Daily Analysis 20250903

Daily Analysis 20250903

Good morning,

September 03rd 2025

Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq tumble as rising yields, Trump tariff uncertainty rattle markets

US stocks sank on Tuesday but finished off their session lows, kicking off what is historically the worst trading month of the year as Wall Street looked ahead to a crucial jobs report that could shape expectations for interest-rate cuts.

Dow…..45296 -249.2 -0.55%
Nasdaq 21280 -176.9 -0.82%
S&P 500 6416 -44.7 -0.69%

FTSE…..9117 -79.7 -0.87%
Dax…..23487 -550.1 -2.29%
CAC…..7654 -53.7 -0.70%

Nikkei…..42310 +121.7 +0.29%
HSI……..25497 -120.9 -0.47%
Shanghai.3858 -17.4 -0.45%

IDX..7801.59 +65.6 +0.85%
LQ45..793.25 +4.55 +0.58%
IDX30.411.11 +2.13 +1.08%

IDXEnergy.3097.12 +54.93 +1.81%
IDX BscMat1700.39 +65.39 +4.03%‼️
IDX Indstr..1309.54 +21.92 +1.70%
IDXNONCYC.711.35 +7.69 +1.09%
IDX Hlthcare1727.83 +8.14 +0.47%
IDXCYCLC…..795.58 +9.91 +1.26%
IDX Techno10265.10 +131.29 +1.29%
IDX Transp 1594.46 +35.29 +2.26%
IDX Infrast .1851.69 +14.19 +0.77%
IDX Finance 1445.40 +6.36 +0.44%
IDX Banking 1032.23 -1.56 -0.15%
IDX Property..886 +25.1 +2.92%

Indo10Yr 6.4570❗️ -0.0379 -0.58%
ICBI….425.8121❗️ +0.8424 +0.20%
US2Yr.3.647 +0.024 +0.66%
US5Yr 3.736 +0.037 +1.00%
US10Yr4.273 +0.026 +0.61%
US30Yr.4.972 +0.054 +1.10%
VIX..17.17 +1.05 +6.51%‼️

USDIndx..98.3970❗️+0.630 +0.64%
Como Indx.304.38 +2.03 +0.67%
. BCOMIN..143.25 +0.71 +0.50%

IndoCDS 5yr.72.15 +1.71 +2.43%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/09)

IDR…….16414.00❗️-4.50 -0.03%
Jisdor…16418.00❗️-45.00 -0.27%

Euro..1.1641❗️-0.0065 -0.56%

TLKM..18.92 -0.47 -2.42%
( 3192)
EIDO… 17.74 +0.07 +0.40%
EEM…49.82 -0.04 -0.08%

Oil…65.57 +0.96 +1.49%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…69.14 +0.99 +1.45%
(Brent)

Gold.3545.80‼️+53.90 +1.52%‼️
(Comex)
Gold.3532.21‼️ +55.94 +1.61%‼️
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..34733.00 -219.00 -0.63%
(Closed 02/09)
Nickel..15217.00 -201.50 -1.31%
(Closed 02/09)
Silver……41.71 -0.02 -0.05%
Copper..464.80 +7.55 +1.65%

Iron Ore 62% 102.53 +0.72 +0.71%
(02/09)

Nturl Gas .2.997 +0.014 +0.47%

Ammonia China.2283.33 – -%
(Domestic Price 02/09)

Coal price 109.90 +0.30 +0.27%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.108.80 -1.10 -1.00%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.110.80 -1.10 -0.98%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price..112.30 -0.70 -0.62%
,(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price….96.55 +0.10 +0.10%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price….97.60 +0.25 +0.26%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price….98.55 +0.15 +0.15%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….99.25 unch +0%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct) 4474 +97.00 +2.21%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……423.00 +2.75 +0.65%
SoybeanOil 52.66+0.52 +1.00%
Wheat…528.25 -6.00 -1.12%

Wood pulp..5733.33 unch +0%
(Closed 2/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah europe merah asia varied, IHSG ijo tebel rebound dari drop karena riot, US treasury bond yield naik, besar kemungkinan IHSG merah hari ini

USD index up, gold up high, copper iron ore up, tin nickel silver down, oil lanjut up, gas up coal spot up future down, CPO up, energy ini gilirannya, kalo buat gold agak ngeri karena naiknya udah keburu tinggi

IHSG – technical masih jelek, FNS juga, BD flat, banyak gap di bawah, masih ngeri, kondisi masih belum dingin bener masih ada berita negatif ribut sana sini, tapi keliatan banget pemerintah gerak bikin kondusif market, semoga ga lama bisa stabil dan lanjut wave 3

Basic Materials, Energy, Industrials, Infrastructure, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBCA CPIN ICBP DEWA MTEL PANI RAJA TKIM, TKIM vol breaout

MACD Buy Signal: TKIM

Supertrend Buy Signal: JPFA. Saya udah cutloss, better safe than sorry, ga tau sampe mana bottom nya kemaren pas riot pecah…

BBCA – stoch buy macd down mfi down w% sw, BD FF dist, wave 2 udah cukup, tinggal nunggu konfirmasi wave 3. WNS

abis drop belum ada spike lagi, WNS

TKIM – dari bottom nya pas riot ke harga sekarang naik 20% dalam 2 hari, target wave 3 dah deket, walau stoch macd buy MFI rev up w% uptrend, BD FF big accum tapi ngejar saham yang udah naik 20% dalam 2 hari dan udah ketemu regbear di deket target wave 3 selesai mah ga bijak, mending tunggu wave 4

Target done

JPFA – stoch almost sell, macd still up, MFI up w% uptrend, BD FF dist, CNH ing the making, supertrend buy, sayang keganggu sama riot kalo ga udah firm entry and hold, buat re-entry idealnya di fibo 23 atau pas BD FF rev acc

Spike belum ada yang baru, yang lama target 2000

 

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