Daily Analysis 20221130

November 30th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close lower for third day as investors look to Fed Chair Powell’s speech

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed lower for a third straight session Tuesday as traders struggled to recover from sharp losses suffered in the previous session and looked ahead to more economic tea leaves coming later in the week.

Dow…….33853 +3.1 +0.01%
Nasdaq.10984 -65.7 -0.59%
S&P 500..3958 -6.3 -0.16%

FTSE…….7512 +37.98 +0.51%
Dax……..14356 -27.9 -0.19%
CAC……..6669 +3.8 +0.06%

Nikkei….28028 -134.99 -0.48%
*HSI……..18205 +906.7 +5.24%*
Shanghai..3150 +71.2 +2.31%
ST Times..3276 +36.3 +1.12%

IDX…….7012.07 -5.29 -0.08%
LQ45……995.22 -1.54 -0.15%

IDX Energy..2071.96 +34.40 +1.69%
IDX Bsc Mat.1280.35 +7.00 +0.55%
IDX Industrl..1280.35 +3.70 +0.30%
IDXNONCYC..738.45 +0.68 +0.09%
IDX Hlthcare.1518.79 +23.36 +1.56%
IDXCYCLIC…..890.67 +0.26 +0.03%
*IDX Techno.6004.76 -174.38 -2.82%‼️*
IDX Transp…1777.65 -2.59 -0.15%
IDX Infrast……895.58 -0.13 -0.01%
IDX Finance 1482.65 -2.77 -0.19%,
IDX Banking 1197.86 +5.38 +0.45%
IDX Property….710 +1.00 +0.14%

*Indo10Yr….7.1526 -0.0197 -0.27%👍*
*ICBI……..341.1362 +0.3482 +0.10%👍*
*US10Yr..3.7480 +0.0450 +1.22%*
VIX……21.89 -0.32 -1.44%

*USDIndx..106.8310 +0.1740 +0.16%‼️*
Como Indx..272.92 -0.33 -0.12%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……158.10 +2.46 +1.58%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15742.50 +20.50 +0.13%‼️*
*Jisdor..15737.00 +8.00 +0.05%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0329 -0.0014 -0.14%*

TLKM……..25.11 +0.07 +0.28%
*(3952)*
EIDO………23.31 +0.03 +0.13%
*EEM……….38.41 +0.81 +2.15%*

Oil………….78.20 +0.96 +1.24%
Gold ……1763.70 +8.40 +0.48%
Timah…..22354 +123.00 +0.55%
*(Closed 28/11)*
*Nickel…26869.50 +1302.50 +5.09%‼️*
*(Closed 29/11)*
Silver………21.44 +0.31 +1.47%
Copper…..363.95 +2.40 +0.66%

Nturl Gas…..7.274 -0.055 -0.75%

Ammonia..4590.00 unch +0%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(28/11)

*Coal price….387.40 +8.40 +2.22%*
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….373.50 +5.00 +1.36%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….365.25 +3.60 +1.00%
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price….260.00 +11.00 +4.42%‼️*
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….260.50 +10.60 +4.24%‼️*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….258.40 +10.00 +4.03%‼️*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

*CPO(Feb)……4223 +89 +2.15%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….669.50 -1.75 -0.26%
SoybeanOil…72.97 -0.14 -0.19%
Wheat………781.50 +0.75 +0.10%

Wood pulp…6590.00 unch +0%
(Closed 29/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

DJI plus dikit, nasdaq masih minus, europe mulai menghijau, asia kemaren pada ijo kecuali nikkei sama ihsg. Harusnya ijo hari ini…

Metal2 mantul, nikel naik tinggi

Oil rebound, Coal lanjut naik, gas koreksi dikit, sektor energy mau memimpin santa claus rally kah? Probably…

Harga CPO mulai menarik, terlihat mantul, kita tunggu AALI dan LSIP nongol buy signal

Sudah di sekitar fibo 23, harusnya lanjut ke 38…

IHSG – stoch sell, MACD sell, masih FNB, MFI flat, dibawa sideways sampe kapan ini index, ga lanjut2 wave 3 aja, keliatannya ga jadi ascending triangle, bakal jadi darvas box aja… Kita check Infobank lagi deh, biar bisa didateksi emang mau dibawa turun dulu apa nggak

Infobank15 – seminggu FNB terus, memang stoch dan macd masih sideways, MFI mulai up, ini kayanay tinggal nunggu momentum breakout, sekalian tutup gap. Safe to say bahwa index ga akan dibanting sih

Masih Energy Property, diikuti Industrials, Healthcare sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals dan Consumer Cyclicals, pada ganjel aja ini keliatannya nunggu financials manggung lagi

Stochastic Buy Signal: INCO MIKA UNVR ELSA

MACD Buy Signal: MIKA. Memang kemaren naik tinggi banget sih, kita liat apa masih lanjut atau emang udah sekali jalan doang

INCO – Stoch Buy, MACD almost buy, MFI SW FF 3 hari FNB, bandar 2 hari dist, EW harusnya wave 3, triange pattern break ke atas tapi ga kenceng, target lumayan tinggi. Tapi historicalnya INCO gerak seiring bandar movement, jadi dengan posisi BD distribusi jangan dulu, walau FF akum

MIKA – stoch buy, macd by, MFI naik dikit, BD akum FNB walau masih tipis, masih wave 3, LR juga up, bisa BOW di tengah candle kemaren plus 1 tick

UNVR – stoch buy, macd buy, BD 3 hari akum, FF masih bolak balik, MFI up,ada gap 2 gede di atas, retracement pattern 0-38-23 harusnya sekarang otw 61. Tapi PBV PER udah 30 itu kemahalan banget, Saya pribadi skip, kalo yang mau buy technically ok sih

ELSA – stoch buy tapibolak balik, macd masih down, MFI up, BD FF bist, ret pattern abis kejedot fibo 50 dibawa hampir 23 lagi, ke area banyak transaksi dalam 200 bar terakhir, harusnya sih mantul lagi, tapi tunggu MACD dan BD FF akum deh