coal lain lari malah belum ikutan, sekarang stoch up macd buy, MFI up DB FF acc, ada freq spike, bisa sih spec buy disini, walau personally saya prefer ADRO atau INDY

INKP – stoch up, macd buy, mfi sideways, BD acc last day dist tipis, FF acc sempet dist tipis, PBV 0.58, retracement pattern 0-38-23-61 harusnya, udah start mantul di fibo 23, mantul di LR, regular bullish divergence MACD histogram, confirmed by 2bull candle, MA10 and MACD buy signal, Basic Materials sektor lagi jalan, BUY!!!