Daily Analysis 20230616

June 16th, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq rally for sixth straight day as traders hope Fed’s rate-hiking cycle is nearly over

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
on Thursday rallied more than 400 points and the S&P 500 touched a fresh 13-month high, as investors bet the Federal Reserve was close to done raising rates after the central bank this week skipped a hike.

Dow……34408 +428.7 +1.26%
Nasdaq13782 +156.3 +1.15%
S&P 500.4426 +53.3 +1.22%

FTSE…..7628 +25.5 +0.34%
Dax……16290 -20.7 -0.13%
CAC……7291 -37.6 -0.51%

Nikkei…..33485 -16.9 -0.05%
HSI………19829 +420.5 +2.17%
Shanghai.3253 +23.99 +0.74%

IDX…..6713.79 +14.08 +0.21%
LQ45….952.27 +2.46 +0.26%
IDX30…495.48 +1.47 +0.30%

IDXEnergy…1804.57 +13.42 +0.75%
IDX BscMat.1004.10 +6.18. +0.62%
IDX Indstrl…1176.38 -3.82 -0.32%
IDXNONCYC.748.16 +0.55 +0.07%
IDX Hlthcare1516.42 +8.90 +0.59%
IDXCYCLIC…885.38 +0.73 +0.08%
IDX Techno..4899.01 +17.34+0.36%
IDX Transp..1924.74 -33.59 -1.72%
IDX Infrast…..859.73 +5.22 +0.61%
IDX Finance.1396.69 -3.44 -0.25%
IDX Banking.1173.23 +1.15 +0.10%
IDX Property..736 -4.80 -0.65%

Indo10Yr.6.3501 +0.0084 +0.13%
ICBI..366.7252 -0.2243 -0.06%
US2Yr.4.6410 -0.066 -1.40%
US5Yr 3.9130 -0.081 -2.02%
US10Yr3.7200-0.074 -1.95%
US30Yr.3.831-0.062 -1.59%
VIX……14.50 +0.62 +4.47%

USDIndx102.1150 -0.8330 -0.81%
Como Indx.266.91 +6.65 +2.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……148.61 +0.58 +0.39%

*IndoCDS.83.22👍 +0.01 +0.01%*[
(5-yr INOCD5) (14/06)

IDR…..14954.00‼ +47.50 +0.32%
Jisdor.14943.00‼ +48.00 +0.32%

Euro……1.0947 +0.0113 +1.04%

TLKM…27.08 +0.25 +0.93%
(4046)
EIDO….23.45 -0.01 -0.04%
EEM…..41.02 +0.38 +0.94%

Oil……70.54 +1.90 +2.77%
Gold…1970.10 +13.10 +0.67%
Timah..26762.00 +697.00 +2.67%
(Closed 14/06)
Nickel..22975.50 +292.00 +1.29%
(Closed 15/06)
Silver……23.96 -0.04 -0.17%
Copper..389.45. +3.75 +1.05%

Iron Ore 62% 112.75 +0.30 +0.27
(14/06)
Nturl Gas.2.554 +0.2160 +9.24%‼

Coal price.135.95 +3.95 +2.99%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.70 +3.55 +2.61%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.95 +3.35 +2.42%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.144.30 +2.75 +1.94%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price116.45 +0.05 +0.04%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.116.80 -0.05 -0.04%
(Jul/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.05 -0.15 -0.13%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.40 +0.25 +0.22%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3506 +67 +1.94%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……574.50 +25.25 +4.60%‼
SoybeanOil 56.45 +2.74 +5.10%‼
Wheat…672.75 +31.50 +4.91%‼

Wood pulp..4300.00 -14 -0.32%
(Closed 13/06)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo tebel, europe varied, asia nikkei doang yang merah, lanjut ah hari ini…

Oil rebound, gas jump, coal ijo. ADRO lanjut… Semoga PGAS juga rebound setelah deviden trap. Gold rebound, silver merah copper ijo, timah nikel iron ore ijo.ANTM MDKA INCO TINS lanjut. CPO ijo, mulai harus dicermati AALI LSIP

IHSG – stoch up, macd up, MFI sw, w% uptrend, BD acc, FF dist, kejedot fibo 23 dan midline LR, long lowershadow touch MA 10, closing di atas, mantul sih harusnya, tinggal tunggu foreign acc lagi

Masih Basic Materials sama Energy, yang udah leading Industrials sama Healthcare. Technology mulai melemah

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI APIC BBKP MPMX INCI

MACD Buy Signal: BMRI BRPT CPIN INCO INTP KLBF TPIA BSSR MTEL

Alligator Buy Signal: BBHI ERAA LSIP MLPL WIKA

Supertrend Buy Signal: AALI

BBRI – stoch buy,macd down, MFI down, w% down, BD FF dist, udah di wave 5, memang LR slope uptrend, tapi untuk entry sekarang resiko, begitu beres wave 5 panjang dulu koreksinya biasanya

MPMX – stoch buy, macd almost buy, BD dist tipis, FF rev acc, MFI sw, w% done downtrend, abis wave 5 ketemu regbear div, udah abc correction, ketemu reg bull div, confirmed by MA 10 tinggal MACD, mantul di lower channel LR, tunggu MACD sambil liat BD

ada spike tapi ga terlalu tinggi, terakhir tinggi spike jual

BRPT – stoch up, macd buy, BD FF rev acc, MFI w% up, abis retracement pattern drop lagi, abc correction udah bisa dianggap done, ketemu regbulldiv udah confirmed, bisa spec buy half, belum bikin higher low soalnya

dibawa turun dengan spike jual, abis itu udah ada spike beli walau belum tinggi, ok sih

CPIN – stpch up, macd buy, MFI sw, w% sw, BD FF acc, udah bikin higher low, forming IHNS, bisa spec buy tapi amannya BOB neckline aja. Karena sektornya belum ok

INCO – Stoch Buy, MACD buy, BD FF dist, MFI sw, w% sw, masih sideways sih, belum breakout, lagi ketemu hid bear div, idealnya kalo MACD masih firm, buy di gap closing

Spike nya bagus sih, yang free portonya bisa spec buy kalo gini

INTP – kemaren udah buy, makin firm MACD nya dah buy juga, BD FF lanjut acc, reg bull div nya udah confirmed dari semua jenis konfirmasi, semoga lanjut kenceng

Sekarang udah nongol spike tinggi, dan harga belum gerak jauh, bisa ngejar BUY sekarang, tetep half dulu tapi. Belum bikin higher low soalnya

KLBF – stoch up macd buy MFI up w% sw, BD FF acc, abis wave 5ketemu reg bear div, abc correction keliatannya belum done, masih sideways dulu, emang healthcare lagi jalan sih, tapi pilih yang belum lari jauh aja lah

TPIA – stoch up. macd buy, BD masih dist, FF rev acc tipis, MFI sw, w% up, reg bull div confirmed by MA 10 and MACD, bisa spec buy kalo mau, stoploss ketat, setengah botol dulu. Tapi perefer BRPT sih chart nya IMHO

Spike jual, ga jadi spec buy deh, WNS dulu aja

MTEL – stoch up, macd buy, BD rev acc, ff masih dist, MFI sw, w% up, bikin lower low kena reg bull div terus mantul, udah confirmed by MA 10 dan MACD, bisa spec buy tapi amannya tunggu higher low, apalagi sektornya belum jalan lagi

ERAA – belum sih, masih sideways, BD masih dist, idealnya buy di area fibo 23 lagi