Daily Analysis 20240927

September 27th, 2024

Dow…….42175 +260.4 +0.62%
Nasdaq. 18190 +108.1 +0.60%
S&P 500 5745 +23.1 +0.40%

FTSE…8285 +16.2 +0.20%
Dax……19238 +319.9 +1.69%
CAC……7742 +176.5 +2.33%

Nikkei..38925 +1055.4 +2.79%
HSI…..19924 +795.5 +4.16%‼️
Shanghai.3001+104.6 +3.61%‼️

IDX…7744.52 +3.62 +0.05%
LQ45…970.55 -6.61 -0.68%
IDX30.497.08 -2.70 -0.56%

IDXEnergy. 2733.11 +20.79 +0.77%
IDX BscMat1381.37 +17.43 +1.28%
IDX Indstrl..1082.30 +1.72 +0.16%
IDXNONCYC.752.77 +4.81 +0.64%
IDX Hlthcare1585.01 +35.42 +2.29%
IDXCYCLIC…891.05 -3.68 -0.41%
IDXTechno 3899.70 +60.68 +1.58%
IDX Transp 1499.64 -11.92 -0.79%
IDX Infrast 1582.60 +7.96 +0.51%
IDX Finance1547.22 -6.29 -0.40%
IDX Banking1360.31 -16.13 -1.17%
IDX Property..799 +15.30 +0.15%

Indo10Yr.6.4968 +0.0182+0.28%
ICBI….396.9007 -0.3972 -0.10%
US2Yr.3.627 +0.066 +1.85%
US5Yr 3.565 +0.036 +1.02%
US10Yr3.802 +0.014 +0.37%
US30Yr.4.131 -0.014 -0.34%
VIX..15.37 -0.04 -0.26%

USDIndx 100.5620❗️-0.350 -0.35%
Como Indx….284.63 -1.53 -0.53%
BCOMIN….153.98 +3.87 +2.58%‼️

IndoCDS..69.75 -0.53 -0.75%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/09)

IDR…….15165.00 +63.00 +0.42%
Jisdor..15171.00 +79.00 +0.52%

Euro…1.1177❗️ +0.0044 +0.40%

TLKM.20.66 +0.05 +0.25%
( 3134)
EIDO…23.20 +0.01 +0.04%
EEM..46.70 +1.66 +3.69%‼️

Oil………..67.55 -2.00 -2.88%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..71.60 -1.86 -2.53%
(Brent)
Gold…2695.00 ‼️ +12.10 +0.45%
(Comex)
Gold…2672.56 +14.28 +0.54%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32435.00 +333.00 +1.04%
(Closed 26/09)
Nickel..16806.00 -12.00 -0.07%
(Closed 26/09)
Silver… ..32.30 +0.16 +0.50%
Copper.464.40 +15.50 +3.45%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 92.25 +0.37 +0.40%
(25/09)
Nturl Gas 2.742 -0.085 -3.01%
Ammonia China 2800.00* -10.00 +0.36%
(Domestic Price)(25/09)

Coal price.139.60 -0.15 -0.11%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.45 +0.55 +0.38%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.00 +0.60 +0.42%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.65 +0.90 +0.62%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.95 unch +0%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..116.50: +0.75 +0.65%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price..117.05 +1.10 +0.95%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price..117.35 +1.20 +1.03%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 4052 +108 +2.67%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………413.25 -2.00 -0.48%
SoybeanOil 42.)0 -1.25 -2.83%
Wheat……584.25 -5.00 -0.85%

Wood pulp.4790.00 -10 -0.21%
(Closed 25/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index regional ijo semua, IHSG sempet merah dalem closing ijo tipis. China Hongong masih ijo tebel dengan stimulusnya. US T-bond yield up, masih berbahaya

USD index down, metal2 lanjut up, oil down lagi, prepare traiilng stop kena di AKRA MEDC, gss down coal up, congrats yang pegang coal, CPO lanjut up tinggi, bisa jadi ini Basic Materials versi tambang mineral dan CPO yang jalan even index wave 4

IHSG – technical nya ngeri banget, Stoch MACD down, itungan wave 4 agak dalem, udah 2 hari FNS dan vol besar, brace for impact

Technology, awas udah jalan jauh, Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Energy, Basic Materials, Industrials

Oil prepare exit

Stochastic Buy Signal: GGRM GOTO INDF INKP ISAT TOWR HMSP MYOR PWON. Big Accum cuma PWON, beware technical trap

MACD buy Signal: EXCL CTRA TPIA, CTRA TPIA big accum

INKP – technical menarik, tapi bd dist, FNB padahal. Triangle? CNH? rada rada gitu price action nya. Tapi belum cukup alasan untuk re-entry

Beberapa spike nya spike jual, jadi belum mengkonfirmasi, WNS deh

PWON – udah wave 5 dan banyak reg bear div, pas di resistance juga, saya sih skip…

GOTO – Normally saya ga akan beli saham ini… Hanya kemaren karena 50 makanya beli dikit. LK minus koq. Sekarang sih mikir bilai exit ya, ngarepin bagger dari perusahaan yang rugi susah juga. Resistance terdekat 74, spike bilang 72-73. Ga buat beli ya, ini rekom jual

INDF – ini juga rekom jual… Sell on strength

CTRA – wave 5 dah kena target, signal bolak balik, BD FF accum sih tapi vol turun, saya sih skip

TPIA – technical ok, valuasi ga asik, skip

ISAT – agak telat sih, tapi macd buy stoch buy MFI sw, w% uptrend, BD FF accum, ok juga… sektor belum terlihat jalan tapi excl buy signal juga

ada spike, ok juga sih walau ga tinggi2 amat

Average dibawah running price, ini ga ok, kalo index ga rawan koreksi mungkin masih berani, dengan kondisi sekarang ga berani

EXCL – mirip ISAT. stoch up macd buy MFI sw, w% uptrend tapi malah BD dist walau FNB. Double bottom belum firm breakout, WNS