DAily Analysis 20240506

May 06th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes higher by more than 400 points as April jobs report bolsters Fed rate cut hopes

Stocks jumped sharply Friday after a softer-than-expected April jobs report boosted hopes that the Federal Reserve could start cutting interest rates soon.

Dow……38676 +450.02 +1.18%
Nasdaq16156 +315.4 +1.99%
S&P 500.5128 +63.6 +1.26%

FTSE…..8214 +41.3 +0.51%
Dax……18002 +105.1 +0.59%
CAC……7958 +42.9 +0.54%

Nikkei..38236 closed +0%
HSI…..18476 +268.8 +1.48%
Shanghai.3105 closed +0%

IDX….7134.72 +17.30 +0.24%
LQ45..903.33 +4.58 +0.51%
IDX30..457.92 +2.29 +0.50%

IDXEnergy..2199.06 -4.40 -0.20%
IDX BscMat1316.08 -7.73 -0.58%
IDX Indstrl..1061.54 -2.53 -0.24%
IDXNONCYC.691.68 +2.81 +0.41%
IDX Hlthcare1451.02+23.80 +0.41%
IDXCYCLIC…753.18 +2.31 +1.71%
IDXTechno3364.09 +36.02 +1.08%
IDX Transp 1298.73 -3.83 -0.29%
IDX Infrast 1617.93 -0.21 -0.01%
IDX Finance1395.14 +1.64 +0.12%
IDX Banking.1204.50+3.74 +0.31%
IDX Property.. 617 -0.10 -0.01%

Indo10Yr.7.0284 -0.0822👍 -1.16%
ICBI…376.5423 +2.0401 👍 +0.54%
US2Yr.4.806👍 -0.075 -1.54%
US5Yr 4.482 -0.095 -2.08👍%
US10Yr4.509 -0.150 -3.21%👍
US30Yr.4.660👍 -0.074 -1.56%
VIX..13.49👍 -1.19 -8.11%‼️

USDIndx 105.0300❗️-0.269 -0.26%
Como Indx..286.51 +1.77 +0.62%
BCOMIN..157.33 +2.33 +1.50%

IndoCDS..75.24👍 -0.40 -0.63%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/05)

IDR…..16083.00 -102.00👍 -0.62%
Jisdor.16094.00 -108.00👍 -0.66%

Euro….1.0761 +0.0032 +0.30%

TLKM…19.47 +0.10 +0.52%
( 3151)
EIDO….20.95 +0.42 +2.02%
EEM…..42.49 +0.39 +0.91%

Oil…….78.11 -1.04 -1.31%
Gold..2308.60 -4.90 -0.21%
Timah..31983.00 +1013.00 +3.28%‼️
(Closed 03/05)
Nickel..18792.50 +453.50 +2.41%
(Closed 03/05)
Silver…….26.69 -0.04 -à
Copper…455.70 +5.80 +1.29%2

Iron Ore 62% 118.03 -0.05 -0.04%
(02/05)⅔
Nturl Gas..2.150 +0.113 +5.55%‼️
Ammonia China.2983.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(29/04)

Coal price 145.15 -2.60 -1.76%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.40 -2.85 -1.92%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.60 -2.15 -1.46%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.85 -2.10 -1.42%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price..107.15 -0.75 -0.70%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.00 -1.40 -1.27%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.65 -1.25 -1.13%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 109.55 -1.50 -1.35%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)..3842 -2 -0.05%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….460.25 +0.50 +0.11%
SoybeanOil 43.08 -0.16 -0.37%
Wheat..622.50 +18.25 +3.02%

Wood pulp..5860 unch +0%
(Closed 05/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing jum’at ijo semua, US Bond Yield down, harusnya sih lanjut ijo hari ini. USD index down, tapi gold silver iron ore juga down, WNS dulu ANTM, Tin Nickel Copper up. Oil gas coal down, masih belum jalan ini ELSA ADRO

IHSG – stoch up, macd buy, MFI down, w% sw, BD flat FNS, masih belum jalan sih… Tapi udah done koreksinya, tinggal hunting saham saham yang giliran jalan

Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property, Technology

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO CPIN ENRG PNLF SILO

MACD Buy Signal: CTRA DRMA JPFA. Big Accum CTRA JPFA

 

ADRO – stoch buy, macd almost buy, MFI flat, w% uptrend, 3 white soldiers, hid bull div jalan, harga coal naik, HOLD. kemaren saya nambah

Ga ada spike yang gimana gimana

Holder nya pada diem,belum main lagi, mungkin nunggu kepastian coal price mau beneran gerak naik tinggi atau udahan

CPIN – stoch buy, MACD buy, MFI sw, w% up, BD rev acc, FF masih dist, harga hari ini loncat, hihihi… Kita liat apa layak kejar atau mending tunggu koreksi

Ada spike kecil, kalo liat kemaren cukup alasan buat entry sih, kalo nyusul sekarang ga berani, ga terlalu significant spike nya

Kemaren ok karena harga dibawah avg, sekarang langsung loncat diatas, dan biggest holder nya abis buang, belum akum lagi. Kalo tutup gap kita pikirin buy, kalo ga sih ga berani FOMO

SILO – belum ada issue khusus yang bisa nganter healthcare jalan, stoch buy, macd dari down belum tembus oscillator revup, MFI up, w% flat, WNS dulu deh

CTRA – ini menarik, terlihat mau wave 5. stoch up, macd buy lagi, BD acc FF masih dst, MFI up w% uptrend. Check spike

Malah spike jual…

Bandar jualan, ah skip ah

JPFA – ini telat liat, waktu consumer non-cyclicals keliatan jalan malah fokus INDF doang. stoch up macd buy MFI up w% uptrend, BD FF big accum, harusnya sih jum’at sore belinya, kalo sekarang ada kemungkinan ketinggalan kereta, udah ga panjang lagi run nya

Dari bottom nya udah 22%, ga berani ngejar

Kemaren spike ok tapi udah done

Sekarang udah diatas avg bandar, skip dulu