Daily Analysis 20230104

January 04th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close lower on first trading day of 2023, hurt by slumping Apple, Tesla

Stocks closed lower Tuesday, giving up earlier gains, as concerns such as rising rates and high inflation that knocked the market down last year continued to trouble investors in the new year.

Dow…….33136 -10.9 -0.03%
Nasdaq.10387 -79.5 -0.76%
S&P 500..3824 -15.4 -0.40%

FTSE…….7554 +102.4 +1.37%
Dax……..14182 +112.4 +0.80%
CAC……..6624 +29.3. +0.44%

Nikkei…..26094 closed +0%
HSI………20145 +363.9 +1.84%
Shanghai…3117 +27.3. +0.88%
ST Times..3245 -5.5 -0.17%

IDX…….6888.76 +37.77 +0.55%
LQ45……940.46 +5.38 +0.57%

IDX Energy..2284.80 +9.10 +0.40%
IDX BscMat 1239.07 +21.31+1.75%
IDX Indstrl…1181.63 +4.98 +0.42%
IDXNONCYC..723.71 +2.90 +0.40%
IDX Hlthcare.1561.63+23.17+1.51%
IDXCYCLIC…..851.37 +1.66 +0.20%
IDX Techno..5213.19 +35.14+0.68%
IDX Transp…1674.94 +11.39+0.68%
IDX Infrast……886.90 +17.14+1.97%
IDX Finance 1414.85 -1.85 -0.13%
IDX Banking 1148.82 +1.27 +0.11%
IDX Property….707 -3.50 -0.50%

Indo10Yr.7.0423 +0.0332 +0.47%
ICBI….344.5732 -0.4544 -0.13%
US10Yr..3.7930 -0.0860 -2.22%
VIX…..22.90 +1.23 +5.68%

USDIndx.104.6830 +1.1610 +1.12%
Como Indx.270.18 -7.57 -2.73%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..165.46 +0.12 +0.07%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15601.00 +28.50 +0.18%
Jisdor..15590.00 +18.00 +0.12%

Euro……1.0546 -0.0118 -1.11%

TLKM…..24.40 +0.55 +2.31%‼️
(3804)
EIDO…….22.42 +0.03 +0.13%
EEM……..38.22 +0.32 +0.84%

Oil…….76.93b -3.33 -4.15%‼️
Gold …1846.10 +19.90 +1.09%
Timah….24808 – -%
(Closed 30/12)
Nickel.31335.50 +1277.00 +4.25%
(Closed 03/01)
Silver…….24.24 +0.20 +0.82%
Copper…376.65 -4.40 -1.15%

Nturl Gas..4.009 -0.421 -9.50%‼️

Ammonia..4673.33 +50.00 +1.08%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/01)

Coal price….393.10 +3.50 +0.90%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….360.65 -2.35 -0.65%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….336.95 -2.60 -0.77%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price…187.25 -3.25 -1.71%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price..188.05 -1.95 -1.03%
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..187.10 -1.60 -0.86%
(Mar/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..4255 +77 +1.84%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….670.50 -8.00 -1.18%
SoybeanOil…63.20 -0.87 -1.36%
Wheat………775.50 -16.50 -2.08%

Wood pulp…6446.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US start 2023 minus, europe ijo… Asia kemaren kebanyakan ijo, IHSG ijo tebel, semoga lanjut…

Oil drop jadi dibawah 80 usd/barrel, gas drop, coal naik, gold nickel silver up, copper down, CPO lanjut naik. Bagus buat ANTM MDKA INCO LSIP AALI.

IHSG – breakout ascending triangle lanjut, semoga rally panjang wave 3 nya. Mulai NFB, akhirnya… MACD masih firm, stoch down semoga cepet rev up, MFI flat, BD masih akum terus. Bisa belanja di yang pada buy signals

Infrastructure kemaren menggila, Telco naik besar, JSMR naik juga. Technology masih jalan, GOTO lagi diangkat

Stoch Buy Signal: ARTO INCO JPFA KLBF SMGR MPMX TKIM WSKT

Infobank15 sama Basic Material juga, semoga bank jalan index confirmed lari

MACD Buy Signal: ERAA MDKA SMGR PWON WIIM

ARTO skip…

INCO – stoch buy, MACD down, FF last day ACC, BD masih dist, MFI SW, masih wave 3, LR mentok bawah mungkin mantul, tapi ada gap di 6750, idealnya sih buy pas gap closing. Karena MACD juga belum buy, idealnya tunggu gap closing dulu…

JPFA – breakout with volume, supertrend kemaren lusa buy, stoch buy, macd up, elliot wave reverse udah done, BD FF acc, bisa BOW, udah naik 2 hari idealnya di opening price kemaren, atau pasang di tengah candle kemaren

KLBF – stoch buy macd rev up almost buy, BD acc tipis, FF dist terus, MFI up, udah naik tinggi sambil FF dist, rada mengkhawatirkan, sektor juga lagi ga jalan, saya skip deh, mending yang baru mau mantul aja

SMGR – ini menarik, FF udah akum terus even sebelum turun, dan pas turun, issue nya cukup bagus berarti untuk mereka buru2 masuk. Stoch Buy MACD Nuy, MFI sw, FF BD lagi dist, but inside, retracement pattern restart, udah ada reg bull div confirmed by 2 bull candle and MA 10. Kemaren naik dengan vol tinggi. Bisa spec buy, pas vol breakout sambil tembus resistance nambah

MPMX – masuk saham kategory value investing… Stoch buy, macd almost buy, BD flat, FF last day ngebalik acc dari dist, MFI flat, ada freq spike, retracement pattern done, terus koreksi, bisa mulai ditarik elliot wave running wave 3 ini. BOW

TKIM – abis drop besar, mantul belum tembus fibo 23 terus koreksi, ketemu reg bull div, confirmed buy 2 bull candle and ma10, udah bikin higher low, ok buat buy, stop loss di break down previous low 7000

WSKT – tunggu higher low deh, terjunnya jauh banget, berkali kali bikin lower low. Kemaren adhi masuk spec buy masih gagal mantul. Skip dulu

ERAA – udah beres buyback, udah puas akum, FF inside, BD masih mainin bolak balik, Stoch buy MACD buy, reg bull div RSI confirmed by 2 bull candle MA10 and MACD buy signal. BUY

MDKA – yang ditunggu2… Gold price up, Stoch Up, MACD buy, BD flat, FF acc, MFI sw, breakout fibo 38, otw 61 or closing gap 4900, cross up midline LR, BOW tengah candle kemaren plus 1 tick

Idealnya dapet buy di harga AVG nya ZP, 4190

PWON – stoch up 833 sell, macd buy, MFI sw, BD FF akum tipis, lumayan ok sih, kalo ga ada sentimen kenaikan suku bunga berani buy. Relatively mending beli di sektor lain dulu

WIIM skip