Daily Analysis 20241003

October 03rd, 2024

Stocks edge higher amid Mideast caution, Tesla slips after deliveries fall short

US stocks drifted higher on Wednesday as escalating Israel-Iran tensions fanned worries about a wider Middle East conflict, initially prompting caution in the market.

Dow…….42197 +39.6 +0.09%
Nasdaq. 17924 +14.8 +0.08%
S&P 500 5709 +0.8 +0.01%

FTSE…8291 +14.2 +0.17%
Dax……19164 -48.4 -0.25%
CAC……7578 +3.5 +0.05%

Nikkei..37808 -843.2 -2.18%
HSI…..22444 +1310.1 +6.20%‼️
Shanghai.3337 closed. +0%

IDX…7563.26 -78.87 -1.03%
LQ45…938.70 -14.66 -1.54%
IDX30.483.58 -6.54 -1.33%

IDXEnergy…..2764.29 -8.27 -0.30%
IDX BscMat1411.38 +0.47 +0.03%
IDX Indstrl..1073.69 -4.84 -0.45%
IDXNONCYC.735.44 -9.95 -1.33%
IDX Hlthcare1582.48 -5.97 -0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…863.60 -15.30 -1.74%
IDXTechno 3797.15 -53.41 -1.39%
IDX Transp 1496.18 -29.75 -1.95%
IDX Infrast 1519.72 -27.06 -1.75%
IDX Finance1506.04 -20.20 -1.32%
IDX Banking1315.47 -19.10 -1.43%
IDX Property..789 -18.10 -1.50%

Indo10Yr.6.5610 +0.020 +0.31%
ICBI….395.5811 -0.3373 -0.09%
US2Yr.3.637 +0.031 +0.86%
US5Yr 3.552 +0.043 +1.23%
US10Yr3.786 +0.054 +1.45%
US30Yr.4.128+0.057 +1.40%
VIX..18.90 -0.36 -1.87%

USDIndx 101.6770❗️+0.480 +0.48%
Como Indx….287.13 +0.76 +0.27%
BCOMIN….157.65 +2.12 +1.36%

IndoCDS..68.75 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/10)

IDR…….15268.00 +62.00 +0.41%
Jisdor..15247.00 +43.00 +0.28%

Euro…1.1047❗️ -0.0020 -0.18%

TLKM.19.16 -0.66 -3.33%‼️
( 2921)
EIDO…22.32 -0.34 -1.48%
EEM…47.10 +0.94 +2.02%

Oil………..70.83 -0.12 -0.17%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..73.90 +0.34 +0.46%
(Brent)
Gold…2679.60 -3.20 -0.12%
(Comex)
Gold…2661.02 -1.19 -0.04%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.33893.00 +14.00 +0.04%
(Closed 02/10)
Nickel.18220.00 +522.50 +2.95%‼️
(Closed 02/10)
Silver… ..32.12 +0.46 +1.45%
Copper.465.70 +6.00 +1.31%

Iron Ore 62% 108.74 +14.51 +15.89%‼️
(01/10)
Nturl Gas 2.914 +0.010 +0.34%
Ammonia China 2836.67 closed +0%
(Domestic Price)(02/10)

Coal price.140.25 -1.40 -0.99%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.55 -1.10 -0.77%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.20 -0.70 -0.49%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price.144.00 -0.90 -0.62%
(Jan/Newcastle)

Coal price.116.10 -1.80 -1.53%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price..115.50 -2.75 -2.33%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price..116.45 -2.45 -2.06%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price..118.35 -1.85 -1.54%
(Jan/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 4196 +187 +4 66%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………432.50 +3.50 +0.82%
SoybeanOil 43.64 +0.73 +1.70%
Wheat….615.25 +16.25 +2.71%

Wood pulp.4790.00 unch +0%
(Closed 01/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo tipis, europe varied, asia cuma hongkong yang ijo, US t bond yield up, kemungkinan ya merah lagi hari ini IHSG

USD Index up, gold down tipis metal lain up, nickel iron ore jump, oil tipis2, gas up, coal down, CPO jump. Masih diharapkan rally INCO AALI

IHSG – masih firm downtrend, wave 4, stoch macd mfi down, w% down, sempet FNB sehari, kemaren lanjut FNS lagi, masih belum beres, target level juga belum sampe, sabar jangan belanja2 dulu

Basic Materials, Energy, Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal: DSNG MARK TEBE LPIN BRAM

MACD Buy Signal: ELSA SMIL

Stochastic Continuation Signal & Big Accum: MEDC ADMR

 

ELSA – iran nyerang israel minyak loncat, semua jalan, malah AKRA yang slow. macd buy, stoch masih down, MFI up, w% uptreng, BD FF rev big acc, ellliot wave bilang waev 5, targetnya masih lumayan, tapi apa bijak masuk sekarang?

Spike sih belum ada yang baru

Laaaah, bandarnya jualan… karena masih pegang AKRA juga, saya sih skip

MEDC – loncat tinggi bikin gap, macd up, stoch masih down, MFI up, w% uptrend lagi, lagi di bawah resistance kuat, neckline triple bottom, mungkin kejedot, mungkin breakout

spike belum ada yang baru, terakhir spike jual

harga baru loncat meninggalkan average bandar, biggest holdernya accum. kalo bisa sih bow, ini lebih ok dibanding ELSA technically… Saya skip karena pegang AKRA, tapi yang belum punya oil bisa masuk MEDC tapi BOW, jangan FOMO ngejar ke atas

ADMR – overpriced, saya sih skip. Technically menarik, MACD up, stoch rev buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, tapi udah lari jauh, FNS, bd juga baru hari terakhir rev acc, bisa jadi jebakan betmen aja