Daily Analysis 20230109

January 09th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks stage first big rally of 2023 as hope grows that inflation will ease, Dow closes up 700 points

U.S. stocks advanced Friday after the December jobs report and an economic activity survey showed signs that inflation may be cooling, signaling that the Federal
Reserve’s interest rate hikes are having their intended effect.

Dow…….33631 +700.5 +2.13%
Nasdaq.10569 +264.1 +2.56%
S&P 500..3895 +86.98 +2.28%

FTSE…….7670 +66.04 +0.87%
Dax……..14610 +173.7 +1.20%
CAC……..6861 +99.5 +1.47%

Nikkei…..25974 +153.1 +0.59%
HSI………20992 -60.5 -0.29%
Shanghai…3158 +2.4 +0.08%
ST Times..3277 -15.9 -0.48%

IDX…..6684.56 +30.72 +0.46%
LQ45….913.02 +3.36 +0.37%

IDX Energy..2119.86 +29.34 +1.40%
IDX BscMat 1222.34 +21.89 +1.82%
IDX Indstrl…1138.16 +7.85 +0.69%
IDXNONCYC..726.04 +6.80 +0.95%
IDX Hlthcare1541.57 +0.81 +0.05%
IDXCYCLIC…822.22. -2.46 -0.30%
IDX Techno.5100.91 +23.02 +0.45%
IDX Transp..1621.01 +14.82 +0.92%
IDX Infrast…..848.42 -7.16 -0.84%
IDX Finance 1373.23 -5.30 -0.38%
IDX Banking 1110.66 -3.73 -0.34%
IDX Property….688 +3.60 +0.52%

Indo10Yr.7.0285 -0.0039 -0.06%
ICBI…345.1791 +0.1847 +0.05%
US10Yr..3.7200 +0.0110 +0.30%
VIX…..21.13 -1.33 -5.92%

USDIndx103.8790 -1.250 -1.19%
Como Indx.264.82 +1.13 +0.43%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..162.89 +2.56 +1.59%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15632.50 +16.00 +0.10%
Jisdor..15635.00 +25.00 +0.16%

Euro……1.0648 +0.0146 +1.39%

TLKM…..24.10 +0.07 +0.29%
(3768)
EIDO…..21.98 +0.38 +1.76%
EEM……40.07 +0.82 +2.09%

Oil…….73.77 +0.10 +0.14%
Gold ..1869.70 +29.10 +1.58%
Timah…25270 +409 +1.65%
(Closed 06/01)
Nickel.28824.50 +915.00 +3.28%‼️
(Closed 06/01)
Silver…….23.98 +0.56 +2.38%
Copper..391.10 +9.00 +2.36%

Nturl Gas..3.761 -0.013 -0.34%

Ammonia..4606.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/01)

Coal price….396.15 -1.35 -0.34%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….368.50 -3.50 -0.94%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….343.80 -3.70 -1.06%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price…172.30 -5.45 -3.06%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price..170.70 -7.20 -4.05%‼️
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..170.45 -7.90 -4.42%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)…..4052 -38 -0.93%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……….654.00 +1.25 +0.19%
SoybeanOil..63.17 +0.75 +1.20%
Wheat……..743.50 -3.25 -0.44%

Wood pulp…6410.00. -10 -0.16%
(Closed 05/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at closing ijo semua kecuali hongkong sama singapore, US ijo tebel

Metal2 an naik semua, Oil naik tipis, gas rebound dikit, coal sempet naik lagi ke 400 usd/mt turun lagi ke 396, cpo turun

 

IHSG – minor ABC correction udah bisa dianggap done kali, kalo sampe tembus titik awal elliot wave di 6559 bisa bubar… Kemaren yang jadi urusan masih NFS dan bandar lokal ga nahan, malah ikutan buang, drop jauh deh. Jum’at masih NFS tapi ngurangin, BD akum, walhasil ijo. Semoga senin mulai NFB. Stoch masih down dan MACD sell, belum bisa langsung rally ini kayanya, tapi semoga ga koreksi lebih jauh, cuma konsolidasi sebelum mantul. Jangan aggressive dulu

Basic Materials yang menarik, consumer non-cyclicals ganjel index, property surprisingly terlihat menguat padahal suku bunga bank naik, Technology melesu, Infrastructure juga

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRPT CPIN HMSP PTBA DSNG LINK

MACD Buy Signal: ERAA INCO DSNG MPMX

BRPT – Stoch buy, MACD up, , MFI up, big acc tgl 3 jan lanjut 2 hari dist tipis terus akum lagi, close diatas fibo 23 –> konfirmasi retracement pattern, lg deket area modus vol profile 200 hari, BOW di tengah last candle, target sell terdekat di fibo 38 @865

Dari average price bandar relatif aman…

CPIN – stoch buy, macd almost buy, BD 3 hari acc, FF 4 hari acc last day dist, MFI flat, lagi kejedot resistance kuat 6000, belum breakout resistance pake volume, vol masih tipis2, bisa spec buy ini, nanti kalo breakout with vol baru nambah. Sektor juga lagi gerak

HMSP skip

PTBA – skip

DSNG – ini CPO belum sebenernya, AALI LSIP turun lagi, tapi DSNG akumulasi bandar dan foreign nya gila, terus terusan… Stoch Buy, MACD Buy, MFI up, ret pattern udah deket fibo 61, dari fase sideways keliatan kaya mau breakout, LR slope up, baru cross Midline. Yang berani spec buy bisa sih

LINK – skip

ERAA – stoch up, macd buy lagi, MFI up, BD FF last day acc, triple bottom, reg bull div confirmed buy MA10 and MACD buy signal, buyback udahan… Spec buy ok

INCO – stoch up, macd buy, BD FF acc, MFI up, wave 3 ongoing, tapi ada opening gap hari ini, dan kemaren ada gap juga di bawah, udha ketemu reg bear banyak banget, mengkhawatirkan… Saya pribadi stick sama ANTM dan MDKA aja

MPMX – masuk kategory value investing, stoch up macd buy, mfi up, BD FF acc, ret pattern done, lanjut elliot wave wave 3, LR cross midline, BOW tengah candle kemaren idealnya, kalo ga dapet amend di closing