Daily Analysis 20221212

December 12th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow tumbles 300 points Friday, posts worst week since September

Stocks finished lower Friday, with all the major averages posting losses for the week as worries persisted over continued rate hikes.

Dow…….33476 -305.02 -0.90%
Nasdaq.11005 -77.4. -0.70%
S&P 500..3934 -29.1 -0.73%

FTSE…….7477 +4.5 +0.06%
Dax……..14371 +106.2 +0.74%
CAC……..6677 +30.3 +0.46%

Nikkei….27901 +326.6 +1.18%
HSI……..19901 +450.6 +2.32%
Shanghai..3207 +9.6 +0.30%
ST Times..3246 +9.9 +0.31%

IDX…….6715.12 -89.11 -1.31%
LQ45……933.01 -11.21 -1.19%

IDX Energy..2114.33 -55.96 -2.58%
IDX BscMat 1248.80 -4.64 -0.37%
IDX Indstrl…1167.50 -17.33 -1.46%
IDXNONCYC..719.31 -7.88 -1.08%
IDX Hlthcare.1529.19 -19.22 -1.24%
IDXCYCLIC…..863.09 -9.55 -1.11%
IDX Techno….5193.21-93.46 -1.77%
IDX Transp…1694.01 -6.02. -0.35%
IDX Infrast……854.97 -7.60 -0.88%
IDX Finance 1430.18 -8.54 -0.59%
IDX Banking 1153.21 -7.07 -0.61%
IDX Property….708 -4.20 -0.60%

Indo10Yr…7.0359 -0.0219 -0.31%
ICBI…….342.9951 +0.2918 -0.09%
US10Yr..3.5670 +0.0760 +2.18%
VIX……22.83 +0.54 +2.42%

USDIndx..104.8100 -0.0030 -0.002%
Como Indx..266.28 -0.12 -0.05%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..169.84 -0.85 -0.50%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15583.00 -37.50 -0.24%
Jisdor..15587.00 -37.00 -0.24%

Euro……1.0533 -0.0024 -0.23%

TLKM……..23.31 -0.34 -1.44%
(3633)
EIDO……….22.48 -0.37 -1.62%
EEM……….39.02 -0.26 -0.66%

Oil………….71.02 -0.44 -0.62%
Gold ……1810.70 +9.20 +0.51%
Timah…..24290 -335 -1.36%
(Closed 09/12)
Nickel…28822.50 -659.00 -2.23%
(Closed 09/12)
Silver………23.72 +0.47 +2.03%
Copper….387.85 -0.50 -0.13%

Nturl Gas…..6.307 +0.372 +6.27%

Ammonia..4890.00 – +%
China
(Domestic Price)(07/12)

Coal price….402.50 +7.00 +1.77%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….378.85 +3.25 +0.86%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price…..372.50 +2.50 +0.68%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….260.90 +4.40 +1.72%
(Des/Rotterdam)
Coal price….253.90 +3.15 +1.26%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….254.90 +2.90 +1.15%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)…..3987 +36 +0.91%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….644.00 +1.50 +0.23%
SoybeanOil…59.54 -0.94 -1.55%
Wheat………734.25 -12.00 -1.61%

Wood pulp…6510.00 -40 -0.61%
(Closed 11/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing merah pas jum’at, europe ijo, asia ijo kecuali IHSG yang turun dalem, harusnya rebound hari ini…

Metal metal varied, yang kesorot nikel yang turun agak besar. Oil masih turun, gas rebound tinggi, coal naik lagi ke atas 400 (harusnya aman ini lanjut rebound nya), CPO naik dikit, tapi masih belum firm trend nya

IHSG – diluar ada dalam area support kuat, technical nya index jelek banget, masih FNS terus, bandar juga banyakan distribusi, memang selama GOTO ARB terus berat banget ngangkat index, market cap nya terlalu besarbuat digendong yang lain. Tapi semoga di banks mulai akum, jadi tinggal nunggu mentoknya GOTO nanti mulai rebound index

Disini financials mulai ada kehidupan. Leading nya masih energy, healthcare, consumer non-cyclicals, sama property tapi keliatan mulai lesu

Stoch Buy Signal: BUKA KLBF ADHI

MACD Buy Signal: ERAA

BUKA – stoch buy, macd still down, bandar masih dist tipis, FF akum tipis 2 hari, kalo mau bikin higher low udah cukup lah dari fibonya, lebih rendah lagi bisa breakdown lagi malah. Masih ada gap menganga di atas, tapi IT IT ini liar sekali, ga berani masuk sembarangan

KLBF – stoch buy, macd almost buy, FF BD masih dist, vol sepi, udah kena bear div, udah nongol 1 red candle, bahaya longsor lagi. Skip

ADHI – stoch buy, macd buy, bandar udah akum seminggu, FF mostly akum dalam sebulan terakhir, MFI Flat, reg bullish div MACD confirmed by 2 bull candle and MACD, LR slope down. Masih beresiko, tapi spec buy udah ok, break 475 buang. BOW half, tunggu vol breakout half, pantau ketat

Pompom berita semakin dihembuskan…

Way below broker’s average, dari sisi harga sih aman…

Dan pas price terjun bandarnya akum, nampungin cutloss nya orang lain

Ada spike pas sideways, ok lah, firm buy

ERAA – stoch buy, macd buy, BD FF 2 hari big akum, sebelumnya udah 2 mingguan FF akum, MFI up, Reg Bull Div confirmed by 2 bull candle and MAD buy signal, target sel di harga terbanyak vol profile, di deket 500… Cocok sama fibo 38

https://www.emitennews.com/news/sepi-peminat-distributor-iphone-erajaya-eraa-baru-serap-buyback-rp1928-miliar

Buy back udah beres, udah waktunya goreng lagi

Harga aman…

Abis spike jual harga dibanting, terus pas sideways ada spike lagi walau ga terlalu tinggi… Tapi ok sih