Daily Analysis 20230216

February 16th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close slightly higher, Nasdaq notches 3-day win streak as investors weigh retail sales and inflation data

Stocks ticked higher Wednesday as traders mulled what strong retail sales along with the latest U.S. inflation data mean for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hiking campaign.

Dow…….34129 +38.8 +0.11%
Nasdaq.12071 +110.5 +0.92%
*@S&P 500..4148 +11.5 +0.28%

FTSE…….7998 +43.98 +0.55%
Dax……..15506 +125.8 +0.82%
CAC……..7301 +87.1 +1.21%

Nikkei…..27502 -100.9 -0.37%
HSI………20812 -301.6 -1.43%
Shanghai..3280 -12.8 -0.39%

IDX…..6914.54 -27.32 -0.39%
LQ45….957.64 -2.67 -0.28%
IDX30…497.86 -1.46. -0.29%

IDXEnergy…2109.61 -2.13 -0.10%
IDX BscMat 1262.25 -6.02 -0.47%
IDX Indstrl…1158.36 -4.31 -0.37%
IDXNONCYC..759.46 +0.67 +0.09%
IDX Hlthcare1617.13 +4.82 +0.30%
IDXCYCLIC…845.08 -1.58 -0.19%
IDX Techno5528.40 -72.11 -1.29%
IDX Transp1831.57 -23.15 -1.25%
IDX Infrast….859.10 -1.29 -0.15 %
IDX Finance1426.36 -9.74 -0.68%
IDX Banking1165.33 -10.61-0.90%
IDX Property….697 -6.40 -0.91%

Indo10Yr.6.7774+0.0081 +0.12%
ICBI..350.4552 -0.1658 -0.05%
US10Yr.3.8090 +0.0480 +1.28%
VIX……18.23 -0.68 -3.60%👍

USDIndx103.8220+0.5530+0.54%
Como Indx.270.38 -3.18 -1.16%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..161.85 -2.49 -1.52%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15206.50 +39.50 +0.26%
Jisdor.15194.00 +26.00 +0.17%

Euro……1.0690 -0.0045 -0.42%

TLKM….24.96 -0.43 -1.69%
(3792)
EIDO……23.40 -0.11 -0.47%
EEM……40.11 -0.34 -0.84%

Oil……..78.59 -0.47 -0.59%
Gold 1845.30 -20.10 -1.08%
Timah 26817 -711.00 -2.58%
(Closed 02/14)
Nickel.26026.50 -461.00 -1.74%
(Closed 02/15)
Silver…….21.63 +0.05 +0.25%
Copper..402.55 +1.50 +0.37%

Nturl Gas.2.466 -0.135 -5.19%‼️

Ammonia4406.67 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/14)

Coal price.219.90 +0.40 +0.18%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price196.00 +1.50 +0.77%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 195.40 +2.50 +1.30%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 197.10 +3.00. +1.55%
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.136.50 +2.50 +1.83%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 142.00+10.25 +7.78%‼️
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price140.00 +9.25 +7.07%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price139.00 +8.25 +6.31%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)….3935 -20 -0.50%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..674.00 -5.75 -0.85%
SoybeanOil..61.44 +0.91 +1.50%
Wheat…….780.25 -16.50 -2.07%

Wood pulp…6050.00 -10 -0.17%
(Closed 02/15)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe ijo, asia yang kemaren masih pada merah, semoga hari ini ikutan ijo lagi

Oil merah, gas merah, coal gantian ijo, semoga lanjut dorong ADRO naik tinggi selain issue buyback. Metal2 masih merah kecuali silver copper, kemaren MDKA udah mulai jalan, jangan dulu entry tapi, sabar tunggu firm reversal, CPO merah lagi

IHSG – stoch balik sell, macd sw,last day NFS, MFI down, BD acc, alligator up, ST up, minor correction udah kena fibo 38 terus mantul, harusnya test resistance 6961, candle terakhir low lower shadow, bullish candle tanda perlawanan market ga mau dibawa turun, semoga ijo ikut US

Tinggal Healthcare, Infrastructure melemah, financials belum keliatan jalan padahal bank bank mulai gerak, BRIS gila 15% kemaren

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA AMRT

MACD Buy Signal: AKRA BRIS BRPT AGRO BSSR

Kalo MTEL closing diatas 710 supertrend nya buy signal, bisa nambah sampe full load

AKRA – stoch buy macd buy, mfi down w% sw, BD FF generally dist, 2 hari lalu acc kemaren dist lagi, ew failed, harga minyak turun, skip dulu

AMRT – stoch buy macd up 833 up,MFI sw, BD FF dist, mau retest resistance 3090, pas 1 feb false break, w% uptrend, yang berani spec buy setengah bisa sih, kalo saya PER 49 mah skip

BRIS – MACD buy, kalo standar sih harusnya jadi buy ngelengkapin load, tapi udah naik 15% gini serba salah… SKIP aja deh tungu BTPS dan bank lain nyusul, jangan FOMO

BRPT – harusnya otw fibo 61 di 940, stoch up macd buy, tapi MFI down, FF masih acc, BD acc tapi last daydist, TPIA nya malah sell signal stoch, agak aneh kalo ga sejalan, w% juga bilang udahan dulu uptrend nya, wns deh

AGRO – masih jelek, cuma kebawa sentimen BRIS aja ini mah, skip…

BSSR – technical nya lumayan sih, stoch buy macd buy,833 buy,posisi lagi bikin higher low, MFI sw, FF dist, BD mulai acc, W% beres downtrend, ada gap di atas, ada reg bull div confirmed by MA 10 and MACD buy signal, yang iseng mau beli saham market cap biasa biasa mangga spec buy, saya skip