Daily Analysis 20240111

January 11th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 150 points higher Wednesday ahead of key inflation readings

Stocks closed higher Wednesday, with investors awaiting the release of fresh U.S. inflation data and earnings.

Dow……37696 +170.5 +0.45%
Nasdaq14970 +111.9 +0.75%
S&P 500.4783 +26.95 +0.57%

FTSE…..7652 -32.2 -0.42%
Dax……16690 +1.6 +0.01%
CAC……7427 -0.5 -0.01%

Nikkei..34442 +678.5 +2.01%
HSI…….16097 -92.7 -0.57%
Shanghai.2878-15.6 -0.54%

IDX…..7227.30 +27.09 +0.38%
LQ45….969.14 -0.94 -0.10%
IDX30…497.95 +0.10 +0.02%

IDXEnergy..2168.31 +11.41 +0.53%
IDX BscMat.1247.13+5.81 +0.47%
IDX Indstrl…1105.72 +2.79 +0.25%
IDXNONCYC.710.72 +2.14 +0.30%
IDX Hlthcare1346.85+20.14 +1.52%
IDXCYCLIC…853.46 +8.11. +0.96%
IDX Techno4332.24 -6.66 -0.15%
IDX Transp 1657.97 +5.66 +0.34%
IDX Infrast 1533.96 +21.00 +1.37%
IDX Finance.1508.71+6.12 +0.41%
IDX Banking.1314.05 -0.95 -0.07%
IDX Property.. 717 -0.40 -0.05%

Indo10Yr.6.7181 +0.0125 +0.19%
ICBI…373.4877 +0.0457 +0.01%
US2Yr.4.360 -0.006 -0.14%
US5Yr 3.975 -0.003 -0.08%
US10Yr4.015 -0.008 -0.20%
US30Yr.4.211+0.026+0.62%
VIX….12.69 -0.10 -0.78%

USDIndx 102.3620 -0.146 -0.14%
Como Indx..262.31 -2.37 -0.90%
BCOMIN……136.68 +0.20 +0.15%

IndoCDS..77.19 -0.51 -0.66%
(5-yr INOCD5) (09/01)

IDR…..15569.50 +49.50 +0.32%
Jisdor.15568.00 +50.00 +0.32%

Euro….1.0973 +0.0041 +0.38%

TLKM…25.67 +0.49 +1.95%
(3996)
EIDO….22.32 +0.04 +0.18%
EEM….38.90 -0.09 -0.23%

Oil……..71.35 -0.89 -1.23%
Gold..2029.40 -3.60 -0.18%
Timah..24240.00 -260.00 -1.06%
(Closed 09/01)
Nickel..16402.00 +176 +1.08%
(Closed 10/01)
Silver……23.07 -0.03 -0.11%
Copper.375.60 +2.75 +0.73%

Iron Ore 62% 140.52 -0.35 -0.25%
(09/01)
Nturl Gas..3.030❗️ -0.160 -5.02%
Ammonia China.3400.00‼️ – -%
(Domestic Price)(09/02)

Coal price.133.50 -2.15 -1.58%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 131.50 -2.70 -2.01%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.132.25 -2.20 -1.66%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 128.55 -1.70 -1.31%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.109.00 -2.25 -2.02%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.70 -2.45 -2.27%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.102.90 -2.45 -2.33%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 100.55 -2.75 -2.66%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3759 +25 +0.67%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……459.50 +0.25 +0.05%
SoybeanOil 48.25 -0.20 -0.41%
Wheat…610.75 +0.75 +0.12%

Wood pulp..5068.00 +8 +0.16%
(Closed 10/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo, europe cenderung perah tipis, asia varied, US bond rate merah tipis, USD index merah, harusnya bagus ya buat saham

Metal2 masih banyakan merah, kecuali nickel sama copper, oil gas coal merah, CPO lanjut ijo. beware coal coal an bisa jadi udahan. AALI LSIP harusnya jalan

IHSG – stoch down, macd sell, MFI down, BD sw, FF masih net buy kecil, abis wave 5 harusnya bikin ABC correction dulu, sabar, pegang cash,nanti belanja lagi pas udah mau run lagi

Dari cacing RSI masih banyak yang terlihat bagus, yang paling deket 45 Financials, Technology, Energy, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclical. Yang sering dipake ganjel bursa Consumer Non-Cyclicals sih, kayanya paling safe disitu

Stochastic Buy Signal: OMED

MACD Buy Signal: EMTK ISAT, big accum

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big acc: ICBP ISAT

Supertrend Buy Signal: DOID

Alligator Buy Signal cuma 1 yang accum, DOID, ASSA FNB gede

EMTK – masih sideways, stoch down macd buy but sw, MFI sw, w% sw,bd rev acc, tapi ini PER negatif alias lapkeu terakhir rugi, skip deh… Unless ada bocoran mau turnaround

ISAT – abis wave 5 keliatnnya belum beres ABC correction major nya. stoch up macd sw, MFI down w% up BD FF rev acc, sempet ada candle volume buangan gede tapi ga dibanting, tapi tetep mencurigakan, sektor masih loyo, WNS

ICBP – stoch up macd up MFI up, w% uptrend, sektor jalan, BD big acc, FF acc, 833 buy, keliatannya lanjut jalan, harusnya bisa buy disini

Spike done…

Holder terbesar RX dan akum, 2 berikutnya abis buang, mulai akum lagi

 

Kalo data 90 hari accum semua, harga mepet mepet, masih ok sih, yang belum punya bisa buy. Saya pegang INDF jadi ga ikutan di ICBP

DOID – terlihat masih uptrend, stoch ob, macd up, MFI up,w% uptrend, BD FF acc, suptertrend buy, alligator buy, tapi lagi di resistance, kalo kejedot mungkin akan minor correction

Spike nya cakep banget

biggest holder NI dan lagi diem, udah profit dia tinggal jualan, yang akum LG lagi critical harganya BK average tinggi tapi malah jualan, tukeran barang ini kayanya sama LG buat gerakin harga

Asal NI ga mendadak profit taking sih aman ini DOID. Yang belum pegang coal bisa spec buy. Saya pegang PTBA masih hold,