Daily Analysis 20221213

December 13th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 500 points higher to start the week as investors await Fed meeting, inflation data

The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped Monday, clawing back some of the steep losses from the previous week, as traders looked ahead to a highly anticipated Federal Reserve meeting and new inflation data.

Dow…….34005 +528.6 +1.58%
Nasdaq.11144 +139.1 +1.26%
S&P 500..3991 +56.2 +1.43%

FTSE…….7446 -30.7 -0.41%
Dax……..14306 -64.1 -0.45%
CAC……..6651 -27.1 -0.41%

Nikkei….27842 -58.7 -0.21%
HSI……..19464 -437.2 -2.20%
Shanghai..3179 -27.9 -0.87%
ST Times..3240 -6.3 -0.19%

IDX…….6734.45 +19.33 +0.29%
LQ45……938.75 +5.74 +0.61%

IDX Energy..2125.64 +11.31 +0.54%
IDX BscMat 1250.80 +2.00 +0.16%
IDX Indstrl…1170.02 +2.52 +0.16%
IDXNONCYC..728.03 +8.72 +1.21%
IDX Hlthcare.1540.42 +11.23 +0.73%
IDXCYCLIC…..853.47 +0.37 +0.04%
*IDX Techno..5071.19 -122.03 -2.35%*
IDX Transp…1711.99 +17.98 +1.06%
IDX Infrast……852.91 -2.05 -0.24%
IDX Finance 1432.70 +2.51 +0.18%
IDX Banking 1156.21 +3.00 +0.26%
IDX Property….708 – -%

*Indo10Yr…7.0409 +0.0050 +0.07%*
*ICBI…….343.1945 +0.0670 +0.02%*
*US10Yr..3.6110 +0.0440 +1.23%*
*VIX……25.00 +2.17 +9.51%‼️*

*USDIndx..105.0360 +0.2260 +0.22%*
Como Indx..269.37 +3.09 +1.16%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..168.01 -1.83 -1.08%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15627.50 +44.50 +0.29%*
*Jisdor..15642.00 +55.00 +0.35%*

*Euro……1.0537 +0.0004 +0.04%*

TLKM……..23.59 +0.28 +1.20%
*(3690)*
EIDO……….22.76 +0.28 +1.25%
EEM……….38.09 -0.12 -0.31%

*Oil………..73.17 +2.15 +3.03%‼️*
Gold ……1792.30 -18.40 -1.02%
Timah…..24290 – -%
*(Closed 09/12)*
*Nickel…29303.50 +481.00 +1.67%*
*(Closed 12/12)*
Silver………23.40 -0.31 -1.32%
Copper….380.05 -7.80 -2.01%

*Nturl Gas…..6.524 +0.217 +3.44%*

Ammonia..4890.00 – +%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(07/12)

Coal price….400.25 -2.25 -0.56%
(Dec/Newcastle)
*Coal price….373.00 -9.10 -2.38%*
(Jan/Newcastle)
*Coal price….361.25 -11.25 -3.02%‼️*
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price….250.25 -10.65 -4.08%‼️*
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….235.25 -18.65 -7.35%‼️*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….237.40 -17.50 -6.86%‼️*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

*CPO(Feb)…..3741 -246 -6.17%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….654.00 +10.00 +1.55%
*SoybeanOil.61.47 +1.93 +3.24%‼️*
*Wheat…….754.75 +20.50 +2.79%*

Wood pulp…6510.00 unch +0%
(Closed 11/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Great, US rebound, kemaren IHSG surprisingly berhasil closing ijo sih, despite GOTO yang nyeret kebawah dari awal sesi 1. Asia lain merah, europe merah, semoga semua hari ini menghijau

Metal2 umumnya turun biasanya gini kalo USD index nya naik, nikel yang naik sendiri. Oil ijo, gas ijo, giliran Coal yang merah, waktunya belanja saham coal ini kayanya, buy on dip. CPO masih kacaw, ini drop lagi

IHSG semoga outlook nya cerah begini…

 

IHSG – stoch 833 sudah buy, MACD masih down, stoch 1066 sudah melandai, masih NFS tapi makin kecil, bandar sudah start akum, MFI naik, sudah firm tutup gap, tinggal mantulnya sih. Semoga rally panjang wave 3…

 

Masih primadonanya Energy sama Healthcare, yang lain mulai loyo, mungkin mau gantian sama infrastucture dan basic materials

Yang jelas kita tunggu dan doakan cepet financials bangun

Stoch Buy Signal: BFIN CPIN ERAA BSDE MMLP PMMP WIIM

MACD Buy Signal: KLBF MEDC ASSA

BFIN – stoch buy tapi bolak balik melulu, MACD revup, MFI up, BD akum, NFS, harusnya lagi wave 3 dan dari volume profile kalo breakout dari level sekarang mungkin ngejar target 1280-an. Tapi ini belum breakout, financials juga belum jalan, masih belum

CPIN – stoch buy macd almost buy, MFI flat going up, BD big akum, last day NFB, alligator buy, supertrend up, retracement pattern says OTW to fibo 61 @6675, ada gap juga di atas 6000. Bisa spec buy, breakdown fibo 23 cutloss, breakout 6000 nambah

ERAA – akumulasi lanjut, harusnya gerakan naiknya juga lanjut, buyback udah selesai, ga ada lagi kepentingan untuk nahan harga di bawah. Stoch buy MACD up MFI up, reg bull div jalan, semoga panjang sekali swing

BSDE – belum lepas dari fase sideways, memang property kemaren radanaik ganjel index pas GOTO ARB terus, tapi belum sampe breakout. Stoch buy MACD buy, BD FF mulai akum, MFI flat, tunggu volume breakout aja ini sih… Sepertinya akan tetep, big banks jalan dulu, property nyusul

KLBF – sekilas kaya yang bagus technicalnya, ascending triangle breakout, stoch buy, macd buy, tapi harga naik sambil FF dan BD exit, mark up distribusi, kalo gini terus tinggal tunggu longsornya… Skip

MEDC – stoch up, MACD buy, MFI sw, FF last day akum, BD akum tipis, ada freq spike, menarik sih, energy juga leading. Elliot wave nya, wave 3 kaya udah, wave 4 belum cukup dalem udah naik lagi, itungannya sekarang lagi wave 5 dan udah ketemu bearish divergence CCI, agak ragu ragu jadinya… Banyak ninggalin gap juga. Tapi mending beli coal lah energynya daripada ragu. Kalo ternyata koreksi tutup gap yang harga 930 sih berani buy ga pake mikir panjang

ASSA – menarik ditunggu mantulnya. MACD buy tapi belum meyakinkan, stoch masih down, FFmasih bolak balik, last day FNB, BD masih banyakan dist,last day akum tipis, reg bull div confirmed by 2 bull candle and MACD, tunggu MA10. Tunggu bikin higher low idealnya baru ikut swing