Daily Analysis 20230302

March 02nd 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close lower to begin March as the 10-year Treasury yield touches 4%

The S&P 500
fell Wednesday, the first day of March, as traders struggled to recover their footing following a losing month and bond yields continued their climb.

Dow…..32662 +5.1 +0.02%
Nasdaq11379 -76.1 -0.66%
S&P 500.3951 -18.8 -0.47%

FTSE…….7915 +38.7 +0.49%
Dax……..15365 -60.1 -0.39%
CAC……..7234 -33.7 -0.46%

Nikkei…..27517 +70.8. +0.26%
HSI…….20620 +833 .8 +4.21%‼️
Shanghai.3312 +32.7 +1.00%

IDX…..6844.94 +1.70 +0.02%
LQ45….945.82 +2.85 +0.30 %
IDX30…492.30 +1.80 +0.37%

IDXEnergy…2093.55 -7.66 -0.36%
IDX BscMat 1239.30 -3.91 -0.31%
IDX Indstrl..1194.42 -4.39 -0.37%
IDXNONCYC..737.00 -5.12 -0.69%
IDX Hlthcare1556.52 -8.56 -0.55%
IDXCYCLIC…845.58 +0.29 +0.03%
IDX Techno.5417.12 +31.26 +0.58%
IDX Transp..1903.18 -32.84 -1.70%
IDX Infrast….841.76 -2.76 -0.33%
IDX Finance1409.55 +8.30 +0.59%
IDX Banking1134.15 +8.27 +0.73%
IDX Property….694 -4.80 -0.69%

Indo10Yr.6.8724 +0.0017 +0.02%
ICBI….349.9674 +0.1506 +0.04%
US5Yr 4.2576 +0.0900 +2.15%
US10Yr3.9940 +0.0800 +2.05%
US30Yr.3.9550+0.0250 +0.64%
VIX……. 20.58 -0.12 -0.58%

USDIndx104.3630 -0.5810 -0.55%‼️
Como Indx.272.81 +2.97 +1.10%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….164.54 +3.37 +2.09%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15235.00 -25.50 -0.17%
Jisdor.15250.00 +10.00 +0.07%

Euro……1.0668 +0.0089 +0.84%

TLKM….25.88 +0.12 +0.47%
(3947)
EIDO……22.80 -0.11 -0.48%
EEM….39.05 +0.82 +2.14%

Oil…….77.69 +0.90 +1.17%
Gold 1845.40 +8.60 +0.47%
Timah 24963 +515 +2.02%
(Closed 02/28)
Nickel…25131 +208.50 +0.84%
(Closed 03/01)
Silver…….21.10 +0.03 +0.14%
Copper..416.00 +8.65 +2.12%

Nturl Gas.2.811 +0.035 +1.26%

Ammonia 4406.66 -33.00 -0.74%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/28)

Coal price.193.50 +0.65 +0.34%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.196.75 +2.65 +1.37%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.200.25 +2.50 +1.26%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.204.15 +3.65 +1.82%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.143.85 -2.05 -1.41%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 143.55 -2.05 -1.41%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 145.40 -1.40 -0.95%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 146.60 -0.60 -0.41%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4188 +52 +1.26%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..635.75 +5.50 +0.87%
SoybeanOil..60.83 +0.73 +1.32%
Wheat……710.00 +4.50 +0.64%

Wood pulp…5850.00 -80 -135%
(Closed 03/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo tipis, nasdaq merah, europe varied, asia ijo, Hangseng ijo tebel

Kemaren IHSG ijo tipis, keliatannya market akan mulai naik hari ini, di beberapa bank sudah keliatan buy signal technical. Oil gas naik, coal NCF naik, Rotterdam turun, metal2 naik semua, CPO naik lagi, seems ok semua sih. Kayanya finally MDKA akan nongol buy signal today. ANTM INCO dkk juga layak diliat. AALI LSIP kita tunggu lagi keluar buy signalnya, kemaren baru sell, signal ngebalik

IHSG – stoch down rev, macd still down, 833 sw, mfi w% sw, bd flat, masih FNS, masih sideways keliatannya, tapi major masih wave 3, tinggal tunggu waktu aja

Ga ada yang leading, yang mau start jalan yang menarik, Industrials, Basic Materials, Energy, Property

Stoch Buy Signal: PGAS MLPL IGAR

MACD Buy Signal: HRUM PNLF WINS

Alligtor Buy Signal: AKRA ESSA BSDE SMDR

PGAS – stoch buy, macd sw, MFI sw,w%sw,bd ff dist tipis, regbull div MACD dan RSI, confirmed by MA 10 and 2 bull candle, mantul dari midline LR, double bottom, spec buy half

 

Harga aman banget

MLPL – saham group lippo kolesterol tinggi, stoch buy, MACD down, MFI down w% downtrend, abis terjundari 800 ke 100 belum retrace, belum bikin higher low, skip deh

IGAR – saham value investing yang udah terbang dan lagi retrace, volume relatif sepi… nanti dulu deh

HRUM – almost perfect, stoch buy macd buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, ada freq spike, tembus bottom cloud, ret pattern mau mantul dari sekitar fibo 23, BUY, breakout 23 nambah

 

Spike yang 22 des spike jual, ada lagi yang baru 24 feb yang belum posisi sw

Harga aman…

PNLF skip

WINS – tehnically ok, abis naik tinggi retrace ke fibo 50, udah buy signal di stchastic dan MACD, MFI up, w% going up, kemaren freq spike, bd acc tipis, jeleknya, FF masih dist

Spike siap goreng ini…

Harga masih ok, kalo liat 90 hari aman banget